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Agenda Item - 2022-06-27 - Number 07.1 - Staff Memo 06/15/22 PCWS-1 w-Attach (PP 22-0005) MEMORANDUM ¼ wow 4EG1' ( TO: Planning Commission/Commission for Citizen Involvement FROM: Erik Olson, Senior Planner SUBJECT: House Bill 2003 Work Session #1 DATE: June 15, 2022 MEETING DATE: June 27, 2022 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY&ACTION REQUESTED This memo provides background on the Commission's upcoming work session scheduled for June 27, 2022, which will include a presentation from staff regarding a proposed work plan to comply with the requirements of House Bill 2003, enacted by the State Legislature in 2019 (HB 2003). The bill requires cities to analyze what housing is needed for current and future residents through a Housing Needs Analysis (HNA), and to adopt a Housing Production Strategy (HPS) that outlines what actions the City will take to address the needs identified. The State Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD) has established a timeline for cities to comply with HB 2003. The City of Lake Oswego is required to update its HNA by December 31, 2023, and to complete an HPS by December 31, 2024. The City Council prioritized this work as part of its 2022 goals and initiatives, which included attaining compliance with HB 2001 (Middle Housing), completed earlier this year, and HB 2003. Staff has drafted a multi-phased work plan to amend the City's Comprehensive Plan, with work conducted simultaneously on the HNA and HPS from approximately October 2022 through July 2024. The purpose of the July 27 work session is for the Commission to provide guidance to staff on the proposed work plan to comply with the requirements of HB 2003 prior to issuing a request for proposals (RFP) to solicit consultant services to assist with the work. BACKGROUND House Bill 2003 HB 2003 was adopted by the Oregon Legislature in 2019, concurrently with HB 2001, in order to help local jurisdictions meet the housing needs of residents throughout the state (see Attachment B). The bill requires Oregon cities with over 10,000 residents to analyze their future housing needs, including the needs of existing and future residents, through an HNA, and to develop strategies designed to promote the development of such needed housing through 503.635.0290 380 A Avenue PO BOX 369 Lake Oswego, OR 97034 www.ci.oswego.or.us Page 2 an HPS. The bill also launched a prototype Regional Housing Needs Analysis (RHNA) in order to explore a statewide program where housing need is studied and addressed on a regional level; the RHNA program is still under development by the Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD). Historically, HNAs have been coordinated at the county level, except that in the Portland metro area, Metro has provided regional population and employment forecasts to guide local planning. DLCD conducted rulemaking efforts related to HB 2003 the Land Conservation and Development Commission (LCDC) has adopted relevant Oregon Administrative Rules (OAR 660- 008-0045 through -0070) in November 2020. These rules established the components that are required to be included within an HPS Report, as well as the criteria for compliance for cities that do not meet their identified housing need. Housing Needs Analysis An HNA is a document, incorporated into a city's comprehensive plan by ordinance, which assesses housing need and capacity over the course of a 20-year planning horizon. An HNA must include the inventory, determination, and analysis required under ORS 197.296 (Factors to establish sufficiency of buildable lands within urban growth boundarv)(3): (3) In performing the duties under subsection (2) of this section, a local government shall: (a) Inventory the supply of buildable lands within the urban growth boundary and determine the housing capacity of the buildable lands; and (b) Conduct an analysis of existing and projected housing need by type and density range, in accordance with all factors under ORS 197.303 ("Needed housing"defined) and statewide planning goals and rules relating to housing, to determine the number of units and amount of land needed for each needed housing type for the next 20 years. The City last updated its HNA in 2013 as part of an update to the Comprehensive Plan; the HNA is currently an appendix to the Complete Neighborhoods and Housing chapter of the Comprehensive Plan (see Attachment A). Under the requirements of HB 2003, cities with over 10,000 residents within the Portland Metro Boundary are now required to update their Housing Needs Analysis (HNA) every six years. Though it has been more than six years since the City adopted its HNA, DLCD maintains a schedule (Attachment D) that requires Lake Oswego to adopt an updated HNA by December 31st, 2023. Staff intends to issue an RFP for consultant services to assist with the technical work, which will include a projection of housing needs, an inventory of residential buildable lands, an analysis of residential development capacity, and the adoption of a final HNA into the City's Comprehensive Plan (see Attachment F). 503.635.0290 380 A Avenue PO Box 369 Lake Oswego, OR 97034 www.ci.oswego.or.us Page 3 Housing Production Strategy After the HNA has been updated, HB 2003 requires that cities then proceed to adopt an HPS within one year of the date of HNA adoption. The HPS must identify a set of specific tools, actions, and policies that the City will utilize in order to address the housing needs identified in the HNA, as well as a timeline for adopting and implementing each strategy. As outlined in Attachment C, there are five major components of an HPS: 1. Contextualized Housing Need— Identify the relevant social and demographic trends, existing adopted measures, market conditions, barriers to housing, and housing needs of underrepresented populations; 2. Engagement—Conduct meaningful engagement with both consumers and producers of needed housing; 3. Strategies to Meet Future Housing Need—Outline the strategies proposed to meet housing need, including a timeline for adoption, a timeline for implementation, and the anticipated depth and breadth of the impact of the strategies; 4. Achieving Fair and Equitable Housing Outcomes— Describe how the proposed strategies will achieve equitable outcomes with respect to location /transportation, fair housing, housing choice, homelessness, opportunities for affordable housing, and gentrification /displacement; and 5. Conclusion—Address any opportunities, constraints, or negative externalities associated with adoption of the elements of proposed strategies, provide a detailed list of actions to implement the strategies, and describe which metrics will be used to measure progress. The HPS review process will be managed by DLCD, who will review and approve an HPS based on the accuracy and sufficiency of the strategies being proposed, based upon the following factors: • Unmet housing need; • The proportion of households identified as severely rent-burdened; • Recent housing development; • Recent adoption of an HPS or implementation of actions therein; • City response to addressing needs of those experiencing homelessness; • Increased access to housing opportunity; • Elimination of barriers to fair and equitable housing options; and • Other relevant attributes that the Oregon Land Conservation and Development Commission deems to be relevant. Cities are also required to provide updates to DLCD at "mid-term checkpoints" every three years in order to evaluate the progress and effectiveness of their HPS. This process will ask cities to reflect upon which strategies were successful, which were not successful, and to 503.635.0290 380 A Avenue PO Box 369 Lake Oswego, OR 97034 www.ci.oswego.or.us Page 4 identify ways for cities to modify their strategies to ensure housing needs are adequately being addressed. To help cities as they produce HPS Reports for compliance with HB 2003, DLCD created a guidance document containing a list of potential housing production strategies that jurisdictions can select from in order promote housing production within their community (see Attachment E). The strategies in this document are broken out into distinct categories for easy reference, ranging from zoning and code changes to financial incentives, financial resources, reducing regulatory impediments, tax exemption and abatement, and securing land for needed housing. PROPOSED WORK PLAN Staff has drafted a multi-phased work plan in order to amend the City's Comprehensive Plan to comply with HB 2003 while meeting the deadlines mandated by the state (see Attachment F). The proposed work plan begins with the issuance of an RFP in August of this year, in order to select a consultant to commence work in October 2022. The selected consultant would then work with City staff to initiate the "project kickoff" process, including a kickoff meeting with critical project stakeholders, research and information gathering related to housing needs in Lake Oswego, the refinement of a public involvement plan, and the creation of outreach materials to keep the public informed of upcoming engagement opportunities related to HB 2003. After the project kickoff, the consultant would proceed to work with City staff to conduct extensive research, data gathering, and public outreach in order to produce a projection of housing need, an inventory of buildable residential lands, an analysis of residential land needs, and other components required to be included the updated HNA document. Staff would then bring the draft HNA forward for public hearings at the Planning Commission and City Council in order to ensure that the HNA is adopted into the City's Comprehensive Plan before December 31St, 2023. The project would transition towards the development of an HPS in late 2023, starting with the identification of different housing strategy alternatives available to the City in order to address the housing needs identified in the HNA. These alternatives would be refined through continued public outreach and engagement, which will then guide the development of a draft HPS Report for City consideration. The HPS would then be brought forward to public hearings at the PC and City Council in order to ensure that it is adopted into the City's Comprehensive Plan within less than a year of the most recent HNA's adoption. As another component of this process, staff has recommended that City Council appoint an Ad- Hoc Advisory Committee to provide high-level guidance to the Planning Commission and City Council as they work to identify critical housing needs and recommend strategies to address them. Staff suggests that a Housing Strategy Advisory Committee (HSAC) be comprised of a representative group of elected and appointed officials including members of City boards and 503.635.0290 380 A Avenue PO Box 369 Lake Oswego, OR 97034 www.ci.oswego.or.us Page 5 commissions, housing producers, and housing consumers within Lake Oswego, with a specific focus on equity outcomes from the City's housing work—including meeting the needs of low- income communities, communities of color, people with disabilities, and other state and federal protected classes (as defined in OAR 660-008-0050(3)(d)(C)). The committee would meet regularly between October 2022 and March 2024 to review and provide feedback on consultant work products. Staff also proposes regular "check-ins" with the Commission and City Council prior to the consideration of a draft HNA at public hearings, as well as "check-ins" in early 2024 prior to the consideration of a draft HPS Report. These meetings will provide the Commission with several opportunities to refine policy direction relevant to the identification of housing needs and the development of housing production strategies, and will allow the Commission to receive more updated guidance from City Council in order to better inform more detailed decision-making later in the process. ATTACHMENTS (LINKS) A. City of Lake Oswego Housing Needs Analysis, 03/19/2013, click here B. Enrolled House Bill 2003, 06/30/2019 C. Housing Production Strategies Open Forum Q&A, 02/23/2021 D. Housing Capacity Analysis Update Schedule, 01/04/2022 E. Housing Production Strategy Program - List of Tools, Actions, and Policies, 02/14/2022 F. HB 2003 Proposed Work Plan and Schedule, 06/08/2022 To view these documents and other documents in the public records file, visit the Planning Project webpage: https://www.ci.oswego.or.us/planning/pp-22-0005-housing-needs-and-production-strategies 503.635.0290 380 A Avenue PO Box 369 Lake Oswego, OR 97034 www.ci.oswego.or.us EXHIBIT 4 ORDINANCE 2640 City of Lake Oswego Housing Needs Analysis June 26, 2012 Updated March 19, 2013 --.—, cif LAKE OSWEGO OREGON 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 1 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 1 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 2 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 2 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Acknowledgements The City appreciates grant funds received from the State of Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development(DLCD)for technical consultant assistance to complete this document. We thank the following citizens for their dedicated work on this topic. Comprehensive Plan Citizen Advisory Committee: Councilor Sally Moncrieff, Chair Katie Abbott Dorothy Atwood Tom Brennan Christopher Clee Doug Cushing Tom Fahey Bill Gaar Nancy Gronowski Liz Hartman Jim Johnson Tim Mather Bob Needham Teri Oelrich David White Goal 9 & 10 Work Group: Tom Brennan Doug Cushing Julia Glisson Jon Gustafson Liza Hartman Councilor Sally Moncrieff Dan Vizzini Planning Commission: John Gustafson, Chair Lynne Paretchan, Vice Chair Puja Bhutani Julia Glisson Jim Johnson Russell Jones Todd Prager Jeff Gudman, Council Liaison City Staff: Dennis Egner, AICP, Assistant Planning Director Sidaro Sin, LEED AP, Senior Planner Sarah Selden, Associate Planner Laura Weigel, AICP, LEED AP, Associate Planner Jane Blackstone, Economic Development Manager Debra Andreades, AICP, Senior Planner Consultants: Kirstin Green, AICP, Principal Cogan Owens Cogan Steve Faust, AICP, Senior Planner, Cogan Owens Cogan Todd Chase, AICP, LEED AP, FCS Group This document updates and builds upon the work the Draft Housing Needs Assessment created by Winterbrook Planning and ECONorthwest in 2009-2010. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 3 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 3 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary 5 Introduction: Background and Context 9 Requirements 9 Vision and Goals (Local Aspirations) 10 Demographic and Population Overview 11 Demographic Trends and Forecasts 11 Housing Sales and In-Migration Trends 17 Population Forecast 21 Housing Land Supply and Capacity Analysis 21 Buildable Land Inventory 22 Redevelopment Analysis 24 Housing Needs Analysis 26 Housing Requirements 26 Comparison of Residential Capacity and Projected Demand 29 Future Needed Housing Types and Land 29 Summary and Policy Options 32 Implementation Strategies 32 Demographic Trends 32 Vacant Land Supply/Redevelopment 33 Metropolitan Housing Rule 33 Other Housing Strategies for Consideration 34 APPENDIX A. Housing Attainability Analysis for Lake Oswego USB 35 APPENDIX B. Federal Poverty Thresholds 36 APPENDIX C. Options for Providing New Dwellings within Lake Oswego USB 37 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 4 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 4 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report provides an evaluation of Lake Oswego's 20-year housing needs to inform the update of the City's Comprehensive Plan. Specifically, it provides the technical background to assist the City and community in developing policies that will implement the community's vision for 2035 while complying with state housing goals and requirements. This report was originally drafted during winter- spring 2011 and was updated in June 2012 primarily to reflect most recent Census information and 2012 median family income levels. The report was updated again in March 2013 to reflect consistency with the Metro adopted 2035 forecast. The Housing Needs Analysis will be adopted by reference when the Comprehensive Plan is adopted by ordinance in 2013, and serve as a factual basis for goals and policies. Lake Oswego's draft vision for Complete Neighborhoods and Housing states: We have a wide variety of neighborhoods with high quality, attractive and compatible housing that serves a range of ages, incomes and households. Our distinct and walkable neighborhoods contribute to the city's small town feel. Mixed-use districts enhance adjacent residential areas by providing access to quality jobs, housing, transit, entertainment, services and shopping. Higher density housing is located strategically and sensitively, including along transportation corridors and town centers to preserve the character of our existing neighborhoods. The State Goal for Housing states that: Buildable lands for residential use shall be inventoried and plans shall encourage the availability of adequate numbers of needed housing units at price ranges and rent levels which are commensurate with the financial capabilities of Oregon households and allow for flexibility of housing location, type and density. Demographic and Housing Forecast To meet both local and state goals, this document looks at population projections and demographic trends, along with Lake Oswego's housing trends. It then evaluates the current inventory of buildable land, which includes land that is vacant, partially-vacant (could be divided), and likely to redevelop (more intensely developed) over the 20-year planning period. Next the report allocates the total number of needed dwelling units to price ranges, dwelling types, and zoning categories to meet the needs of area households. Finally the report reconciles the housing need with land supply, and describes possible strategies to meet future needs along with implementing the community's vision and state requirements. In the fall of 2012, Metro completed its updated employment and housing forecast for 2035. Metro's updated forecasts incorporate local input to make the forecast consistent with the work conducted as part of the City's 2011 draft Housing Needs Analysis. The Metro numbers are slightly higher than the Household Forecast described this report, however the difference of less than two hundred households over twenty-five years is not significant enough to be of concern for planning purposes. Updated City and Metro forecasts are shown on the following page. The Lake Oswego City Council was presented with these forecasts along with the employment forecasts in September 2012, and on October 9, 2012 accepted the forecasts listed below, which were presented in the October 9, 2012 Council Report. The Metro Council adopted this Metro forecast for households on November 29, 2012. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 5 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 5 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update 2010 2035 2010 -2035 Average Units Estimate Projection Change Annual Change Population 43,094 51,000 8,006 320 City Forecast— 19,166 22,726 3,560 142 Households Metro Forecast— 19,556 23,299 3,743 150 Households According to U.S. Census estimates, the median age of Lake Oswego residents increased from 41.2 years in 2000 to 45.8 years of age in 2010. This is more than nine years older than the median age of residents within the Portland Vancouver Metropolitan Statistical Area (36.7). As older Baby Boomers tend to desire to remain in their current residence or community as long as possible, the population over age 75 is expected to increase measurably over the coming decades, while the 24-55 cohort is projected to shrink. If trends continue, the younger population cohorts (age 5-14) are likely to remain flat or experience negative growth. Housing Land Supply Lake Oswego's land area is designated primarily for residential use, with nearly 60% of the land within the USB zoned for low-density residential development with minimum lot sizes of 7,500-15,000 sq. ft. Lake Oswego has a relatively new housing stock, with only 13% built prior to 1950, and 26% built since 1990. The housing is primarily owner-occupied, though attached and multi-family housing represented an increasing share of new development since 2000 (65%). Median home prices reached their peak in 2005 and have since fallen an average of nearly 33%, to $338,100. Lake Oswego has approximately 600 acres of vacant and part-vacant land, the large majority of which fall into the part-vacant category, meaning they are at least 2.5 times the minimum lot size for the zone, and could be divided to form additional lots. Over 90 percent of this land is located on lots zoned for a minimum size of at least 7,500 sq. ft. The buildable land inventory also includes an analysis of redevelopment potential on medium and high-density residential land, and on commercial land where housing is a permitted use along with commercial uses (referred to in this document as "mixed use" zones). This analysis examines where these zones have developed below their potential capacity, and may add additional units in the future, assuming that properties have redevelopment potential when the building value is up to 150% of the land value. The analysis demonstrated a large capacity for new high-density units in mixed-use areas like Downtown and Lake Grove Village Center. Including vacant, part-vacant, and redevelopable land, Lake Oswego's total buildable land inventory could accommodate approximately 5,500 new units. Housing Need In addition to determining the total number of needed units based on population forecast, the State requires jurisdictions to provide housing that is "commensurate with the financial capabilities of Oregon households." This report used Clackamas County's demographics to demonstrate attainability needs for future residents. Based on the County income distribution, Lake Oswego's demographic trends and land supply, the following mix of housing types was estimated to meet future needs: 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 6 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 6 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Owner-Occupied Renter-Occupied All Dwelling Dwelling Units Dwelling Units Units Housing Tenure Distribution: 60.0% 40.0% 100% Housing Unit/Type Distribution Detached Large Lot SF (>5,000 sq.ft. lot size) 34% 4% 22.0% Detached Small Lot SF "cottages" (<+5,000 sq.ft. lot size) 18% 5% 12.8% Attached SF (Rowhouses, Secondary Dus, 30% 8% 21.2% Zero Lot Line DUs) Duplex/Triplex 10% 11% 10.4% Multifamily (Apartments, Condos) 8% 72% 33.6% Total 100% 100% 100% Conclusion The results of the housing analysis (see Table 20, p. 29) indicate that the Lake Oswego Urban Services Boundary has an adequate amount of vacant and part-vacant, and redevelopable land area to meet the 2035 forecasts for its projected housing needs. While the low-density dwellings can be accommodated on vacant and part vacant land, the community will need to rely on redevelopment in existing medium- and high-density residential zones and mixed-use zones to meet the projected need for smaller and attached housing types. In order to realize the housing redevelopment potential described in this report, the City will need to develop new strategies such as incentives or requirements for new development in the town centers to include a minimum number of housing units. In addition, re-zoning and redevelopment of the area identified in the Foothills District Plan provides an additional opportunity to create high-density housing units and may lower the needed capacity for high-density housing units through redevelopment in mixed-use and high-density residential areas. In addition to supporting the right size and type of dwelling unit, the city may need to establish strategies to help ensure a range of housing prices is maintained over time, in particular to provide affordable housing for residents earning less than 80 percent of the median family income, which represents 45 percent of Clackamas County households and 30 percent of Lake Oswego households. To meet the State's Metropolitan Housing Rule, Lake Oswego will be updating its development code to ensure that all new housing may be developed under clear and objective review standards that do not have the effect of discouraging housing or reducing the proposed housing density as allowed through zoning. Finally, the Housing Rule requires cities within the Metro Urban Growth Boundary to provide minimum zoned density levels. Lake Oswego must provide for an average density of ten or more dwelling units per net buildable acre. Lake Oswego has demonstrated compliance with this rule at each Periodic Review since the City's original acknowledgement of its 1978 Comprehensive Plan. In 1994, DLCD acknowledged Lake Oswego's average density at 10.2 dwelling units/acre. Consistent with the City's 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 7 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 7 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update last acknowledgement, Lake Oswego plans to demonstrate its average density "based on the jurisdiction BLI at the time of acknowledgment as updated," which the City's preliminary analysis shows continues to meet the 10 dwelling units/acre requirement. The information in this report, along with a preferred land use scenario and updated population forecast, will form the starting place of the community's Comprehensive Plan policy discussion for Complete Neighborhoods and Housing, meeting Lake Oswego's housing needs for the next 20 years by providing "high quality, attractive and compatible housing that serves a range of ages, incomes and households." 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 8 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 8 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update INTRODUCTION: BACKGROUND AND CONTEXT The City of Lake Oswego is conducting a Housing Needs Analysis (HNA) as required by its State of Oregon Comprehensive Plan Periodic Review Work Program to update its long-range Comprehensive Plan (Plan) by June, 2013. The City received grant funds from the Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD) for technical consultant assistance to help update Goal 10 of the Plan. The City also elected to take advantage of periodic review to create a comprehensive vision for the City to guide policies, investments and associated implementing actions. This HNA presents current and projected demographic and housing data within the statewide land use planning regulatory context. The assessment of housing needs and development potential frames preliminary implementation actions for the City to consider in order to provide housing opportunities consistent with legal requirements and community aspirations. Requirements As part of its Comprehensive Plan update, the City must address its Plan chapter associated with statewide land use planning Goal 10 (OAR 660-015-0000), its implementing/guiding measure, the Metropolitan Housing Rule (OAR 660-007), and the Portland Metropolitan Area Functional Plan Title 1, Requirements for Housing and Employment Accommodation. The intent of Goal 10 is to ensure provision for the housing needs of citizens of the State; and to ensure that each city accommodates its fair share of regional housing needs. To this end, Goal 10 requires that cities demonstrate sufficient buildable land that could produce a range of housing types appropriate to meet housing needs'. State laws in this area require that a range of housing types must be accommodated within Lake Oswego. Approval standards for needed housing types and densities must be "clear and objective" and must not have the effect, individually or cumulatively, of discouraging needed housing through unreasonable cost or delay.2 Statewide Metropolitan Housing Rule In the Portland Metro region, Goal 10 is also implemented through the Metropolitan Housing Rule (MHR), OAR Chapter 660, Division 007. The rule applies to the cities and three counties within the Metro Urban Growth Boundary (UGB), including Lake Oswego, and addresses the Metro area as a regional market in terms of housing demand and buildable land supply and establishes minimum housing type and density standards for each city. An important requirement of the MHR for Lake Oswego is to zone land to provide the opportunity for new residential construction to consist of at least 50% attached housing, and to provide an overall density of 10 or more dwelling units per net buildable acre3. 1 See ORS 197.295 through 197.314, also known as"the needed housing statutes." 2 See ORS 197.307(6): "Any approval standards, special conditions and the procedures for approval adopted by a local government shall be clear and objective and may not have the effect, either in themselves or cumulatively, of discouraging needed housing through unreasonable cost or delay." See also OAR 660-007-0015: "Clear and Objective Approval Standards Required Local approval standards, special conditions and procedures regulating the development of needed housing must be clear and objective, and must not have the effect, either of themselves or cumulatively, of discouraging needed housing through unreasonable cost or delay." 3 OAR 660-007-(3) Multnomah County and the cities of Portland, Gresham, Beaverton, Hillsboro, Lake Oswego and Tigard must provide for an overall density of ten or more dwelling units per net buildable acre. These are larger urbanized jurisdictions with regionally coordinated population projections of 50,000 or more for their active planning areas, which encompass or are near major employment centers, and which are situated along regional transportation corridors. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 9 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 9 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Metro's Urban Growth Management Functional Plan Title 1 Title 1 of Metro's Urban Growth Management Functional Plan is intended to promote efficient land use for housing and employment within the Metro UGB. This Functional Plan is essentially a regional Comprehensive Plan and seeks to assure that each city plans for adequate capacity of buildable land to accommodate future housing. The primary tool for achieving this objective is for local governments to determine the location of 2040 Growth Concept design types (town centers, main streets, corridors, etc.) and incorporate these designations into adopted comprehensive plans. In 1999, the 2040 Growth Concept design types were incorporated into the Lake Oswego Comprehensive Plan by Ordinance 2204. Title 1 previously established dwelling unit capacity targets for each local government based primarily on the amount of buildable land and refill assumptions for each jurisdiction. In 1998 and 2002, Metro found that Lake Oswego met Title 1 capacity requirements. In December 2010, the Metro Council adopted Ordinance 10-1244B, known as the "capacity ordinance." This ordinance replaced the dwelling capacity target number with a "no net loss policy." Title 1 now requires the City to maintain the existing dwelling unit capacity by ensuring that any proposed zone change does not reduce the City's overall dwelling unit capacity. The draft Metro Urban Growth Report (UGR) (December 2009) is currently being updated with an expected completion date of December 2011. Lake Oswego will continue working with Metro toward a coordinated local dwelling unit forecast for 2035 through their periodic review Plan update process. Vision and Goals (Local Aspirations) The City of Lake Oswego has prepared a draft 2035 vision statement which includes seven specific action areas. Goal 10 is addressed by the Complete Neighborhoods and Housing action area, which states: We have a wide variety of neighborhoods with high quality, attractive and compatible housing that serves a range of ages, incomes and households. Our distinct and walkable neighborhoods contribute to the city's small town feel. Mixed-use districts enhance adjacent residential areas by providing access to quality jobs, housing, transit, entertainment, services and shopping. Higher density housing is located strategically and sensitively, including along transportation corridors and town centers to preserve the character of our existing neighborhoods. While Lake Oswego's vision for Complete Neighborhoods and Housing includes an aspiration to accommodate a range of ages, incomes and households, demographic trends indicate an aging population. The largest population cohort in Lake Oswego is the 45 to 64 year age group, compared to Clackamas County and the Portland-Vancouver Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), where the 20 to 44 year old cohort is the largest. This suggests that people are remaining in or moving to Lake Oswego to retire. This trend indicates a need to plan for housing oriented toward older age groups that typically desire well-located, safe, smaller units with lower property maintenance requirements. For more information on the needs of this age group, see A Community Vision for Aging in Lake Oswego, Report on the City of Lake Oswego 50+ Community Dialogues. Lake Oswego also has relatively few younger, working-age families when compared with Clackamas County and the region. Discussions with the Comprehensive Plan Citizen Advisory Committee and the community as a whole have indicated a specific desire to attract more young families with children, which are vital to the city and schools in particular. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 10 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 10 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update DEMOGRAPHIC AND POPULATION OVERVIEW Demographic Trends and Forecasts Lake Oswego is located in the desirable inner-urban area within the greater Portland region. This location is considered advantageous for accessing downtown Portland and its surrounding communities within a manageable commute. Downtown Lake Oswego's ongoing renaissance and the city's excellent parks, schools and community facilities continue to serve as attributes that make it a desirable place to live, work and visit. As Figure 1 indicates, the U.S. Census Bureau's 2010 census count estimated there to be approximately 36,619 people in the City of Lake Oswego'', which is an increase of 1,341 people since the 2000 U.S. Census.5 This figure also demonstrates the rate of growth by decade over the last century, which slowed considerably in the last ten years. For comparison purposes, Figure 2 shows the more recent twenty-year growth trend and population estimates prepared by Portland State University, which indicate a population of 36,845 within the Lake Oswego city limits as of July 1, 2010. Figure 1. Lake Oswego Historic Population Trends, 1920-2010 City of Lake Oswego Population Trends, 1920- 2010 (source: U.S. Census) 40,000 36,61'y 35,000 l c,278 30,000 30,570 25,000 22,527 20,000 14,573 15,000 10,000 8,906 3,316 5,000 -1,816 1 1,285 1,727 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: U.S. Census;compiled by FCS Group. 4 The Census area is slightly larger than the city limits,but smaller than the urban services boundary(USB). a Limited Census 2010 information was available at the conclusion of the grant period.Where information was available,it was included. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 11 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 11 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Figure 2. Lake Oswego Recent Population Trends, 1990-2011 City of Lake Oswego Population Trends, 1990 - 2011 (source:PSU) 440,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1440 l941 1947 7493 1944 l' 1 I99r 7491 114'314 1999 7[INI 2001 704I1 J017.4 J0I14 ADS 211W Jtlfll • JI3[1R 2004 20111 2011 I City Pup_30,570 31,022 31,480j31,945 17,417 31,896.33.383 31.876 34,377I34.884!35.400 35,565 35,733 35.840 35.310 36,055 36,330 36325.36,570 36,755 35,845036,725 Source:Portland State University, Population Research Center;compiled by FCS Group. Lake Oswego experienced a net gain of approximately 1,097 households since year 2000, with an increase of 414 family households and 710 nonfamily households, which represents an increase in the share of nonfamily households when compared to the 2006-08 Census data. Another notable shift as indicated in Table 1 on the following page, is the decrease in average household size from 2000-2010, which indicates a recent trend when compared to the increase in household size that occurred between 2000 and 2006-8. More recent 2010 estimates by City of Lake Oswego Long Range Planning staff for the Lake Oswego USB indicate a relatively lower ratio of population to total dwelling units. Using GIS data, City staff estimates that there were 43,09 people and 19,166 dwelling units in the Lake Oswego Urban Service Boundary (USB) in 2010; with a ratio of people per dwelling unit of 2.25. The fact that this ratio is lower than the average household size estimate reported by the U.S. Census is to be expected, since the U.S. Census tallies only occupied dwelling units and population that resides in households (not group quarters) population. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 12 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 12 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Table 1. Lake Oswe•o Demo•raphic and Socio-economic Trends Census 2000 Census 2010 Change Population 35,237 36,619 1,382 Group Quarters Population 163 222 59 Households 14,796 15,893 1,097 Family Households 9,665 10,079 414 Nonfamily Households 5,104 5,814 710 Average Household Size 2.38 2.29 (0.09) Average Family Size 2.95 2.88 (0.07) Median Age 41.2 45.8 4.6 Census 2000 ACS 2008-10 Change Median Household Income (unadjusted) $71,597 $81,097 $9,500 Median Family Income (unadjusted) $94,587 $105,722 $11,135 Per Capita Income (unadjusted) $42,166 $47,704 $5,538 Median Household Income (inflation adjusted)* $98,883 $86,977 ($11,906) Median Family Income (inflation adjusted)* $130,634 $113,387 ($17,247) Per Capita Income (inflation adjusted)* $58,235 $51,163 ($7,073) *Income data were adjusted to current June 2012 dollars by FCS Group based on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, inflation calculator. Source:U.S. Census, 2000 and 2010 and 2008-2010 American Community Survey, data compiled by FCS Group According to U.S. Census estimates, the median age of Lake Oswego residents also increased from 41.2 years in 2000 to 45.8 years of age in 2010. This is more than nine years older than the median age of residents within the Portland Vancouver MSA region (36.7). In fact, Lake Oswego has more residents over age 65 than all other cities in the greater Portland region, with the exception of King City. Table 2 indicates that Lake Oswego continues to retain and attract upper-income households. The portion of all households with annual income levels of more than $100,000 increased slightly from 35% to 38% from 2000 to 2008-10. While the portion of households earning below $75,000 fell slightly, this income level (just above the 2012 Median Family Income for Clackamas County) still represents 47% of all Lake Oswego Households. Table 2. Households b Income Level, Lake Oswe•o Income Cohort Census 2000 ACS 2008-2010 Change Number Dist. % Number Dist.% Number Percent less than $14,999 861 5.8% 770 4.9% (91) -0.9% $15,000 to $34,999 2,338 15.8% 1,951 12.5% (387) -3.3% $35,000 to $74,999 4,472 30.2% 4,615 29.5% 143 -0.7% $75,000 to $99,999 1,931 13.0% 2,359 15.1% 428 2.1% $100,000 to $149,999 2,550 17.2% 2,361 15.1% (189) -2.1% $150,000 to $199,999 1,090 7.4% 1,602 10.2% 512 2.8% $200,000 or more 1,582 10.7% 1,989 12.7% 407 2.0% Total 14,824 100% 15,647 I 100% 823 -0.1% Source:2000 U.S. Census data income levels expressed in 1999 dollars, and 2008-2010 U.S. Census American Community Survey, income levels expressed in 2009 dollars. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 13 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 13 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update According to the U.S. Census 2008-2010 American Community Survey, Lake Oswego's average per capita income was $47,704, median household income was $86,977, and median family income was $113,387 in 2012 dollar amounts. While average income levels in Lake Oswego have increased in nominal dollars, inflation adjusted income levels have fallen since 2000. This trend towards lower real income levels has been well- documented in the Portland region and nationally, and is primarily attributed to the shrinking income levels in middle-income households and higher costs of living for items such as housing, transportation, food, energy and health care. Poverty levels in Lake Oswego are relatively low in the region, however according to the U.S. Census 2006-2008 American Community Survey, Lake Oswego still has an estimated 2,602 people in poverty. A closer look at population age cohort patterns for Lake Oswego reflects the aging "Baby Boom" population, defined as those born between 1946 and 1965. As indicated in Figure 3 and Table 4, population cohorts that experienced the most significant increase are Baby Boomers within the 55-64 and 65-74 age ranges. These Baby Boomers age 55-74 recorded a combined gain of 4,315 people since 2000. As summarized in Figure 3 and Table 4 below, since 2000 there have been significant increases in the 55-64 and 65-74 age cohorts, with increases of 70% and 113% respectively. The only other increase occurred among the 15-19 age cohort with a minor 15 person gain. The 20-54 age cohorts experienced the most significant population decline, followed by the birth-age 14 cohort. Figure 3. Population Age Cohort Trends, Lake Oswego, 2000 and circa 2010 Population Pyramid for Lake Population Pyramid for Lake Oswego, 2000 Oswego, 2010 %of total pop.;source: U.S. Census %of total pop.;source: U.S. Census Age 75 + 2_1 5.1 female Age 75 + 2.7 4.9 female 65 to 74 2.5 1.6 % 65 to 74 4.0 4.6 % 55 to 64 5.2 5.3 55 to 64 8.1 9.1 45 to 54 9.9 10.v 45 to 54 8.2 9.6 25 to 44 12 4 14.3 25 to 44 10,0 11.0 20 to 24 2_0 2.2 20 to 24 1.9 1.'3 15 to 19 3.7 1.2 15 to 19 3A 1.2 10 to 14 4.2 3.7 10 to 14 3.9 ;.5 5 to 9 3.5 3.4 5 to 9 3.0 2_8 Age 5 - 2,6 2.4 Age 5 - 21 2.1) 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 14 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 14 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Table 4. Lake Oswe•o Area Po•ulation A•e Cohort Trends Percent Age Cohort(years) Census 2000 Census 2010 Change Change under 5 1,746 1,489 (257) -15% 5 to 9 2,426 2,129 (297) -12% 10 to 14 2,810 2,694 (116) -4% 15 to 19 2,424 2,439 15 1% 20 to 24 1,470 1,403 (67) -5% 25 to 44 9,441 7,697 (1,744) -18% 45 to 54 7,267 6,548 (719) -10% 55 to 64 3,676 6,302 2,626 71% 65 to 74 1,477 3,166 1,689 114% 75+ 2,541 2,752 211 8% Total 35,278 36,619 1,341 4% Source: U.S. Census, 2000 and 2010. Lake Oswego area is slightly larger than city limits but smaller than the Urban Service Boundary. Figure 4. Lake Oswego Population Trends and Forecasts Source:U.S. Census(trend)and FCS GROUP(forecast) 100% 90% - 80% - 75+ 70% -Y 65 to 74 • 55 to 64 60% - • 45 to 54 50% - ------ - -- - 4 25 to 44 II 20 to 24 40% • 15 to 19 30% - 1 10 to 14 ■ 5to9 20% w . ■ under 5 10% - - — ". t `LOGO ,y0ti� e rLcS.' 0'10� ,MCP `e �0.5 4.`'��2.� F0- <(0 <(0 4°�� (<0 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 15 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 15 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Source:FCS Group. As older Baby Boomers tend to desire to remain in their current residence or community as long as possible, the population over age 75 is expected to increase measurably over the coming decades. However, the younger population cohorts (age 5-14) are likely to remain flat or experience negative growth. Table 5. Lake Oswe•o Area Annual Historic Po•ulation Growth Rates 10-Year Trend Long-Term Trend 2000 to 2010 1990 to 2010 Number AAGR% Number AAGR% Total Population 134 0.4% 302 0.9% Male 33 0.2% 133 0.8% Female 101 0.5% 169 1.0% Age Cohort(years) under 5 (26) -1.6% (14) -0.9% 5 to 9 (30) -1.3% 5 0.2% 10 to 14 (12) -0.4% 26 1.1% 15 to 19 2 0.1% 26 1.2% 20 to 24 (7) -0.5% 2 0.2% 25 to 44 (174) -2.0% (159) -1.7% 45 to 54 (72) -1.0% 101 1.9% 55 to 64 263 5.5% 188 4.7% 65 to 74 169 7.9% 58 2.3% 75+ 21 0.8% 69 3.6% Source: US Census.AAGR=average annual growth rate. A declining younger (school age) population is also evidenced by Lake Oswego School District enrollment levels. After maintaining enrollment levels above 7,000 students between 1995 and 2001, School District enrollment levels have declined over the past several years. Between 2001 and 2009, total school district enrollment declined to 6,702 students. The most significant enrollment decline occurred in the elementary school level, which lost 368 students over the 2001-2009 time period, while the junior high school enrollment dropped by 110 students. This decline was countered by a slight increase in high school enrollment of 26 students during this time period. Current 10-year student enrollment forecasts prepared by the Lake Oswego School District range from no growth (best case) to a loss of 342 students (most likely scenario) to a loss of 632 students (worst case). The School District intends to have an updated forecast in December 2012. Since housing demand is generally a function of population change and household size, it is important to understand how changing demographics translate into evolving housing needs. As indicated in Table 6A, U.S. Census estimates show the fastest growing segment of household formations in Lake Oswego since 2000 has occurred among senior households, while the household segment with members less than age 18 declined by 429 since 2000. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 16 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 16 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update An analysis of marital status in Table 6A indicates that Lake Oswego is attracting and retaining single (unmarried) households and is "losing" married households with children; which often occurs as kids move away to college or for work, and the household becomes reclassified as "empty nesters." As evidenced by the data shown in Table 6A, the city is still attractive to single-parent households, but the number of married households with kids is declining. Table 6A. Lake Oswe•o Area Household Formation Trends Household Type Census 2000 Census 2010 Change HHs with 1 or more<18 yrs 4,862 4,433 (429) HHs with 1 or more 18 to 65 yrs 7,049 6,996 (53) HHs with 1 or more>65 yrs 2,858 4,310 1,452 Total 14,769 15,739 970 Household Type Census 2000 Census 2010 Change Married,w/Kids under 18 yrs 3,918 3,522 (396) Married, no Kids 4,377 4915 538 Single, under age 65 2,958 3939 981 Single, over age 65 1,163 1,875 712 Other* 2,353 1,488 (865) Total 14,769 15,739 970 *Includes non-related people living together. Source: U.S. Census, 2000 and 2010, compiled by FCS Group. Table 6B below also shows that renter households have a significant share of the total households with children under age 18. This is an important consideration in the city's planning for future housing types and desire to attract more families with school-age children. Table 6B. Lake Oswego Households Tenure by Age of Related Children, 2010 Household Type Owner Renter Total With Children Under 18 3,473 1,085 4,558 With Children under 6 497 284 781 With Children between 6-17 449 622 1,071 With no Children under 18 7,477 3,858 11,335 Total 10,950 4,943 15,893 Source: U.S. Census, 2000 and 2010 and 2008-2010 American Community Survey, data compiled by FCS Group Housing Sales and In-Migration Trends The recent 2008-2009 economic recession created turmoil in the housing market for Lake Oswego, as with most cities across the United States. Median home prices in Lake Oswego have fallen about 33% since hitting a peak of$502,000 in February 2008. Median sales prices in Lake Oswego were $338,100 as of April 2012 according to Zillow.com, As indicated in Table 7, average home prices in Lake Oswego recorded a significant 13.5% decline from one year ago, with the median sales price now lower than West Linn. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 17 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 17 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Table 7. Median Home Sales Price Trends in Selected Markets Year-Over Year Market Location Median Sales Price Median Sales Change,April 2011 Price to April 2012 Lake Oswego -13.5% $338,100 West Linn 16.5% $353,800 I Tualatin 19.6% $337,900 I Beaverton -3.0% $209,000 I Portland 1.7% $252,800 Source:Zillow.corn In 2010, Lake Oswego's housing prices on a per-square-foot of floor area basis exceed neighboring jurisdictions in all price levels, with one exception in Portland. Average price/sq ft levels were higher in Lake Oswego relative to other jurisdictions with the exception of Portland homes priced between $350,000 and $500,000 as shown in tables Table 8 and Figure 5. Recent home sales in the Portland market in the $350,000 to $499,000 price category were dominated by relatively new condominium units with relatively small floor plans, hence the cost per square foot tends to exceed Lake Oswego in this price category. There are many reasons why a variation in sales price per square foot occurs, such as: relative property taxes, quality of public education/schools; community image; and perceived quality of life. Other factors, such as the relative age of housing structure and level of amenities also play a role in the sales price per square foot. With regard to the homes priced above $1 million, many of the most expensive homes in Lake Oswego are relatively new or rehabilitated dwellings with Mt. Hood Views and/or Oswego Lake access; amenities that command price premiums. Table 8. Average Home Sales Price Per SF of Floor Area in Selected Market Areas Ave Home Sales Price Per SF of Floor Area in Selected Market Areas Price Range Lake Oswego Portland West Linn Tualatin Beaverton $349korless $166 $157 $153 $137 $133 $350.499k $159 $166 $150 $146 $138 $500-699k $209 $197 $162 $156 $156 $700.999k $233 $184 $148 $184 $177 $1M or more $358 $255 n/a n/a n/a Lake Oswego Average Home Sales Prices Per SF Compared to: Price Range Portland West Linn Tualatin Beaverton $349k or less 106% 109% 122% 125% $350.499k 96% 106% 109% 115% $500-699k 106% 129% 134% 134% $700.999k 127% 157% 127% 132% 1M or more 140% n/a n/a n/a Source:Zillow.corn hosed on sample of actual housing sales over post 12 months;os of March 31, 2010. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 18 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 18 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Figure 5. Average Home Sales Price Per SF by Price Range, March 2009 to March 2010 Average Home Sales Price Per Square Foot by Price Range, March 2009 to March 2010 (source Zillow.com) $400 $358 $350 $300 • Lake Oswego $255 $250 yZ33 • Portland $209 West$197 VVest Linn $200 184 51l34 $166 $166 162 $177 157 $159 $150 $156 $156 $150 ■ Tualatin $153$137 $146 0 14 $133 Beaverton $100 $50 $- $349k or less $350-499k $500-699k $700-999k $1M or more Source:FCS Group. One reason for the relatively high cost of Lake Oswego housing is the average age of the structure. Lake Oswego's housing stock is relatively new in comparison to the Portland market. In Lake Oswego, nearly 26% of the dwellings were built since 1990, while less than 17% of the inventory in Portland was built since 1990. In Lake Oswego, only 13% of the housing inventory was built before 1950, whereas in Portland, 57% of the inventory predates 1950. Lake Oswego housing is predominantly owner-occupied, with 64% of the total housing inventory occupied by owners and 29% occupied by renters. However, the share of multifamily dwellings as a percentage of the total housing inventory is increasing. As indicated in Figure 6 and Table 9, recent increases in the housing inventory have been predominantly made up of multifamily structures (apartments and condominiums) and single family attached (townhome) units, which together accounted for 65% of the total housing inventory additions since 2000, according to U.S. Census estimates. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 19 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 19 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Figure 6. Lake Oswego Housing Inventory Additions, 2000 to 2010 (Source: U.S. Census) Mobile Home 1% Single-Family Detached 34% Multi-Family 48% iV_ Single-Family Attached/ Plexes 17% *Estimates for circa 2007 reflect data from the U.S. Census American Community Survey 2006-2008. Table 9. Lake Oswe•o Housin• Characteristics Census 2000 Census 2010 Change Dwelling Units Owner-Occupied 10,423 10,950 527 Renter-Occupied 4,346 4,943 597 Vacant* 972 1,102 130 Total Unit Count 15,741 16,995 1,254 Structure Type =KaiI.IuI.W4IlSle itaar41111aMti Single-Family Detached 10,055 10,425 370 Single-Family Attached/Plexes 2,117 2,295 178 Multi-Family 3,470 3,984 514 Mobile Home 26 42 16 Total Unit Count 15,668 16,746 1,078 ISa i l it{.t.0lwll-GLN'P.1,l,l:iM ILI Median Home Value $296,200 $535,300 $239,100 Median Gross Rent $839 $1,111 $272 *indicates that data was obtained from 2010 census Source: U.S. Census, 2000 and 2010 and 2008-2010 American Community Survey, data compiled by FCS Group 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 20 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 20 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update In light of the increase in seniors over the age of 65 and increase in married and single households without kids, the desired mix of future housing demand will likely be strongest for relatively smaller two bedroom dwelling units, including single family "cottages", multifamily apartments and low rise flats or condominiums. This report estimates about 10% of the population over the age of 75 will opt to live in assisted living facilities. Given that assumption, the City will likely see a measured increase in the demand for senior care assisted living facilities, but the vast majority of Lake Oswego Baby Boomers will opt to remain in their current residence as long as possible to "age in place". A significant share may also opt to relocate into smaller dwellings within Lake Oswego, if attainable housing alternatives exist. Population Forecast The population growth forecast for the Lake Oswego USB considered for this HNA are summarized in Table 10. Base year (2010) housing counts reflect current Lake Oswego Planning Department staff estimates for housing units within the Lake Oswego USB. Population 2010 base year estimates for the Lake Oswego USB assume 2.25 people per occupied housing unit, based on Lake Oswego Planning Department estimates. For regulatory compliance, Lake Oswego is required to adopt a forecast"consistent" with that which Metro establishes for Lake Oswego. At the time this report was originally developed in 2011, the most recent long-term jobs and households forecast for the Lake Oswego area was adopted by the Metro Council in 2005 (Metroscope Generation 2.3).The May 2011 draft of this report used two growth forecasts to explore a range of options while Metro worked with local jurisdictions to update the forecasts. In June 2012, the report was updated to be consistent with draft projections by Metro, and the forecast range was narrowed to the single "Medium Growth Forecast" originally presented in the May 2011 draft. In the fall of 2012, Metro completed its updated employment and housing forecast for 2035, which maintained consistency with the "Medium Growth Forecast" for households originally developed by the City. Updated City and Metro forecasts are shown on the table below. The Lake Oswego City Council was presented with these forecasts along with the employment forecasts in September 2012, and on October 9, 2012 accepted the forecasts listed below, which were presented in the October 9, 2012 Council Report. The Metro Council adopted Metro forecast for households on November 29, 2012. This forecast is based on Lake Oswego's capacity for future housing units on vacant, part-vacant and redevelopable land among other trends and market assumptions. Table 10. Summary of Growth Forecast 2010 2035 2010 - 2035 Average Units Estimate Projection Change Annual Change Population 43,094 51,000 8,006 320 City Forecast— 19,166 22,726 3,560 142 Households Metro Forecast— 19,556 23,299 3,743 150 Households 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 21 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 21 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update HOUSING LAND SUPPLY AND CAPACITY ANALYSIS The housing demand and vacant buildable lands inventory (BLI) methodology in this section should be consistent with the state Metropolitan Housing Rule (MHR) requirements. The following steps were performed: 1. Calculated gross BLI of vacant and part-vacant residential-zoned land in Lake Oswego USB. 2. Removed environmental constraints and land for public facilities. 3. Determined minimum and maximum housing capacity allowed with current zoning on vacant buildable lands. 4. Determined 20-year housing needs based on the growth forecast. 5. Compared dwelling demand forecast to dwelling capacity on vacant, part vacant and redevelopment lands using current zoning. 6. Applied MHR requirements: - Provide the opportunity for a 50/50 mix of attached and detached housing. - Provide for an overall density of 10 dwelling units/acre for needed land. - Provide types and densities for present and future area residents of all incomes. Buildable Land Inventory The City of Lake Oswego Planning Department estimates that the City has approximately 600 acres of buildable lands in residentially designated zones, including approximately 77 acres of vacant land and over 500 acres of part-vacant residentially zoned land as shown in Table 11. Part vacant land may have a structure on it, but the footprint of that structure could easily allow for further residential unit(s) on the site under current zoning. This analysis considered lots partially vacant if they were at least 2.5 times the minimum lot size for the zone. Table 11. Summary of Vacant and Part-Vacant Residential Buildable Land Inventory and Expected Dwelling Capacity Levels Residentially Designated Land and Buildable Land Inventory, Lake Oswego USB Total Area as Total Zone/Plan Acres % of Vacant Part Vacant/ Designation within Total Acres Vacant Part Vacant USB Land in Acres Acres USB R-0 225.7 2.7% 0.0 5.6 5.6 R-2 10.1 0.1% 2.2 0 2.2 R-2.5 3.2 <0.1% 0.4 0 0.4 R-3 166.6 2.0% 0.5 12.5 13.0 R-5 503.7 6.0% 4.4 18.1 22.5 R-6 104.2 1.2% 0.6 0 0.6 R-7.5 2122.2 25.2% 33.0 242.7 275.7 R-10 1921.8 22.8% 18.5 179.5 198.0 R-15 822.8 9.8% 17.7 80.5 98.2 Total I 77.3 I 538.9 616.2 Source: City of Lake Oswego, 2009. Table 12 shows that the vacant land area is zoned to accommodate approximately 447 new dwelling units under current zoning. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 22 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 22 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Table 12. Summary of Vacant Residential Buildable Land Inventory and Expected Dwelling Capacity Levels Maximum Maximum Zone/Plan Vacant Allowed Allowed/ Designation Acres Density Permitted (DU/Acre) Dwellings R-0 0.0 34.0 0 R-2 2.2 28.5 63 R-2.5 0.4 28.5 11 R-3 0.5 12.9 6 R-5 4.4 8.7 38 R-6 0.6 7.3 4 R-7.5 33.0 5.8 191 R-10 18.5 4.4 81 R-15 17.7 2.9 51 Total 77.3 5.8 447 Source:City of Lake Oswego, Winterbrook Planning. As shown in Table 13, Lake Oswego's current development opportunities on vacant and part-vacant land are primarily concentrated among lower-density land use zone/plan designations. The part- vacant land inventory is estimated to accommodate 1,708 net new dwellings under current land use zone/plan designations. Table 13. Summary of Part-Vacant Residential Buildable Land Inventory and Expected Dwelling Capacity Levels Maximum Dwelling Less Maximum Zone/Plan Part Vacant Allowed Unit Cap Existing Net New Designation Acres Density (Max) Dwelling Dwellings (DUs/Acre) Units R-0 5.6 34.0 191 44 147 R-2 0 28.5 0 0 0 R-2.5 0 28.5 0 0 0 R-3 12.5 12.9 162 33 129 R-5 18.1 8.7 158 43 115 R-6 0 7.3 0 0 0 R-7.5 242.7 5.8 1,409 631 778 R-10 179.5 4.4 782 332 450 R-15 80.5 2.9 234 145 89 Total 538.9 5.5 2,936 1,228 1,708 Source: City of Lake Oswego, January 2011. Combining the number expected dwelling units on vacant land (447) and part-vacant land (1,708) results in a dwelling capacity of 2,155 units. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 23 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 23 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Redevelopment Analysis In order to better understand how many new housing units may be constructed on land within the Lake Oswego USB, FCS Group and Lake Oswego Planning staff also estimated the potential number of net new units that could reasonably be expected to redevelop in medium and high-density residential and mixed-use zones. The residential redevelopment analysis focuses on medium and higher density residential zones in the USB (R-0, R-2, R-2.5, R-3, R-5) where there is capacity for additional units to be added through redevelopment. The analysis includes lots with an assessed improvement value to land value ratio of 1.5 or less and tax lots over 0.20 acres (8,712 SF) in net buildable land area, which are considered likely to redevelop by 2035. Environmental constraints were removed, and the maximum capacity calculated based on net acreage by zone. Existing dwellings were estimated based on total developed residential floor area (assuming an average of 1,250 square feet per dwelling unit) then subtracted from the potential capacity to determine the net potential for additional units. As shown in Table 14 below, the preliminary redevelopment analysis identifies the potential for up to 1,331 net new dwellings in medium and high-density residential zones. Table 14. Summary of Redevelopment Potential in Medium and High-Density Residential Zones Maximum Max. Potential Buildable Allowed Less DUs at Net New Redevelopment DUs Per Estimated Existing DU Zoning Acres Acre Existing DUs Zoning Capacity R-0 17.4 34.0 148 657 509 R-2 4.2 28.5 31 91 60 R-2.5 1.3 28.5 2 36 34 R-3 36.9 12.9 196 493 297 R-5 67.4 8.7 160 590 432 Total 127.1 537 1,867 1,331 Source:Analysis by FCS Group and City of Lake Oswego Long Range Planning staff, 2011. A redevelopment analysis also was conducted for mixed use zones that allows both residential and commercial uses (GC/R-0, NC/R-0, OC/R-3, EC, GC, HC, EC/R-0). This analysis focused on the following key districts: Foothills, Downtown, Kruse Way and the Boones Ferry Corridor. The same methodology used to remove constraints and determine vacant and part-vacant buildable land was used in the redevelopment analysis. In addition, this analysis assumes a range of building floor areas allocated toward housing, as noted in Table 15, under"Estimated Residential FAR as % of Total FAR." The residential allocation assumptions reflected here differ by zone based on City staff and consultant observations in the city and region. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 24 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 24 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Table 15. Summary of Redevelopment Potential in Mixed-Use Zones Estimated Estimated Maximum Net Estimated Max Estimated New Buildable FAR Max Building SF Residential Dwellings Less Estimated Redevelop- Per at Zoned FAR as%of at Zoned Existing Max Net Zoning men Acres* Zoning Capacity Total FAR Capacity** DUs New DUs GC 21.3 0.30 278,218 50% 121 - 121 NC/R-0 2.3 0.25 25,047 50% 11 1 10 OC/R3 12.0 0.30 157,208 50% 68 2 66 EC 14.8 3.00 1,936,678 80% 1,347 9 1,338 HC 29.0 0.30 378,319 10% 33 - 33 CR&D 0 - - - - - - EC/R-0 0 - - - - - - OC 1.6 0.30 20,386 50% 9 - 9 Total 80.9 2,795,855 1,589 12 1,577 *includes tax lots with existing land improvement value to land value ratio of 1.5 or less. **assumes 1,150 square feet average floor area per future dwelling unit. FAR=Building Floor-to-Land Area ratio. DUs=dwelling units. Source:Analysis by FCS GROUP based on City of Lake Oswego redevelopment assumptions. The findings, as shown in Table 15, result in 80.9 acres of mixed-use zoned land area that is likely to redevelop over the next 20 years. This redevelopment acreage is zoned to accommodate nearly 2.8 million square feet of building floor area, though not all of this development will be housing. An analysis of potential housing units results in up to 1,589 dwellings that could potentially be provided in these mixed-use areas under current zoning. After accounting for the existing 12 dwellings on these properties, the net new residential development potential on mixed-use redevelopment lands in the Lake Oswego USB is expected to be 1,577 dwelling units. The remaining portion of these redeveloped lands could serve non-residential development and employment/job growth. Based on the preceding analyses, the Lake Oswego USB has the potential of accommodating approximately 5,063 net new dwelling units under current zoning capacity. As indicated in Table 16, the vacant, part vacant and redevelopment lands have the potential of accommodating about 1,646 single family detached dwellings, 1,017 medium-density dwellings (townhomes, duplexes, etc.) and 2,400 multifamily dwellings (apartments and mid-rise flats) under current zoning. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 25 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 25 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Table 16. Summary of Net New Residential Dwelling Unit Capacity in Lake Oswego USB Medium Higher Low Density Density Density Land Classification Dwellings 5 Dwellings 6 Dwellings7 Total Dwellings Vacant Land in "R Zones" 1 329 44 74 447 Part Vacant Land in "R Zones" 2 1,317 244 147 1,708 Redevelopment Land in Medium & High Density"R Zones" 3 - 729 602 1,331 Redevelopment Land in "Mixed-Use Zones" 4 - - 1,577 1,577 Total 1,646 1,017 2,400 5,063 Notes: 1 derived from Table 14. 2 derived from Table 15. 3 derived from Table16. a reflects land zoned R-6, R-7.5, R-10, and R-15. 5reflects land zoned R-3, and R-5. 6reflects land zoned R-0, R-2, and R-2.5;and the mixed-use zones(GC, NC/RO, OC/R-3, EC, HC, CR&D, EC/RO and OC). Source:Analysis by FCS GROUP based on City of Lake Oswego redevelopment assumptions. HOUSING NEEDS ANALYSIS Housing Requirements Housing Mix Requirement According to state Metropolitan Housing Rule requirements (OAR 660-007-0000) , Lake Oswego "must provide the opportunity for at least 50 percent of new residential units to be attached single family housing or multiple family housing or justify an alternative percentage based on changing circumstances." Lake Oswego meets this requirement by allowing zero lot line (attached single family) dwellings in all residential zones. Population Forecast Through the Periodic Review process, Lake Oswego must have a forecast that is coordinated with Metro. Based on the expected development capacity levels described earlier, Lake Oswego could potentially provide up to 5,063 dwelling units without changes to existing zone/plan standards. This capacity exceeds the total demand anticipated by the forecast. Housing Density Requirements The MHR also requires Lake Oswego to provide for needed housing at an overall residential density of 10 or more dwelling units per net buildable acre. Lake Oswego's approach to meeting this rule is discussed on page 31. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 26 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 26 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Housing Attainability Requirements The MHR requires cities in the Metro region to meet the needs of the "area" or region (not city) residents at "all income levels". For Lake Oswego, the area being considered is Clackamas County. Table 17 below summarizes regional income ranges by very low, low, lower middle, upper middle and high income ranges, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. Table 17. Income Levels and Distribution in 2010 Qualifying Income 1 Region 2 Lake Oswego 3 Lower- Upper- Percent Percent Income Cohort end end Households Dist. Households Dist. High (120%or more of Median Income) $87,600 or more 303,230 35% 8,222 54% Upper Middle (80% to 120%of Median Income) $58,400 $87,600 170,460 20% 2,511 16% Lower Middle (50% to 80%of Median Income) $36,500 $58,400 124,204 14% 1,684 11% Low (30%to 50%of Median Income) $21,900 $36,500 167,890 20% 2,052 13% Very Low(less than 30%of Median Income) or less $21,900 91,654 11% 857 6% 857,439 100% 15,326 100% Notes: 1. Consistent with current regional HUD income limits for Urban Clackamas County, shown in Appendix A. 2. Region includes Clackamas, Multnomah and Washington counties, Oregon. Derived from American Community Survey, 2008-2010. 3. Reflects data for Lake Oswego city;derived from American Community Survey, 2006-2010. The income levels and distribution in Table 17 have been translated into a range of housing prices, unit types and allocation for future dwellings. To reflect the demographic trend of an aging population and shrinking household size, along with the desire to attract more young households, the allocations in Table 18 have been adjusted slightly in favor of additional allocation toward the upper and lower middle income range. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 27 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 27 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Table 18. Home Types and Price Points to Meet Attainability Goals* Owner-Occupied Housing Net New DU Allocation to Attainable Housing Address Approximate Attainable Home Price* Low Range High Range Product** Attainability SFD or other high end High (120%or more of Median Income) $434,000 or more type(ie.,condos) 35% SFD or other mid- value type(ie., Upper Middle (80% to 120%of Median Income) $289,000 $434,000 townhomes) 20% Small-lot"cottage" SFD,SFA, apt. &gov. Lower Middle (50% to 80%of Median Income) $181,000 $289,000 assisted housing 14% Duplex/Triplex/ Quad plexes&gov. Low (30%to 50%of Median Income) $109,000 $181,000 assisted housing 20% Condos/Plexes&gov. Very Low(less than 30%of Median Income) or less $109,000 assisted 11% 100% *Assumes 30%of income is used for mortgage payment, 20%downpayment, 6%interest, 30-year mortgage. **consistent with regional HUD income limits shown in Appendix A. Renter-Occupied Housing Net New DU Allocation to Attainable Housing Address Approximate Attainable Monthly Rents* Low Range High Range Product Attainability Any housing type, High (120%or more of Median Income) $2,190 or more higher price 35% Any housing type, Upper Middle (80% to 120%of Median Income) $1,460 $2,190 lower price 20% Small-lot"cottage" SFD,SFA, apt. &gov. Lower Middle (50% to 80%of Median Income) $913 $1,460 assisted housing 14% Apartments, plexes& Low (30%to 50%of Median Income) $548 $913 gov.assisted housing 20% Apartments, plexes& Very Low(less than 30%of Median Income) or less $548 gov.assisted housing 11% 100% 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 28 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 28 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update *Assumes 30%of income is used for rental payments. **consistent with regional HUD income limits shown in Appendix A. In light of the most current findings regarding demographics, housing tenure, and recent housing additions, it appears that the market for housing in Lake Oswego is appropriate at a 60:40 owner/renter ratio of housing inventory, rather than a 64.5:35.5 ratio that was determined previously in the May 2011 draft report. We would also expect the planned mix of multifamily to rise to about 40% of all new dwellings (up from 22.9% assumed previously), and the planned increase in other housing types to fall. Table 19. Pro'ected Residential Housin. Need Mix, Lake Oswe•o USB, 2010 to 2035 Owner-Occupied Renter-Occupied All Dwelling Dwelling Units Dwelling Units Units Housing Tenure Distribution: 60.0% 40.0% 100% Housing Unit/Type Distribution Detached Large Lot SF (>5,000 sq.ft. lot size) 34% 4% 22.0% Detached Small Lot SF "cottages" (<+5,000 sq.ft. lot size) 18% 5% 12.8% Attached SF (Rowhouses, Secondary Dus, 30% 8% 21.2% Zero Lot Line DUs) Duplex/Triplex 10% 11% 10.4% Multifamily(Apartments, Condos) 8% 72% 33.6% Total 100% 100% 100% COMPARISON OF RESIDENTIAL CAPACITY AND PROJECTED DEMAND Future Needed Housing Types and Land Based on the preceding analysis, the Lake Oswego USB can accommodate approximately 5,574 net new dwelling units under current zoning capacity assumptions. There may also be additional dwelling unit opportunities that could be provided through new secondary dwelling units (SDUs), which are currently allowed but conservatively excluded from these capacity forecasts. As indicated in Table 20, after applying the housing attainability assumptions (shown in Table 18) to the low and medium growth forecasts, it appears that the city can accommodate the low growth forecast for all housing and zone types, but would need to adopt some new policies to fully accommodate the expected medium housing density need associated with the medium growth forecast. Specifically, the analysis indicates that under the medium forecast, there is an additional need to accommodate approximately 349 medium density (townhouse, duplex, SDU, etc.) dwelling units, which would require approximately 48 acres. This need could mainly be addressed by redevelopment in appropriate locations within the existing USB area. The City may also want to explore if some or all 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 29 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 29 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update of the medium density need could technically be met through the high density supply, under the assumption that high-density housing can be provided at price levels at or below medium-density price levels. The projected housing deficit for medium density housing could be addressed through a combination of local land use policy measures discussed in the Implementation section. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Pa e 30 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 30 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Table 20. Residential Dwelling Capacity and Projected Housing Demand, Lake Oswego USB, 2010 to 2035 Dwelling Unit Capacity and Demand Potential Land Need in by 0 Potential Net Buildable Land Area in Acres Forecast Year 2035 IIII Dwelllings Needed to Redevel Meet Pop. Potential Potential opment Potential Forecast& Dwelling Likely Residential Redevel- Mixed- Dwelling Attain- Unit Residential Land Part opment: Use Unit abiltiy Surplus by Land Need Surplus or Land Use Vacant Vacant R Zones Zones Total Capacity Levels 2035 by 2035 (Deficit) by Classifications (acres) (acres) (acres) (acres) Acres (dwellings) (dwellings) (dwellings) (acres) 2035(acres) Low Density (primarily large lot SFD in R-7.5, 69.2 502.7 - - 571.9 1,646 783 863 272.1 299.8 R-10, R-15 zones) Medium Density (primarily small 5.5 30.6 104.3 - 140.4 1,017 456 561 62.9 77.5 lot SFD in R-3, R-5 zones) High Density (primarily MF in RO, R-2, R-2.5, 2.6 5.6 22.8 80.9 111.9 2,400 2,321 79 108.2 3.7 GC, NC/RO, OC/R3, EC, HC, CR&D, EC/RO, OC zones) Total 77.3 538.9 127.1 80.9 824.2 5,063 3,560 1,503 443.3 380.9 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 31 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 31 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update SUMMARY AND POLICY OPTIONS Considering the supply of vacant, part-vacant, and redevelopable land, Lake Oswego appears to have a surplus of buildable low-density and high-density land, but a deficit of medium density land to serve middle income levels and meet the State's housing attainability requirement. This need may be met in part or whole through the redevelopment capacity for high-density housing. The City will need to consider if this would provide the desired mix of housing options and meet the community vision. Appendix C lists potential strategies and potential density levels associated with potential new development within the Lake Oswego USB for consideration during housing implementation discussions. Although the City appears to meet its MHR requirements for attached/detached mix, needed housing types and locations, the City will need to review its code and make updates as needed to ensure that all needed housing types can be developed under clear and objective standards. In other words, policies and regulations should not prohibit or discourage the provision of affordable and needed housing. In addition, the City may want to consider new policies and incentives specifically aimed at providing opportunities for senior residents to age in place, and for young people and families to find a home in Lake Oswego. By the conclusion of Periodic Review in April 2013, the Lake Oswego City Council will need to adopt a single population projection and update these strategies if and as needed. IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGIES The following set of policy options have been developed in response to state requirements and local aspirations. These considerations and recommendations have been compiled from previous housing strategies as well as conversations with the Comprehensive Plan Citizen Advisory Committee, Goal 9 and 10 Work Group and Planning Commission. The policy options are intended to create a menu of options for the City and its advisory groups to consider as they work to update the Comprehensive Plan based on the findings that have been identified through this HNA process. Demographic Trends The demographic analysis suggests that people are remaining in or moving to Lake Oswego to retire and indicates a need to plan for housing oriented toward older age groups that typically demand smaller units with lower property maintenance requirements. The location of senior-oriented housing options in relation to senior needs and community amenities will also be an important part of this policy discussion. Discussions with the Citizen Advisory Committee and the community as a whole have indicated a specific desire to attract more young families with children, which are vital to the city and schools. The demographic and housing trends and conditions suggest that higher housing costs in Lake Oswego compared with neighboring jurisdictions may be a barrier for young families. In order to provide a diversity of housing types and densities, the City may want to consider providing additional opportunities for housing types more affordable for these families. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 32 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 32 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Vacant Land Supply/Redevelopment Lake Oswego has a relatively limited supply of vacant land area inside the USB, and now must rely on redevelopment and optimization of the remaining vacant land inventory to meet future needs and be consistent with MHR requirements. Possible Strategy Continue to emphasize policies that encourage or support redevelopment at designated areas (such as mixed-use and neighborhood centers); and policies and code that support new secondary dwelling units; single family attached housing; and multifamily housing, especially in designated centers. Metropolitan Housing Rule Housing Mix. Lake Oswego is required to meet the State's MHR requirements for housing mix (opportunity for 50/50 mix of attached and detached housing) and average density on buildable land (see page 7). Lake Oswego has a limited amount of vacant land and needs to develop strategies to meet future housing needs and MHR requirements in a way that fits within the city's unique character. Lake Oswego's residential zones allow for attached "zero lot line" housing and meets this requirement. Clear and Objective Standards. The MHR also requires the City to provide an opportunity for all needed housing to be developed under clear and objective development standards. "Needed housing" includes all single family, multifamily, attached and detached housing; this requirement is not exclusive to the "buildable" portion of the city. Multifamily and single family housing with three or more attached units in Lake Oswego currently goes through a design review process with the Design Review Commission and is reviewed against a set of building design standards. The City received a Periodic Review grant from DLCD to update its development code to ensure the opportunity for these housing types to be developed under clear and objectives standards. The City plans to adopt revised standards within the timeframe of Periodic Review to comply with this provision of the Metropolitan Housing Rule. Minimum Density. To help maintain the Metro Urban Growth Boundary and efficient land use patterns, the MHR requires cities within the Metro UBG to provide minimum average zoned density levels. Lake Oswego must provide for an overall density of ten or more dwelling units per net buildable acre. The city was assigned this density category because it is one of the "larger urbanized jurisdictions with regionally coordinated population projections of 50,000 or more for their active planning areas, which encompass or are near major employment centers, and which are situated along regional transportation corridors." Lake Oswego has demonstrated compliance with this rule at each Periodic Review since the city's original acknowledgement of its1978 Comprehensive Plan. In 1994, DLCD acknowledged Lake Oswego's average density at 10.2 dwelling units/acre. The City may demonstrate compliance with this rule using one of two buildable land inventory approaches as outlined in OAR 660-007-0045 (2). Consistent with the City's last acknowledgement, Lake Oswego plans to demonstrate its average density "based on the jurisdiction BLI at the time of acknowledgment as updated." Lake Oswego's preliminary analysis shows that zone/plan changes since acknowledgement have not had the effect of decreasing zoned density below 10 dwelling units/net buildable acre. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 33 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 33 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update Other Complete Neighborhood and Housing Strategies for Consideration Other strategies for consideration: o Strategically explore re-designation in select locations near centers with transportation options and other amenities to focus new development and redevelopment in the best areas for Lake Oswego while maintaining the integrity of single family neighborhoods. o Amend development standards in appropriate areas targeted for mixed-use development to remove barriers to mixed-use housing and employment uses. Amendments could include adjustments to allowable heights and densities, reduction of parking requirements, allowances for meeting landscaping requirements, permitting greater floor lot coverage to make structured parking more feasible, and/or removing or limiting subjective buffering standards. o Consider the following strategies to meet the need for lower income housing attainability: • Establish a minimum percentage of affordable units in all developments that receive assistance from the Lake Oswego Redevelopment Agency. • Work toward a goal of"no net loss" of existing affordable housing through incentives and other means. • Improve the permitting process to allow for needed housing types including secondary dwelling units while respecting neighborhoods. • Avoid "one size fits all" approaches for different geographic areas in Lake Oswego. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 34 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 34 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update APPENDIX A. HOUSING ATTAINABILITY ANALYSIS FOR LAKE OSWEGO USB Urban Clackamas County Median Family Income Level (2012)* $73,000 Market Segment by Income Level Lower-end Upper-End High (120% or more of MFI) 120% Upper Middle (80% to 120% of MFI) 80% 120% Lower Middle (50% to 80%of MFI) 50% 80% Low (30%to 50%) 30% 50% Very Low (less than 30%of MFI) 30% Qualifying Income Level Lower-end Upper-End High (120% or more of MFI) $87,600 or more Upper Middle (80% to 120% of MFI) $58,400 $87,600 Lower Middle (50% to 80%of MFI) $36,500 $58,400 Low (30%to 50%) $21,900 $36,500 Very Low (less than 30%of MFI) $21,900 or less Available Annual Housing Payment(@30%of income level) Lower-end Upper-End High (120% or more of MFI) $26,280 or more Upper Middle (80% to 120% of MEI) $17,520 $26,280 Lower Middle (50% to 80%of MFI) $10,950 $17,520 Low (30%to 50%) $6,570 $10,950 Very Low (less than 30%of MFI) $6,570 or less Available Monthly Rent or Payment (@30%of income level) Lower-end Upper-End High (120%or more of MFI) $2,190 or more Upper Middle (80% to 120% of MFI) $1,460 $2,190 Lower Middle (50% to 80%of MFI) $913 $1,460 Low (30%to 50%) $548 $913 Very Low (less than 30%of MEI) $548 or less Approximate Attainable Home Price** Lower-end Upper-End High (120%or more of MFI) $434,000 or more Upper Middle (80% to 120% of MFI) $289,000 $434,000 Lower Middle (50% to 80%of MFI) $181,000 $289,000 Low (30%to 50%) $109,000 $181,000 Very Low (less than 30%of MFI) $109,000 or less Notes: *based on Housing and Urban Development thresholds for Clackamas County in 2012. Note, this analysis is generally consistent with 4-person household size characteristics. **assumes 20%down payment on 30-year fixed mortgage at 6.0%interest. Source:analysis by FCS Group using Housing and Urban Development, and US Census data. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 35 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 35 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update APPENDIX B. FEDERAL POVERTY THRESHOLDS BY FAMILY SIZE, URBAN CLACKAMAS COUNTY, CURRENT YEAR DOLLAR AMOUNTS (NOT INFLATION ADJUSTED) . • 2012-Income Limits for LIHTC&Tax-Exempt Bonds �`;, ,. pip Clackamas County.Oreaon G!`; ;a if For mere detailed M7SP income limit information,please visit HLIDs website: 4 co_-, r. http:1Muvw.h u duser.orglporta Lida to s etehmtsp.him I 1Ariiiiii 2012 Median $73.400 N111 Non-Metro 2012 NfeOian $52.400 (applies to 9%credits only in non-metro areas) 2012 HERA Special Median $73.400 (applies to projects in existence before January 1.2009) Median incomes cakulafed based so a 9-peraan household What Income Limit Should You Use? I5 the location considered RURAL by USDA?(ryes,t is eligible Io use the NMI Non-Metro Median For 9%projects] Nat All Clackamas County is considered urban with in it's major cities.to verify your address and accuracy.please visit: hisireloiblihs sr_en ov.dada oovtel'oihittvhsIcom eAction do7oaoeAthen=sre0Na,sKev=ornoerbor'ml2 -The following income limits indicate the highest income Unfit allowable-- Did the project exist`in 2008? If NO,did it exist': If N0,did it exist: -If 0t0 a 4%Tax Credit Project Between Jan 1,2009-Nov 30th,2011 After Dec 1st 2011 L1se.:HERA Specie(2012 --It it's a 4%Tax Credit Project -II it's a 4%Tax Credit Project -If it's a 9%Tan Credit Project Use:Actual themes 2012 Use:Actual Incomes 2012 Use.:HERA Special 2012 --If it's a 9%Tax Credit Project -If it's a 9%Tax Credit Project Use:Actual Incomes 2012 Use:Actual Incomes 2012 Actual Income Limits 2012 %MFI 1 Pers 2 Pers 3 Pers 4 Pers 5 Pers 6 Pers 7 Pers 9 Pers 30% 615.330 517.520 $19.710 $21.900 623.670 $25.410 627.180 $28.920 3501 017.585 520.440 $22.995 $25.650 627.615 $29.645 531.710 $33.740 409'a $20.440 S23.360 $26.280 $29.200 531.560 $33.880 S36.240 $38.560 45% $22.995 526.280 $29.565 $32.850 535.505 $38.115 540.770 $43.380 50% $25,550 029,200 $32,850 $36,500 $39,450 $42,350 $45,300 $48,200 56% $28.105 532.120 $36.135 $40.150 543.395 $46.585 549.830 $53.020 60% 330,660 535.04-0 $39.420 $43.800 547.340 $60.820 564.360 $57,840 80% $40,680 546.720 $52.560 $58.400 563.120 $67,760 572.480 $77,120 HERA Special Income Limits 2012 %MFI 1 Pers 2 Pers 3 Pers 4 Pers 5 Pers 6 Pers 7 Pers 9 Pers 30% 515,420 517.940 $19.930 $22.020 523.790 $25.560 627.330 $29.070 35% $17.990 020.580 $23.135 $25.690 527,755 $29.820 031,885 833.915 4096 $20,560 523.520 $26.440 $29,360 531.720 $34,030 536.440 $36.760 45% $23,130 526.460 $29.745 $33,030 535.685 033.340 540.996 $43.906 50% $25,700 $29,400 $33,050 $36,700 $39,650 $42,600 $45,550 $48,450 55% $28.270 532.340 $36.355 $40.370 543.615 $46.860 560.106 $53.296 60% 030,840 S35.280 $39.660 $44,040 S47.580 $51.120 S54.660 $58.140 80% $41.120 647.040 $52.880 $58,720 S63.440 $68.160 S72.880 $77.520 Ntnl Non-Metro Income Limits 2012 %MFI 1 Pers 2 Pers 3 Pers 4 Pers 5 Pers 6 Pers 7 Pers 9 Pers 30% $11.010 512.570 $14.160 $15,720 616.980 $18.240 619.500 $20.760 35% 512.345 514.665 $16.520 $18.340 519.510 $21.280 522.750 $24.220 40% $14,680 516.760 $18.680 $20.960 522.640 $24.320 526.000 $27.580 45% 515,515 S18.855 $21.240 923.560 525.470 $27.360 S29.250 $21.140 50% $11,350 $20,950 $23,600 $26,200 $28,300 $30,400 $32,500 $34,600 55% $20,185 523.045 $25.960 $26.820 531.130 $33,440 535.750 $33.060 60% 522,020 525.140 $28,320 $31.440 533.960 $35,480 539,000 $41.520 80% $29.360 533.520 $37,760 $41.920 545.280 $48.640 S52.000 556.360 Notes: 1:Projects win previous'Rural'designations that are no longer considered is be located Sr rural areas(by The USDA)are perm in ad to use The previous years National Non-Mahe income limits should lhey be higher then the current years income Ire its. The Nation el NorrMelro income lints are seine here: httollwwwr.ohcs.oreo on.aSCAJHCS+HPM income lin is-shim I 2'Exist-tern Id by WC es the projects placed-in-service 11.l5l date.Projects canal sling of rauttple b wild ings,whera each building is be.g treated as pail era multRle building project(see line Bit on IRS Farm B609).will be considered as being'in e:isi en ce'provided at least one building was PIS during the affected year. The names bins lislad abo•+e are based on the Mutifam ily Tee Subsidy Program(MTSP)income limits published by HUD on December 1.2011.Per Revenue Ruing 01-57,owners nil have until January 15.2012 to implement lhas a new•MTSP income limits,45 days from 7hei effective data).Please note!hat all definlivns and explanations herein may be subject to change upon later IRS andfor HUD clarirca San. OHCS,1 211 212 0 1 1 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 36 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 36 OF 82 March 19, 2013 Update APPENDIX C. OPTIONS FOR PROVIDING NEW DWELLINGS WITHIN LAKE OSWEGO USB Estimated Potential Acres in Dwelling Avg. USB (net Potential Density buildable) (net new) (DU/acre) 1. Vacant and Part Vacant Land Inventory a. Low Density 571.9 1,640 2.9 b. Medium Density 36.1 292 8.1 c. Higher Density 8.2 221 30.0 2. Redevelopment: Net New Dwellings on Medium & High Density R-Zones (R-0, R-2, R-2.5, R-3, R-5) 127 1,331 10.5 3. Redevelopment: Net New Dwellings on Mixed-Use Zones (GC/R-0, NC/R-0, OC/R-3, EC, GC, HC, EC/R-0) 80.9 1,577 19.5 4. Redevelopment: Increase housing in Boones Ferry Corridor (various strategies may be used) n/a n/a n/a 5 Specific Plan and Zone Change for Foothills Industrial Area n/a 1,735 n/a 6. New Goals and Standards for SDUs n/a n/a n/a Source: Compiled by City of Lake Oswego Long Range Planning Department, and FCS Group, April 29, 2011. 03/19/13 Exhibit 4/Page 37 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 37 OF 82 EXHIBIT 5 ORDINANCE 2640 City of Lake Oswego Draft Economic Opportunities Analysis May 26, 2011 Updated March 18, 2013 Cr of LAKE OSWEGO OREGON 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 1 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 38 OF 82 March 2013 Update 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 2 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 39 OF 82 March 2013 Update Acknowledgements The City appreciates grant funds received from the State of Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development(DLCD)for technical consultant assistance to complete this document. We thank the following citizens for their dedicated work on this topic. Comprehensive Plan Citizen Advisory Committee: Councilor Sally Moncrieff, Chair Katie Abbott Dorothy Atwood Tom Brennan Christopher Clee Doug Cushing Tom Fahey Bill Gaar Nancy Gronowski Liz Hartman Jim Johnson Tim Mather Bob Needham Teri Oelrich David White Goal 9 & 10 Work Group: Tom Brennan Doug Cushing Julia Glisson Jon Gustafson Liz Hartman Councilor Sally Moncrieff Dan Vizzini Planning Commission: John Gustafson, Chair Lynne Paretchan, Vice Chair Puja Bhutani Julia Glisson Jim Johnson Russell Jones Todd Prager Jeff Gudman, Council Liaison City Staff: Dennis Egner, AICP, Assistant Planning Director Sidaro Sin, LEED AP, Senior Planner Sarah Selden, Associate Planner Laura Weigel, AICP, LEED AP, Associate Planner Jane Blackstone, Economic Development Manager Debra Andreades, AICP, Senior Planner Consultants: Kirstin Green, AICP, Principal Cogan Owens Cogan Steve Faust, AICP, Senior Planner, Cogan Owens Cogan Todd Chase, AICP, LEED AP, FCS Group 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 3 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 40 OF 82 March 2013 Update TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary 5 Introduction 10 Requirements 10 Methodology 11 Vision and Goals (Local Aspirations) 12 Economic Conditions, Trends and Forecasts 13 Demographic Trends 13 Income 18 Availability of Workforce 19 Commuting Patterns 20 Changes in Employment 20 Lake Oswego's Competitive Advantages and Challenges 23 Potential Growth Industries in Lake Oswego 26 Target Industries 27 Inventory of Suitable Sites (Land Supply) 29 Redevelopment Potential 30 Site Suitability Analysis (Land Demand) 31 Assessment of Employment Land Needs 34 Short-Term Land Supply and Need Determination 34 Implementation 36 Vacant Land Supply/Redevelopment 36 Commitment to Provide a Short-Term Land Supply 36 Commitment to Provide Adequate Sites and Facilities 36 Other Considerations 37 Appendix A. Assumptions for Vacant Land Needs Forecast 38 Appendix B. Redevelopment Allocations and Land Needs by Forecast 40 Appendix C. Vacant Building Absorption Assumptions 42 Appendix D. Stakeholder Interview Summary 43 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 4 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 41 OF 82 March 2013 Update EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The City of Lake Oswego is conducting an Economic Opportunities Analysis (EOA) as required by its Periodic Review work program to update Goal 9 (Economic Development) of its Comprehensive Plan. The City received grant funds from the Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD) for technical consultant assistance to complete this task. The City elected to take advantage of this required plan update to create a long-range vision for the City. Part of this vision addresses economic development over the next 20 years. 2013 Update This EOA was originally drafted in 2011 to inform the update of Comprehensive Plan goals and policies. As noted in the Site Suitability (Land Demand) section of this document (page 30), at that time, Metro was in the process of coordinating with local jurisdictions to develop updates to its regional employment and housing forecasts through 2045. The most recent adopted Metro forecast at that time was from 2005. This forecast, along with preliminary forecast numbers contained within the 2009 Regional Growth Report guided the development of four employment growth scenarios for Lake Oswego in the 2011 Draft EOA. In the fall of 2012, Metro completed its updated employment and housing forecast for 2035. Metro's updated forecasts incorporate local input to make the forecast more consistent with the work conducted as part of the City's 2011 draft Economic Opportunities Analysis. The Metro numbers are slightly higher than the City's Medium-High Employment Forecast described in Table 12 of this report. The differences are not significant enough to be of concern for planning purposes; the Metro numbers are slightly higher than the City's numbers partially because the Lake Oswego boundaries used by Metro' are slightly larger than the City's USB. Updated City and Metro forecasts are shown in the table below. The Lake Oswego City Council was presented with these forecasts in September 2012, and on October 9, 2012 accepted the housing and employment forecasts listed below, which were presented in the October 9, 2012 Council Report. The Metro Council adopted this forecast on November 29, 2012. Comparison of 2010 to 2035 City Forecasts with the Metro Adopted TAZ Forecasts for the Current Lake Oswego USB Forecast 2010 Total 2035 Total 2010-2035 Change City Forecast- Households 19,166 22,726 3,560 Metro Forecast- Households 19,556 23,299 3,743 City Forecast- Employment 20,538 25,398 4,860 Metro Forecast- 21,804 27,095 5,291 Employment While a range of four employment forecast options is described throughout this report, the Medium-High employment forecast should be considered the correct forecast for the Metro's forecast numbers are developed for Transportation Analysis Zones (TAZ)within the metro area, with certain TAZ assigned to each jurisdiction. The TAZ do not align perfectly with jurisdictional lines, for example one TAZ assigned to Lake Oswego includes a portion of Tualatin's commercial area near 1-5. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 5 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 42 OF 82 March 2013 Update purpose of employment land planning. Additional updates were made to this report to reflect more recent demographic information available from the 2010 Census. Vision and Goals (Local Aspirations) The strategies in this report are designed to help City leaders improve economic vitality for Lake Oswego, as described in the draft Lake Oswego Community Vision for 2035: We are a community where people can live, work, play and meet their daily needs for goods and services. We build upon the intellectual capital of the community to attract new ventures, retain local businesses and connect to the global economy. We are business-friendly and a regional model for employment and mixed-use centers that attract quality jobs. The City also developed a set of Community Economic Development Objectives (CEDOs) that are intended to help guide the development of the EOA and move the community towards implementation of its vision for Economic Vitality. Draft Community Economic Development Objectives: • Maintain and grow a strong local employment base to provide jobs for Lake Oswego residents and support a high quality of life. • Support and grow existing and locally-owned businesses. • Support business incubation and employment growth within the city by providing a diversity of space/site opportunities. • Provide flexibility in employment zones that supports economic resilience and sustainability while minimizing negative impacts. • Focus redevelopment and intensification of jobs (e.g., jobs per acre) in employment corridors and centers. • Provide opportunities for a range of industrial and employment uses. Actively pursue environmentally responsible businesses. • Pursue a range of employment opportunities, such as an emphasis on creative class opportunities and clusters that build on Lake Oswego's intellectual capital, proximity to universities and colleges and connection to the I-5 corridor. These could include but would not necessarily be limited to science, engineering, education, computer programming, research, arts, media and design. • Explore long term redevelopment opportunities in the southwest industrial area, along Bangy Road, along the Kruse Way corridor, and in Foothills. • Create the opportunity for employment well served by transportation options. • Maintain Lake Oswego's exceptional quality of life by investing in infrastructure and services that support residents and businesses. Demographic Trends The City's most current population estimate for the Lake Oswego Urban Services Boundary is approximately 43,000 people and 19,166 dwelling units. By 2035, the population within the Lake Oswego urban services boundary is expected to be between 47,000 to 51,000 people. According to U.S. Census estimates, the median age of Lake Oswego residents increased from 41.2 years in 2000 to 42.1 years of age in 2006/2008. This is more than five years older than the median age of residents within the Portland Vancouver Metropolitan Statistical Area (36.7). As older Baby Boomers tend to desire to remain in their current residence or community as long as possible, the population over age 75 is expected to increase measurably over the coming decades, while the 24-55 cohort is projected to shrink. If trends continue, the younger population cohorts (age 5-14) are likely to remain flat or experience negative growth. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 6 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 43 OF 82 March 2013 Update Economic Conditions, Trends and Forecasts Lake Oswego is located in the desirable "inner-urban area" within the greater Portland region. This location is considered advantageous for accessing downtown Portland and its surrounding communities within a manageable commute. Downtown Lake Oswego's ongoing renaissance and excellent parks, schools and community facilities continue to serve as attributes that make it a desirable place to live, work and visit. The Kruse Way Corridor from 1-5 to Boones Ferry Road is another significant economic engine for Lake Oswego, with over 2,700 on-site jobs, an annual direct payroll of$243 million, and an annual regional economic output of$1.4 billion. Lake Oswego had 18,871 jobs at 2,297 places of work in 2009. The average wage per employee was about $52,700. The sectors with the most employment and above average wages were Finance and Insurance, and Professional, Scientific and Technical Services. This data also indicates that between 9% and 12% of Lake Oswego's workforce is located on land that is not designated for employment uses, figures that are consistent with the City's business license database which shows that 9% of Lake Oswego businesses are home-based. An analysis of how Lake Oswego fits into the Clackamas County economy based on job concentration by employment sector indicates the City of Lake Oswego has different economic strengths than the rest of Clackamas County. What defines Lake Oswego is its high concentration of wages in the Finance, Insurance, and Professional Consulting Services sectors compared to the County as a whole. The most pertinent employment trends for Lake Oswego over the next 20-years are: growth in financial firms, growing importance of health care, and growth in other services that require high quality office space. Target Industries Based on current employment trends, the City's competitive advantages, and City land-use and economic development policies, types of businesses that may be attracted to Lake Oswego include: • Finance and Insurance • Professional, Scientific, Technical Services and Information • Real Estate • Corporate or Regional Headquarters • Green Businesses • Health Care • Services for Residents • Services for Seniors • Government and Public Services • Advanced Continuing Education • Arts Assessment of Employment Land Needs A range of employment land need forecasts were prepared for consideration in this report. A description of the forecasts can be found on page 30 in the land demand analysis. While four potential forecasts (low, medium, medium-high and high growth) have been considered in this report, feedback from the City's advisory groups and Metro indicate that the high forecast likely represents a higher level of job growth than is currently expected or feasible for Lake Oswego over the next 20 years. Lake Oswego is in the process of coordinating with Metro on job forecasts and will narrow the range to a single forecast prior to the completion of Periodic Review. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 7 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 44 OF 82 March 2013 Update The table on page 4 summarizes Lake Oswego's land supply and demand for each employment growth forecast. The Economic Opportunities Analysis requirements focus on an assessment of vacant employment land, however due to Lake Oswego's limited supply of vacant employment land, this report also assesses the potential to add jobs through redevelopment and through filling vacant office space. The results in the table below show that with the exception of Institutional demand in the medium-high employment forecast, Lake Oswego's supply of vacant and redevelopable land along with vacant office space, could provide the capacity for over 4,000 new jobs under the medium job growth forecast. The limited vacant land supply can most easily accommodate the low growth forecast without more focused economic strategies to support job growth. While commercial and mixed-use land demand can only be met by vacant land in the low scenario, the redevelopable land supply provides sufficient capacity to meet commercial/mixed-use demand in all but the high growth forecast. For institutional uses, the vacant land supply can accommodate the low and medium demand forecasts, while an additional 2.1 to 14.1 acres of land would be needed for the medium-high and high forecasts. For industrial uses, the low to flat demand in all but the high scenario, combined with over 30 acres of redevelopment potential in the southwest Industrial Park zone, results in a surplus of industrial land for the low, medium and medium-high employment forecasts. Employment Vacant Land Needs and Vacant Land Supply, Lake Oswego USB, 2010 to 2035 (gross buildable acres) Vacant&Redevelopment Potential Land Acreage Medium Med-High High Low Growth Growth Growth Growth Scenario Commercial&Mixed-Use Scenario Scenario Scenario Land Supply-Vacant 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.3 Land Supply-Redevelopment 106.7 106.7 106.7 106.7 Land Supply Subtotal 119.0 119.0 119.0 119.0 Vacant Land Demand 10.0 20.0 40.0 95.0 Redevelopment Land 8.7 21.8 49.4 91.7 Land Demand Subtotal 18.7 41.8 89.4 186.7 Overall Land Surplus/ 100.3 77.2 29.6 (67.7) Institutional Land Supply-Vacant 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 Land Supply-Redevelopment n/a n/a n/a n/a Land Supply Subtotal 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 Vacant Land Demand 1.01 1.01 9.0 21.0 Redevelopment Land 0.5 1.0 16.7 37.6 Land Demand Subtotal 1.5 2.0 25.7 58.6 Overall Land Surplus/ 5.4 4.9 (18.8) (51.7) Industrial Land Supply-Vacant 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Land Supply-Redevelopment 37.5 37.5 37.5 37.5 Land Supply Subtotal 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.5 Vacant Land Demand 1.01 2.01 - 24.0 Redevelopment Land - 46.4 Land Demand Subtotal 1.0 2.0 - 70.4 Overall Land Surplus/ 37.5 36.5 38.5 (31.9) 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 8 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 45 OF 82 March 2013 Update Note:Redevelopment assumptions assume portion of job growth is addressed though building refill/vacancy absorption as noted in Appendix C. Conclusion Lake Oswego has a limited 20-acre supply of vacant land area inside the USB, seven acres of which are located on the Marylhurst/Mary's Woods campus. The redevelopment analysis, however, demonstrates a large capacity for redevelopment in commercial and mixed use zones that could accommodate 1,600 net new jobs. In addition, the redevelopment analysis shows the potential for a significant amount of redevelopment in the City's southwest Industrial Park zone. The assessment of vacant office space also indicates the capacity for 1,500 additional jobs without additional land needs. In order to realize Lake Oswego's employment land redevelopment potential, the City will need to develop and implement strategies to encourage employment redevelopment in strategic locations. As the City begins to update the Economic goals and policies in its Comprehensive Plan, it should look at strategies to encourage redevelopment and optimization of the remaining vacant land inventory that implement the draft Community Economic Development Objectives and move the city toward its vision for Economic Vitality in 2035. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 9 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 46 OF 82 March 2013 Update INTRODUCTION The City of Lake Oswego is conducting an Economic Opportunities Analysis (EOA) as required by its Periodic Review work program to update Goal 9 (Economic Development) of its Comprehensive Plan. The City received grant funds from the Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD) for technical consultant assistance to complete this task. The City elected to take advantage of this required plan update to create a long-range vision for the City. Part of this vision addresses economic development over the next 20 years. The focus of Goal 9 is "to provide adequate opportunities throughout the state for a variety of economic activities vital to the health, welfare and prosperity of Oregon's citizens." Goal 9 describes an EOA report as "an analysis of the community's economic patterns, potentialities, strengths, and deficiencies as they relate to state and national trends" and states that a principal determinant in planning for employment should be the competitive advantage of the region within which the developments would be located. The assessment of economic development potential in Lake Oswego is therefore presented in this analysis along with preliminary policies and strategies that would help the City provide economic development opportunities consistent with state requirements and its community aspirations. The implementation section identifies policies and strategies for meeting the economic development needs of existing and future Lake Oswego residents. These will merit further discussion and analysis in the implementation phase 2011-2012. Requirements This EOA describes how the City has and will comply with state and local requirements related to economic development. Specifically, as part of its Comprehensive Plan update, the City must address the requirements of Goal 9 (OAR 660-009) and the Metro Functional Plan Title 4 (Industrial and Other Employment Areas). Planning in the State of Oregon is governed by 19 Goals that express the State's aspirations on land use planning and related topics, including economic development. Each goal includes guidelines for local jurisdictions' comprehensive plans. The substantive content of an EOA is governed by Oregon Administrative Rule, 660-009-0015 which implements Goal 9: Economic Development. This rule requires inclusion of the following three interrelated elements inventory (supply), need, and policies as shown in Figure 1. Metro's Urban Growth Management Functional Plan Title 4 of Metro's Urban Growth Management Functional Plan is intended to provide and protect a supply of sites for industrial uses and to cluster those industries so they may operate more productively. Title 4 also seeks to provide for the efficient movement of goods and services and to encourage the location of other types of employment in Centers, Employment Areas, Corridors, Main Streets and Station Communities. Title 4 requires that jurisdictions adopt land use regulations that: • Derive specific plan designations and zoning district boundaries of industrial areas in an Employment and Industrial Areas Map. • Limit the size of new buildings for retail commercial uses and retail and professional services to ensure that they serve primarily the needs of workers in the area. Title 6 of the Functional Plan addresses Centers, Corridors, Station Communities and Main Streets in the regional 2040 Growth Concept. It recognizes these areas as "the principal centers of urban life in the region". It defines the elements (boundary, assessment, policies and action strategies) needed for regional growth including federal investments. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 10 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 47 OF 82 March 2013 Update Figure 1. Lake Oswego Economic Opportunities Analysis Methodology Part A Part B Part C Employment Land Employment Land Local Economic Inventory Need Development Policies -Step 2A:Analyze -Step 1:Inventory Economic Trends -Step 3:Articulate Employment Land Economic OAR 660-009-0015(1) Development i Objectives 4 Step 28:Assess OAR 660-09- -Step 1A:Identify Comparative 0020(1)(a) Vacant Buildable Advantages Employment Land OAR 660-009-0015(4) OAR 660-009- 0015(3) -Step 2C:Forecast Employment Growth 111 -Step 1B:Describe OAR 660-009-0015{1) Characteristics of Buildable Sites -Step 20:Identify OAR 660-009- Required Sties 0025(3){a) OAR 660-009-0015(2) 11141 -Step 4:Estimate -Step 1C:Identify Land Need Based on Short-term Land Site Needs Supply OAR 660-009-0025 OAR 660-009- 0025(3)(a)(C) - IMO -Step 6:Adopt Economic Development Policies OAR 660-09-0020(1) step 5:Determine Employment Land -Step 7:Designate Sufficiency Lands for Industrial OAR 660-09-0025(2) and Commercial Uses OAR 660-09-0025 FCS GROUP Methodology The technical and political approach used for the EOA and related steps are consistent with the DLCD Goal 9 administrative rule, and the supporting OAR 660 guidance, as well as other supporting guidance provided per the DLCD Industrial & Other Employment Lands Analysis Guidebook (2005), and the Updated Draft Economic Development and Employment Land Planning Guidebook (July 2010). 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 11 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 48 OF 82 March 2013 Update VISION AND GOALS (LOCAL ASPIRATIONS) While this report complies with state rules and regulations, more importantly, it provides a vision for how the City of Lake Oswego, within a land use context, will plan for and provide economic opportunities for its citizens from 2010 to 2035. The strategies in this report are designed to help City leaders improve economic vitality for Lake Oswego, as described in the draft Lake Oswego Community Vision for 2035: We are a community where people can live, work, play and meet their daily needs for goods and services. We build upon the intellectual capital of the community to attract new ventures, retain local businesses and connect to the global economy. We are business-friendly and a regional model for employment and mixed-use centers that attract quality jobs. To this end, the City of Lake Oswego developed a set of Community Economic Development Objectives (CEDOs) that are intended to help guide the development of the EOA and move the community towards implementation of its vision for Economic Vitality. Some community objectives may, in the Implementation Phase rise to the level of a goal or policy and be formally incorporated into the updated Comprehensive Plan. Others may be more appropriately refined to become strategies for implementation. The objectives were developed based on the City's existing Comprehensive Plan, the Economic Development Strategy, other local market analyses and were reviewed and updated by the Goal 9 & 10 Work Group, the Citizen Advisory Committee and the Planning Commission. Draft Community Economic Development Objectives: • Maintain and grow a strong local employment base to provide jobs for Lake Oswego residents and support a high quality of life. • Support and grow existing and locally-owned businesses. • Support business incubation and employment growth within the city by providing a diversity of space/site opportunities. • Provide flexibility in employment zones that supports economic resilience and sustainability while minimizing negative impacts. • Focus redevelopment and intensification of jobs (e.g., jobs per acre) in employment corridors and centers. • Provide opportunities for a range of industrial and employment uses. Actively pursue environmentally responsible businesses. • Pursue a range of employment opportunities, such as an emphasis on creative class opportunities and clusters that build on Lake Oswego's intellectual capital, proximity to universities and colleges and connection to the I-5 corridor. These could include but would not necessarily be limited to science, engineering, education, computer programming, research, arts, media and design. • Explore long term redevelopment opportunities in the southwest industrial area, along Bangy Road, along the Kruse Way corridor, and in Foothills. • Create the opportunity for employment well served by transportation options. • Maintain Lake Oswego's exceptional quality of life by investing in infrastructure and services that support residents and businesses. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 12 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 49 OF 82 March 2013 Update ECONOMIC CONDITIONS, TRENDS AND FORECASTS Lake Oswego exists as part of the larger economy of the Portland metropolitan area and is strongly influenced by regional economic conditions. For many factors, such as workforce, Lake Oswego does not differ significantly from the broader region. For other factors, such as income, it does. Thus, Lake Oswego benefits from being a part of the larger regional economy and plays a specific role in the regional economy. Demographic Trends Lake Oswego is located in the very desirable "inner-urban area" within the greater Portland region. This location is considered advantageous for accessing downtown Portland and its surrounding communities within a manageable commute. Downtown Lake Oswego's ongoing renaissance and excellent parks, schools and community facilities continue to serve as attributes that make it a desirable place to live, work and visit. As Figure 2 indicates, the U.S. Census Bureau's 2010 census count estimated there to be approximately 36,619 people in the City of Lake Oswego,2 which is an increase of 1,341 people since the 2000 U.S. Census. 3 For comparison purposes, Figure 3 shows population estimates prepared by Portland State University that indicate a population of 36,845 within the Lake Oswego city limits as of July 1, 2010. Figure 2. Lake Oswego Historic Population Trends, 1920-2010 City of Lake Oswego Population Trends, 192°- 2010 (source: U.S. Census) 40,000 36,619 35,000 15,278 30,000 30,570 25,000 22,527 20,000 14,573 15,000 10,000 8,906 3,316 5,000 1,810 1 1,285 1,727 - I I I I I I I 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: U.S. Census;compiled by FCS Group. 2 The Census area is slightly larger than the city limits, but smaller than the urban services boundary (USB). Limited Census 2010 information was available at the conclusion of the grant period. Where information was available, it was included. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 13 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 50 OF 82 March 2013 Update Figure 3. Lake Oswego Recent Population Trends, 1990-2011 City of Lake Oswego Population Trends, 1990 - 2011 (source:PSU) 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 — 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1990 1991 1992 2993 1994 1995 1995 1997 ' 1998 1999 t 2000 2001 2002 2003 20011 2005 2006 ' 2007 2008 2009 201❑ 12011 !City Pep.311,'.f0.I],{147 31,48Si 11,94'3:31,41 J 3I,H4i,:i3,381 a,H11i.i4,.i!1.12,88414.'0191.i.',,.'OS 35,133 81,94[i i'a,`flll 1fo,[Fl,,:iG,3JLi.-0,,:11:,:i{,,'i1{1,ifi,l.'i'e 3G,#4',13[3,J75 Source:Portland State University, Population Research Center;compiled by FCS Group. Lake Oswego experienced a net gain of approximately 898 1,097 households since year 2000, with an increase of 472 414 family households and 426 710 nonfamily households, which represents an increase in the share of nonfamily households when compared to the 2006-08 Census data. Another notable shift as indicated in Table 1 on the following page, is the decrease in average household size from 2000-2010, which indicates a recent trend when compared to the increase in household size that occurred between 2000 and 2006-8. As indicated in Table 1, according to the U.S. Census, the average household size and average family size in Lake Oswego increased over the 2000 to 2008 time period. The average household size was 2.48 and the average family size was 3.10 people per household according to the U.S. Census, 2006-2008 American Community Survey. More recent 2010 estimates by City of Lake Oswego Long Range Planning staff for the Lake Oswego USB indicate a relatively lower ratio of population to total dwelling units. Using GIS data, City staff estimates that there were 43,09 people and 19,166 dwelling units in the Lake Oswego Urban Service Boundary (USB) in 2010; with a ratio of people per dwelling unit of 2.25. The fact that this ratio is lower than the average household size estimate reported by the U.S. Census is to be expected, since the U.S. Census tallies only occupied dwelling units and population that resides in households (not group quarters) population. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 14 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 51 OF 82 March 2013 Update Table 1. Lake Oswe•o Demo•raphic and Socio-economic Trends Census 2000 Census 2010 Change Population 35,237 36,619 1,382 Group Quarters Population 163 222 59 Households 14,796 15,893 1,097 Family Households 9,665 10,079 414 Nonfamily Households 5,104 5,814 710 Average Household Size 2.38 2.29 (0.09) Average Family Size 2.95 2.88 (0.07) Median Age 41.2 45.8 4.6 Census 2000 ACS 2008-10 Change Median Household Income (unadjusted) $71,597 $81,097 $9,500 Median Family Income (unadjusted) $94,587 $105,722 $11,135 Per Capita Income (unadjusted) $42,166 $47,704 $5,538 Median Household Income (inflation adjusted)* $98,883 $86,977 ($11,906) Median Family Income (inflation adjusted)* $130,634 $113,387 ($17,247) Per Capita Income (inflation adjusted)* $58,235 $51,163 ($7,073) *Income data were adjusted to current June 2012 dollars by FCS Group based on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, inflation calculator. Source:U.S. Census,2000 and 2010 and 2008-2010 American Community Survey, data compiled by FCS Group Prepared by FCS GROUP. According to U.S. Census estimates, the median age of Lake Oswego residents also increased from 41.2 years in 2000 to 45.8 years of age in 2010. This is more than nine years older than the median age of residents within the Portland Vancouver MSA region (36.7). In fact, Lake Oswego has more residents over age 65 than all other cities in the greater Portland region, with the exception of King City. A closer look at population age cohort patterns for Lake Oswego reflects the aging Baby Boom population (born between 1946 and 1965). As indicated in Figure 4 and Table 2, population cohorts that experienced the most significant increase include Baby Boomers within the 55-64 and 65-74 age ranges. These Baby Boomers (age 55 to 74) recorded a combined gain of 4,315 people since 2000. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 15 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 52 OF 82 March 2013 Update Figure 4. Population Age Cohort Trends, Lake Oswego, 2000 and circa 2010 Population Pyramid for Lake Population Pyramid for Lake Oswego,2000 Oswego,2010 %of taw'pop.;%ourre:[1__S.Censu% %of total pop;source:U.S.Census Ago 75+ 2;3 5.1 female Age 25 + DI 4m female 65 to 74 2.6 14 % 65 to 74 4_01, 1.5 % 55 to 64 5:, 3 55 to 64 8.1 9..7. 45 to 54 °+_+ it).+ 45 to 54 x_1 y.fy 25 to 44 12,4 14.3 25 to 44 io.o li,A 20 to 24 e.0 ).: 20 to 24 1.L3 , , 15 to 19 3.7 3.2 15 to 19 5.4 3.2 10 to 14 a.7 .3.- 10 to 14 3.9 3..S 5to9 3, ;4 5to9 3.0 zs Age 5 - 2.5 2.a Age 5- ,..i in Table 2. Lake Oswe•o Area Po•ulation A•e Cohort Trends Percent Age Cohort (years) Census 2000 Census 2010 Change Change under 5 1,746 1,489 (257) -15% 5 to 9 2,426 2,129 (297) -12% 10 to 14 2,810 2,694 (116) -4% 15 to 19 2,424 2,439 15 1% 20 to 24 1,470 1,403 (67) -5% 25 to 44 9,441 7,697 (1,744) -18% 45 to 54 7,267 6,548 (719) -10% 55 to 64 3,676 6,302 2,626 71% 65 to 74 1,477 3,166 1,689 114% 75+ 2,541 2,752 211 8% Total 35,278 36,619 1,341 4% Source:U.S. Census, 2000 and 2010. Lake Oswego area is slightly larger than city limits but smaller than the Urban Service Boundary. As summarized in Figure 4 and Table 2 above, since 2000 there have been significant increases in the 55-64 and 65-74 age cohorts, with increases of 70% and 113% respectively. The only other increase occurred among the 15-19 age cohort with a minor 15 person gain. The 20-54 age cohorts experienced the most significant population decline, followed by the birth-age 14 cohort. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 16 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 53 OF 82 March 2013 Update As older Baby Boomers tend to desire to remain in their current residence or community as long as possible, the population over age 75 is expected to increase measurably over the coming decades. However, the younger population cohorts (age 5-14) are likely to remain flat or experience negative growth. Table 3. Lake Oswe.o Area Annual Historic Population Growth Rates 10-Year Trend Long-Term Trend 2000 to 2010 1990 to 2010 Number AAGR% Number AAGR% Total Population 134 0.4% 302 0.9% Male 33 0.2% 133 0.8% Female 101 0.5% 169 1.0% Age Cohort (years) under 5 (26) -1.6% (14) -0.9% 5 to 9 (30) -1.3% 5 0.2% 10 to 14 (12) -0.4% 26 1.1% 15 to 19 2 0.1% 26 1.2% 20 to 24 (7) -0.5% 2 0.2% 25 to 44 (174) -2.0% (159) -1.7% 45 to 54 (72) -1.0% 101 1.9% 55 to 64 263 5.5% 188 4.7% 65 to 74 169 7.9% 58 2.3% 75+ 21 0.8% 69 3.6% Source: US Census. AAGR=average annual growth rate. Prepared by FCS GROUP. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 17 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 54 OF 82 March 2013 Update Income Table 4 indicates that Lake Oswego continues to retain and attract upper-income households. The portion of all households with annual income levels of more than $100,000 increased slightly from 35% to 38% from 2000 to 2008-10. While the portion of households earning below $75,000 fell slightly, this income level (just above the 2012 Median Family Income for Clackamas County) still represents 47% of all Lake Oswego Households. Table 4. Households b Income Level, Lake Oswe•o, 2000 and 2006-2008 Income Cohort Census 2000 ACS 2008-2010 Change Number Dist. % Number Dist. % Number Percent less than $14,999 861 5.8% 770 4.9% (91) -0.9% I$15,000 to $34,999 2,338 15.8% 1,951 12.5% (387) -3.3% I$35,000 to $74,999 4,472 30.2% 4,615 29.5% 143 -0.7% I$75,000 to $99,999 1,931 13.0% 2,359 15.1% 428 2.1% I$100,000 to $149,999 2,550 17.2% 2,361 15.1% (189) -2.1% I$150,000 to $199,999 1,090 7.4% 1,602 10.2% 512 2.8% $200,000 or more 1,582 10.7% 1,989 12.7% 407 2.0% Total 14,824 100% 15,647 100% 823 I -0.1% Source:2000 U.S. Census data income levels expressed in 1999 dollars, and 2008-2010 U.S. Census American Community Survey, income levels expressed in 2009 dollars. Prepared by FCS GROUP. According to the U.S. Census 2008-2010 American Community Survey, Lake Oswego's average per capita income was $47,704, median household income was $86,977, and median family income was $113,387 in 2012 dollar amounts. While average income levels in Lake Oswego have increased in nominal dollars, inflation adjusted income levels have fallen since 2000. This trend towards lower real income levels has been well-documented in the Portland region and nationally, and is primarily attributed to the shrinking income levels in middle-income households and higher costs of living for items such as housing, transportation, food, energy and health care. Poverty levels in Lake Oswego are relatively low in the region, however according to the U.S. Census 2006-2008 American Community Survey, Lake Oswego still has an estimated 2,602 people in poverty 4. 4 Federal Poverty Level is defined by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development(HUD) as 70% of median income in a given year. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 18 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 55 OF 82 March 2013 Update Availability of Workforce The availability of trained workers in Lake Oswego will impact development of Lake Oswego's economy over the planning period. Key trends that will affect the workforce in Lake Oswego through 2035 include growing population, demographic factors (e.g., aging of the population; income), availability of educated and skilled workers, and regional commuting patterns. Lake Oswego has access to workers in the Portland metropolitan region workforce and is likely to continue to be able to draw workers from the regional workforce in the future. Educational attainment The availability of trained, educated workers affects the quality of the workforce in a community. Educational attainment is an important workforce factor because firms need to be able to find educated workers. In addition, educational attainment is correlated with income. The fastest growing occupations in the U.S. require an academic degree and, on average, have higher incomes than occupations that do not require an academic degree.5 Figure 5 shows educational attainment in Oregon, Clackamas County, and Lake Oswego in 2007. In 2007, Lake Oswego had a higher share of residents above the age of 25 with a bachelor's degree or higher (64%) than residents of Clackamas County (32%) or Oregon (28%). Access to Lake Oswego's workforce may be attractive to businesses that need highly educated and skilled workers, such as Corporate Headquarters or Professional and Scientific Services. Figure 5. Educational attainment for the population 25 years and over, Oregon, Clackamas County and Lake Oswego, 2007 1 Graduate or I 1 11 professional degree I I Bachelor's degree Associate degree E c - co Some college, I I a no degree Tti o High school graduate (includes equivalency) w 9th to 12th grade, no diploma Less than 9th grade 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Percent of Population Age 25+ ■Oregon ❑Clackamas County ❑Lake Oswego Source:2007 American Community Survey;prepared by ECONorthwest. 5 Arlene Dohm and Lyn Shniper,"Occupational Employment Projections to 2016,"Monthly Labor Review,November 2007, pp.86- 125. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 19 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 56 OF 82 March 2013 Update Commuting Patterns Commuting plays an important role in Lake Oswego's economy. Lake Oswego residents have a slightly shorter commute than most residents of Clackamas County or the Portland metropolitan region. About 70% of Lake Oswego's residents commute 29 minutes or less, compared to 60% of Clackamas County residents and 65% of residents in the Portland metropolitan region. About 2% of Lake Oswego's residents had a commute of 60 minutes or more, compared to 6% of residents of Clackamas County and the Portland metropolitan region.6 Lake Oswego's residents commuted across the Portland metropolitan region in 2006,7 with about 90% of workers working in Multnomah County, Clackamas County, and Washington County. About 37% of Lake Oswego's residents worked in the City of Portland, 14% in Lake Oswego, and 5% or more in Beaverton, Tigard, and Tualatin.8 Lake Oswego's workforce commuted from across the Portland metropolitan region in 2006, with about 85% of workers coming from Multnomah County, Clackamas County, and Washington County. About 22% of Lake Oswego's workforce lived in the City of Portland, 14% in Lake Oswego, and 5% or more from Beaverton or Tigard.9 This means that Lake Oswego's companies have access to workers from across the Portland metropolitan area but especially from the City north to Portland and from Beaverton east to I- 205. These commuting patterns create demand for automotive and other forms of transportation, both within Lake Oswego and on roads throughout the Portland metropolitan area. Changes in Employment The global economy is evolving. Nationally, this is reflected in changes observed during the 1980's to the current period. These changes affected the composition of Oregon's economy, including the Portland metropolitan area and Lake Oswego. The most important shift during this period at the national-level was the shift in employment from a focus on manufacturing to services. The most important shift in Oregon has been the shift from a timber-based economy to a more diverse economy, with the greatest employment in services. The most important trends and changes in employment for Lake Oswego over the next 20-years are: growth in financial firms, growing importance of health care, and growth in other services that require high quality office space (e.g., professional and technical services). Lake Oswego had 21,044 jobs at 2,272 establishments in 20061°, with an average firm size of 9.3 employees." The average wage per employee was about $49,400. The sectors with the most employment and above average wages were Finance and Insurance ($65,335 average wage) and Professional, Scientific and Technical Services ($73,100). Other sectors with at least 5% of the City's employment and above average wages were: Wholesale Trade ($86,400), Construction ($58,000), and Manufacturing ($54,700). The sectors with the greatest number of 2007 American Community Survey. The most current data on commuting patterns is for 2006.This data is available from U.S.Census Bureau: LED on the Map. 8 U.S. Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer-Housing Dynamics mapping tool. 9 U.S. Census Bureau: Longitudinal Employer-Housing Dynamics mapping tool. 10 This study uses 2006 QCEW data to be consistent with the base employment data used by Metro in the recent work on the Urban Growth Report 2009-2030. 11 The number of employees per firm is calculated based on the covered data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Workforce(QCEW).Other data sources give different firm size. For example,Table A-11 presents employment data from Lake Oswego's business license database,which shows an overall firm size of 6.1 employees per firm and 9.1 employees per firm, excluding home occupations.The best available data about firm size is from the QCEW data because businesses with employees covered by unemployment insurance are required by the Federal Government to report all employment on a monthly basis. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 20 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 57 OF 82 March 2013 Update employees were: Finance and Insurance (17%), Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (12%), Government (11%), Accommodation and Food Services (9%), Health Care and Social Assistance (8%), and Retail (7%). These sectors accounted for 13,245 or 63% of Lake Oswego's jobs. The sectors with the most employment and below average wages were Accommodation and Food Services ($16,300), Retail ($24,100), Government ($34,100), and Health Care and Social Assistance ($36,000). Other sectors with at least 5°/0 of the City's employment and below average wages were: Other Services ($27,200),12 and Administrative Support and Waste Management ($30,500). A substantial amount of Lake Oswego's employment is located on land that is not designated for employment. • Home occupations. Table 6 shows home occupations, which account for about 9% of employment in the City's License Database. Home occupations tend to have a lower average firm size, 1.5 employees per firm, compared to 9.1 employees per firm for non- home occupations operating in Lake Oswego.13 The most common types of home occupations are general construction, interior design, design, consultants, and mortgage brokers. Table 6. Licensed businesses in Lake Oswego, 2009 Firms Employees Percent Percent Avg. Number of total Number of total Emp/Firm Businesses operating within Lake Oswego 1,373 61% 12,532 91% 9.1 Home Occupations 887 39% 1,294 9% 1.5 Total 2,260 100% 13,826 100% 6.1 Source:City of Lake Oswego Business License Database;prepared by ECONorthwest. • Employment located on non-employment plan designations. The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) data in Table 7 includes employment that is located in non-employment plan designations, mostly residential plan designations. This employment includes home occupations (e.g., home offices or construction contractors working out of their home), as well as businesses located in non-employment plan designations (e.g., or assisted living facilities). 12 Other Services includes services such as repair and maintenance,dry cleaning services,personal care services(e.g.,barber shops or nail salons),and organizations. 13 This estimate of the number of employees per firm is based on employment data from Lake Oswego's business license database. The best available data about firm size is from the QCEW data because businesses with employees covered by unemployment insurance are required by the Federal Government to report all employment on a monthly basis.The purpose of presenting the data about firm size in this paragraph is to illustrate that home occupations have fewer employees than the City's average firm size. 13 This estimate of population is based on the housing and population forecast in the 2009 Housing Needs Analysis conducted by Winterbrook Planning. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 21 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 58 OF 82 March 2013 Update Table 7. Em•to ment in Lake Oswe•o's urban services bounda , 2009 Avg.Pay Employment Sector Firms Jobs %of Emp. Per Job Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing&Hunting 3 17 0% $20,271 Utilites 3 10 0% $46,504 Construction 162 686 4% $54,995 Manufacturing 10 191 1% $31,175 Wood Product Manufacturing 13 226 1% $43,018 Primary Metal Manufacturing 25 468 2% $77,453 Wholesale Trade 265 1,115 6% $91,833 Retail Trade 96 1,216 6% $24,689 Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book,and Music Stores 51 158 1% $20,844 Transportation and Warehousing 12 126 1% $32,818 Postal Service 6 75 0% $57,373 Information 40 537 3% $106,415 Finance and Insurance 290 2,549 14% $78,665 Real Estate, Rental and Leasing 130 436 2% $45,251 Professional,Scientific and Technical Services 407 2,538 13% $74,203 Management of Companies and Enterprises 24 335 2% $81,397 Admin.,Waste Mgmt.and Remediation Services 100 838 4% $34,892 Educational Services 55 1,862 10% $36,550 Health Care and Social Assistance 191 1,709 9% $38,217 Arts, Recreation and Entertainment 25 330 2% $18,404 Accommodation and Food Services 118 1,659 9% $17,596 Other Services 246 798 4% $29,324 Public Administration/Government 4 988 5% $45,633 All Other 21 12 0% $56,410 Total 2,297 18,879 100% $52,685 Source: Oregon Employment Department Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages(QCEW). Summary by industry and percentages calculated by FCS GROUP. Note: Only employment in "covered"jobs that include workman's comprehensive insurance payments are reflected in Table 7. Analysis of the QCEW data shows that about 2,450 employees are located in non-employment plan designations, accounting for 12% of Lake Oswego's employment. The most common types of employment located on non-employment plan designations are: Health Care and Social Assistance; Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation; Construction; and Other Services. It is likely that there is overlap in the employment reported from these data sources. The QCEW data probably includes some home occupations, such as contractors working from home or telecommuters that work for firms not located in Lake Oswego. The information in this analysis suggests that between 9% and 12% of Lake Oswego's workforce is located on land that is not designated for employment uses. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 22 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 59 OF 82 March 2013 Update Lake Oswego's Competitive Advantages and Challenges Economic development opportunities in Lake Oswego will be affected by local conditions in addition to national and state economic conditions. Economic conditions in Lake Oswego relative to other portions of the Portland metropolitan area form Lake Oswego's competitive advantage for economic development. Lake Oswego's competitive advantages have implications for the types of firms most likely to locate and expand in Lake Oswego. Lake Oswego's primary competitive advantages are quality of life, prestige, market buying power, location, and access to highly educated and skilled labor. These factors make Lake Oswego attractive to residents and businesses that want a high quality of life where they live and work. A recent analysis by FCS GROUP revealed that Lake Oswego, and particularly the Kruse Way Corridor, is a major economic engine within Clackamas County. 14As shown in the figure below, the Lake Oswego Boones Ferry Road Corridor is one of the leading clusters of employment activity within Clackamas County (map depicts level of relative annual economic output per 10- acre grid that occurred in 2008). In 2008, the businesses within the Kruse Way Corridor (the 81 net acre area extending along Kruse Way from 1-5 to Boones Ferry Road) included 199 separate businesses with a total covered workforce of 2,747 direct jobs (on site) and generated an annual direct payroll of$243 million, and annual direct/indirect regional economic output of $1.4 billion. While, total employment within the Kruse Way Corridor has declined since 2008 in the aftermath of the recent economic recession, this area continues to provide significant employment and economic output within the greater Portland region. s / - �_ w - j '}' ,.,_! 140,0 - It "� r r 14 Clackamas County Economic Landscape, Economic Profiles, 2010; report for Clackamas County by FCS GROUP, Cogan Owens Cogan, and Real Urban Geographics. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 23 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 60 OF 82 March 2013 Update The local factors that form Lake Oswego's competitive advantage are summarized below. • Quality of life. Lake Oswego's high quality of life and significant amenities are a primary competitive advantage for attracting businesses to the City. Lake Oswego's quality of life attributes include: high-quality housing, urban amenities (restaurants and shopping opportunities), Oswego Lake and lake front properties, parks and open space, proximity to Portland, beautiful setting, and access to urban and outdoor recreation. Lake Oswego's high quality of life is likely to attract businesses and entrepreneurs that want to locate in a high amenity area. • Prestige. Office space in Lake Oswego, especially along Kruse Way, is considered a prestigious location. Businesses that want to locate in a prestigious, high amenity area are likely to be attracted to Lake Oswego. • Buying power of markets. The buying power of Lake Oswego's households provides a strong market for goods and services. According to estimates on household spending by Oregon Prospector,15 households in Lake Oswego spent over$1.2 billion in 2008, about 18% of total household expenditures in Clackamas County. Lake Oswego households spend an average of$78,900 on commonly purchased items. Expenditures by households in Lake Oswego were 135% of the County average ($58,443 per household). The buying power of households in Lake Oswego is a competitive advantage for attracting retail and services. • Location. Lake Oswego is located in the Portland metropolitan area, immediately south of the City of Portland and near the intersection of I-5 and 1-205. Lake Oswego is located near Tigard, Tualatin and West Linn. Lake Oswego is located in the northwestern part of Clackamas County, near Multnomah and Washington counties. Lake Oswego's location affects economic development in the City because: the city is located in the most populous part of Oregon; residents have access to easy shopping in and around the city; residents have access to cultural and urban amenities in Lake Oswego and adjacent cities; and businesses in Lake Oswego have access to transportation and business infrastructure in the Portland metropolitan area. • Transportation. Businesses and residents in Lake Oswego have access to a variety of modes of transportation: automobile (1-5, 1-205, Highway 43, Highway 217, and local roads); transit (Tri-Met buses, possible future bus rapid transit or Portland Streetcar extension); and air (Portland International Airport). Businesses that need relatively easy automobile access to 1-5 and other major roads in the region may be attracted to Lake Oswego. • Labor market. The availability of labor is critical for economic development. Availability of labor depends not only on the number of workers available, but the quality, skills, and experience of available workers as well. Commuting is common in Lake Oswego. The commuting patterns show that businesses in Lake Oswego are able to attract skilled and unskilled workers from across the Portland metropolitan region. Businesses that need access to workers from across the Portland metropolitan region and that want a pool of local highly educated and skilled workers may be attracted to Lake Oswego. • Public policy. Public policy can impact the amount and type of economic growth in a community. The City can impact economic growth through its policies about the provision of land, redevelopment, and infill development. Success at attracting or retaining firms may depend on availability of attractive sites for development and public support for redevelopment. Although firms may be attracted to Lake Oswego because of 15 Oregon Prospector is the State of Oregon's economic development website. It has city profiles,which include information about expenditures by residents of the city.The website can be accessed at: http://www.oregonprospector.com/. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 24 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 61 OF 82 March 2013 Update the City's competitive advantages, the choice to locate in Lake Oswego may be based, in large part, on public assistance with redevelopment (e.g., parcel assembly) because of the challenges associated with redevelopment. • Business taxes. Multnomah County levies a 1.45% business income tax. Clackamas and Washington Counties do not have a business income tax, which gives cities in these counties an advantage for attracting businesses over cities in Multnomah County. Lake Oswego's proximity to Multnomah County presents an opportunity to attract firms that want to locate near Multnomah County. Lake Oswego also has a number of real or perceived challenges for economic development, relative to the Portland metropolitan region. Interviews with stakeholders identified the following barriers to economic development in Lake Oswego. • Land. The availability of land in Lake Oswego was the most commonly mentioned challenge to economic development. The challenges included: availability of vacant land, availability of sites over a few acres, and cost of land. The lack of light industrial land with highway access or flex space is a concern because the City has so little industrial land. • Infill and redevelopment. Infill and redevelopment, especially of sites larger than an acre, is difficult. This is especially true in Downtown, where parcel assembly of sites is very difficult because of the highly fragmented pattern of ownership. In addition, the City's policies make it challenging to change existing uses through rezoning. • Parking. High land costs make providing parking costly, especially for structured or underground parking. The need for parking, both because of the lack of transportation alternatives and City policies, is cited by the stakeholders as a challenge to increasing densities in areas with office buildings. In addition, it is perceived that a lack of parking in Downtown makes retail uses more challenging, especially for small retailers that cannot afford to build parking structures. This seems to be more perception than reality based on a 2010 Downtown Parking Study. • Providing infrastructure. The cost of providing new infrastructure to increase intensity of uses and funding maintenance of existing infrastructure are also cited by stakeholders as a challenge to economic development. • Downtown. The distance from Downtown to 1-5 and the capacity of Highway 43 and local roads are cited as a challenge to development in Downtown, with observations that the distance from 1-5 will prevent Downtown from providing regional retail or services. In addition, increasing densities in Downtown substantially may create capacity issues on the street system, especially if people come from outside of Lake Oswego for retail and services. • Affordable housing. The lack of affordable housing, especially workforce housing, is seen as a challenge to businesses with lower paid employees. These employees generally cannot afford to live in Lake Oswego and must commute from other communities. • Community attitudes. Community attitudes are viewed as a challenge to development, especially development near established neighborhoods. In addition, community concerns about development often make the development process (from concept to receiving development approval from the City) slower. • City government. The complexity and speed of the planning process were cited in stakeholder interviews as a challenge to economic development. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 25 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 62 OF 82 March 2013 Update Potential Growth Industries in Lake Oswego The types of jobs and target industries Lake Oswego is focusing on have the following attributes: high-wage, stable jobs with benefits; jobs requiring skilled and unskilled labor; employers in a range of industries that will contribute to a diverse and sustainable economy; and industries that are compatible with Lake Oswego's community values. Regional and Local Business Clusters Overall, Clackamas County's clusters can be organized into five broad categories: Manufacturing; Warehousing & Transportation; Wholesale Trade; and Finance, Insurance, and Professional Services. Combined, the direct economic impacts of the 10 clusters account for roughly 39.8% of the Clackamas County economy. When secondary impacts, such as those realized by up- and downstream cluster suppliers are considered, the 10 clusters account for about 65% of the county economy. An analysis of how Lake Oswego fits into the Clackamas County economy based on job concentration by employment sector defined the region as nine counties from Salem to Vancouver.16 Location quotients (LQ) were calculated using value added of an industry as the best measure of economic importance.17 Related industry sectors are grouped into clusters and ranked according to size and LQ using value added. Key clusters are described in terms of size and other economic characteristics. The summaries were constructed using 2006 IMPLAN (IMpact analysis for PLANing software) data, supplemented by QCEW data. The analysis identified ten "key clusters" in Clackamas County. Each of these clusters met two basic criteria: (1) highest value added location quotients in Clackamas County relative to the nine county CMSA; and (2) a contribution of at least 0.25% to the County's total Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (as measured by value added). Table 8 provides the results of this analysis. Table 8. Clackamas County key industry clusters, with selection criteria, 2006 (dollar figures in millions of$) Value Added cyo Cluster Name LQ Direct % % Total County Region County Region 1. Warehousing 2.58 $ 102.3 0.86A �.1% $ 149.7 1.26A .1 2. Fabricated Metal Manufacturing 2.36 345.7 2.7% 0.3% 602.7 4.7% 0.6% 3. Nurseries and Greenhouses 2.10 197.6 1.5% 0.2% 273.6 2.1% 0.3% 4. Primary Metal Manufacturing 1.65 188.2 1.5% 0.2% 325.8 2.5% 0.3% 5. Truck Transport 1.62 235.9 1.8% 0.2% 433.0 3.3% 0.4% 6. Wood Product Manufacturing 1.43 134.8 1.0% 0.1% 255.8 2.0% 0.2% 7. Professional Consulting Services 1.41 677.8 5.2% 0.6% 1,168.4 9.0% 1.1% 8. Finance and Insurance 1.27 1,680.4 13.0% 1.6% 2,637.8 20.4% 2.5% 9. Wholesale Trade 1.22 1,453.4 11.2% 1.4% 2,283.9 17.7% 2.2% 10. Machinery Manufacturing 1.17 131.6 1.0% 0.1% 276.1 2.1% 0.3% Clusters Total N/A $ 5,147.7 39.8% 4.9% $ 8,406.8 65.0% 8.0% Source:ECONorthwest, using 2006 IMPLAN data. Note: "Region"is the nine-county Portland CMSA region as defined earlier;the Finance and Insurance cluster excludes banks. 16 This region is defined by the U.S.Census as the Portland Consolidated Metropolitan Service Area(CMSA).This area includes Clackamas,Columbia,Marion, Multnomah,Polk,Washington,and Yamhill counties in Oregon;and Clark County and Skamania County in Washington. 17 It is more typical for cluster studies to use employment as the basis for comparison. But the highest employment does not necessarily produce the highest value added.While the measures are highly correlated,value added is a theoretically preferable measure of an industry's or cluster's impact on the economy. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 26 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 63 OF 82 March 2013 Update Location quotients for industry sectors (defined by 2-digit North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS) codes) were calculated for Lake Oswego compared to Clackamas County, using data on wages for covered employees for 2006. Because of the different methodologies used, these results are not directly comparable to the clusters identified for the County. However, this analysis does shed some light on the relationships between the Lake Oswego and Clackamas County economies. Four industries in Lake Oswego had more than double the employment concentration than Clackamas County, indicating possible employment clusters. Those sectors were Finance & Insurance; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; and Information. These sectors roughly correlate to two of the key industry clusters identified in Clackamas County: Professional Consulting Services, and Finance and Insurance. This analysis indicates the City of Lake Oswego has different economic strengths than the rest of Clackamas County. Manufacturing, Transportation and Warehousing are some of the County's key clusters, compared to the Portland metropolitan region. Employment in these clusters is not concentrated in Lake Oswego. On the other hand, Finance, Insurance, and Professional Consulting Services were identified as key clusters in the County, where Lake Oswego has a high concentration of wages in these sectors, compared to the County as a whole. Were it not for the strength of these sectors in Lake Oswego, it is unlikely that Clackamas County would show a comparative advantage in these clusters. Target Industries Based on current employment trends, the City's competitive advantages, and City land-use and economic development policies, types of businesses that may be attracted to Lake Oswego include: • Finance and Insurance. Lake Oswego currently has a high concentration of employment in finance and insurance. The City's high quality of life, prestige, proximity to Downtown Portland, concentration of employment in finance and insurance, and access to high quality labor may make Lake Oswego firms particularly competitive in this industry. • Professional, Scientific, Technical Services and Information. The availability of highly educated and skilled labor, concentration of existing professional firms, and the high quality of life in Lake Oswego make it attractive to professional service firms and information firms. These types of businesses could include engineering, research, law firms, accounting firms, software development, and other professional services that are attracted to high-quality settings. • Real Estate. Lake Oswego's high quality housing stock and reputation as a desirable commercial location make Lake Oswego attractive to real estate firms. The growth in this industry, however, may be limited because of limited supply of land (and real estate opportunities) in Lake Oswego. The City may continue to attract real estate firms that primarily operate in communities outside of Lake Oswego. • Corporate or Regional Headquarters. The availability of office space on Kruse Way (and other parts of Lake Oswego), quality of life, prestige, proximity to Portland, location along 1-5, availability of executive housing, and availability of highly educated workers may make Lake Oswego attractive as a place to locate corporate or regional headquarters. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 27 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 64 OF 82 March 2013 Update • Green Businesses. There is no clear definition of what constitutes a green industry or business. In general, green businesses are those that produce products or services that improve or maintain environmental quality. Opportunities for environmentally conscious businesses are growing. The type of green businesses that may choose to locate or expand in Lake Oswego includes: training and support firms, research firms, or small scale, light industrial firms with environmentally friendly practices. • Health Care. One of the fastest growing sectors in the national and State economy is Health Care. The aging of the population in Lake Oswego, and the Portland metropolitan region, make Health Care a sector that is likely to grow in Lake Oswego. The types of health care businesses likely to locate or expand in Lake Oswego are medical offices rather than large complexes, given land supply. • Services for Residents. Population growth will drive development of retail and government services in Lake Oswego. • Services for Seniors. The Portland metropolitan region and Lake Oswego's growing population of retirees or people nearing retirement, creates demand for services for seniors, such as medical services or high-amenity senior housing, which may be attracted to Lake Oswego. • Government and Public Services. Lake Oswego will continue to be the location for institutions such as: Lake Oswego City Services, the Lake Oswego School District, and Marylhurst University. • Advanced Continuing Education. Lake Oswego has shown a commitment to lifelong learning opportunities and is strategic located near Marylhurst University, Portland Community College, Oregon Health and Sciences University and Lewis and Clark University. • Arts. Lake Oswego supports and promotes the arts through the Arts Council of Lake Oswego, Lakewood Center for the Arts and annual Festival of the Arts among other opportunities. This is an integral part of the community that contributes to the excellent quality of life, one of the City's competitive advantages. The draft employment land needs analysis will need to consider any special site requirements from these types of target clusters to ascertain whether the existing land supply and zoning regulations are adequate for retaining and enhancing job growth in these employment sectors. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 28 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 65 OF 82 March 2013 Update INVENTORY OF SUITABLE SITES (LAND SUPPLY) Consistent with the employment land demand forecast, the buildable land inventory (BLI) for the Lake Oswego EOA documents industrial and commercial inventory that currently exists within the Lake Oswego USB. The BLI includes an analysis of existing vacant and partially vacant (sub-dividable) tax lots by current zoning classification and deducted all significant environmental constraints (wetlands, floodplains, stream corridors and slopes greater than 25%) to estimate buildable land area within the Lake Oswego USB. The buildable land area for each tax lot was derived by analyzing GIS data pertaining to environmental features that would constrain the amount of potential site development on vacant and partially vacant areas. The vacant and part-vacant land inventory includes tax lots or parcels that have at least 10,000 square feet (about 1/4 acre) of buildable land area (net of existing developed buildings and environmental and slope constraints). The land supply analysis focused on the land use classifications that can accommodate job growth within the USB and does not include zones with no buildable land. As shown in Table 9, Lake Oswego has four commercial, one institutional and one industrial zoning designation that meet these criteria. Table 9. Lake Oswego Employment Zone Designations Commercial East End General Commercial (EC) I General Commercial (GC) West Lake Grove Office Commercial/Neighborhood Commercial (OC/NC) Campus Research & Development (CR&D) Institutional Campus Institutional (CI) Industrial Industrial Park (IP) Prepared by FCS GROUP. The vacant and partially vacant land inventory for the Lake Oswego USB includes 12 tax lots with a total buildable land area of 20.11 acres, as indicated in Table 10. Table 10. Distribution of Vacant and Part Vacant Lands by Land Use Zone Classification, Lake Oswego USB Vacant and Part-Vacant Property Zone 0.26 to 1 Acre 1 to 3 Acres 3 to 6 Acres > 6 Acres Total Lots I Acres Lots I Acres Lots I Acres Lots I Acres Lots Acres Commercial 7 2.98 2 4.63 1 4.67 10 12.3 EC 2 0.57 2 0.6 GC 4 1.89 2 4.63 6 6.5 OC/NC 1 0.52 1 0.5 CR & D 1 4.67 1 4.7 Institutional (CI) 1 6.92 1 6.92 Industrial (IP) 1 0.91 1 0.91 Total 8 3.89 2 4.63 1 4.67 1 6.92 12 20.11 Prepared by FCS GROUP. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 29 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 66 OF 82 March 2013 Update Redevelopment Potential In addition to the vacant and part-vacant BLI development opportunities, the City of Lake Oswego is also anticipating the potential for significant redevelopment to occur within these and other employment zones. This includes employment zones: Industrial (I), General Commercial (GC) Highway Commercial (HC); and mixed-use zones: Office Campus/Townhome Residential (OC/R-2.5); Neighborhood Commercial/Residential High Density (NC/R-0); Office Campus/Residential High Density (OC/R-3); and East End Commercial/Residential High Density (EC/R-0). Unique Refill and Redevelopment Considerations • Office vacancy rates end of 2010 were 18.3% in Kruse Way and 12.2% in Lake Oswego/West Linn. Equals 635,000 square feet of vacant space. ■ Vacant buildings could support about 1,500 jobs in Lake Oswego (with no vacant land need). • Retail has relatively low vacancy rates (4%). • Industrial had negative absorption during 2010 in Lake Oswego (lost 24,000 SF with 6% vacancy rate). • There are about 103 acres of mixed-use land area with medium to very high redevelopment potential in Lake Oswego (could accommodate about 1,600 net new jobs). The analysis of redevelopment opportunities is based on the ratio of assessed improvement value to land value for each tax lot using 2010 Clackamas County Assessor data where parcels with an improvement value of 150% or less of the land value are considered redevelopable. The results provided in Table 11 indicate that there is a significant amount of redevelopment potential within the Lake Oswego USB. The redevelopment analysis identifies more than 121 acres with economic development potential in the Downtown, Foothills, Kruse Way and Boones Ferry areas. Table 11. Potential Mixed-Use Redevelopment Parcels with less than 1.5:1 improvement- to-land-value ratio and greater than 1/4 Acre, Lake Oswego USB Zoning Downtown Foothills Kruse Way Boones Ferry Subtotal GC 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.3 21.3 NC/RO 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 2.3 OC/R3 0.0 0.0 9.9 2.1 12.0 EC 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.8 HC 0.0 0.0 29.0 0.0 29.0 CR&D 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 EC/RO 0.0 25.7 0.0 0.0 25.7 I (Foothills area) 0.0 14.6 0.0 0.0 14.6 OC 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.6 Total 14.8 40.2 38.9 27.3 121.2 Source:Analysis by City of Lake Oswego and FCS GROUP, 2011. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 30 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 67 OF 82 March 2013 Update SITE SUITABILITY ANALYSIS (LAND DEMAND) In the case of Lake Oswego, the city is located within the Metro planning boundary and also needs to maintain consistency between adopted regional plans and requirements. The most recent adopted jobs and population forecast for the Lake Oswego area is from 2005 (Metroscope Generation 2.3) and is now being updated by Metro staff(release date expected December 2011). Preliminary employment and population forecasts for the Lake Oswego area have also been released as part of the 2009 Metro Urban Growth Report, as reflected in the "High" employment growth forecast. Lake Oswego is in the process of coordinating with Metro to update jobs and population forecasts, which are planned for release by Metro in December 2011. The draft EOA will be updated to reflect this forecast prior to final submittal. Hence, for planning purposes, four job growth forecast scenarios are assumed and summarized in Table 12:18 Low Growth Forecast is based on the average annual growth rate (AAGR) from the 2010 census between 2000 and 2010 and assumes that the overall job growth is consistent with population growth in the Lake Oswego USB, with no changes to existing land supply or zoning. In light of recent trends and local objectives, we have assumed no gain/loss in jobs within the government and industrial sectors, and growth to occur in the retail and service sectors. Medium Growth Forecast utilizes the most current trend and forecast data available from the Oregon Employment Department. Like the low growth forecast, it also is based on the AAGR from the 2010 census between 2000-2010 and assumes that the overall job growth is consistent with population growth in the Lake Oswego USB, with no changes to existing land supply or zoning. In light of recent trends and local objectives, we have assumed no gain/loss in jobs within the government and industrial sectors, and growth to occur in the retail and service sectors. To create this forecast, FCS GROUP adjusted the Lake Oswego USB 2009 employment estimates to year 2010 using current employment statistics for the January to December 2010 time period by job sector based on Oregon Employment Department data for Clackamas County. Medium-High Growth Forecast assumes future job growth is consistent with the Oregon Employment Department 2008-2018 employment sector forecasts for Region 15 (Clackamas County). Long-term average annual growth rates for employment sectors are based on the most recent 10-year (2008-2018) employment forecast for job sectors in Clackamas County (Region 15), and are extrapolated to year 2035. High Growth Forecast assumes that the job growth rate is consistent with the 2009 Metro Urban Growth Report (UGR) assumptions (which are still being refined for release in December 2011). 18 Base year(2010) has been updated to reflect current Oregon Employment Dept.job estimates for Lake Oswego USB (Dec. 2009) adjusted to Dec. 2010 using current monthly employment statistics for Clackamas County. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 31 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 68 OF 82 March 2013 Update Table 12. Employment Growth Forecasts, Lake Oswego USB, 2010-203519 2010 2035 Change Average Low Growth Forecast Estimate Projection 2010-2035 Annual AAGR* Change Employment 20,538 22,546 2,008 57 0.37% Retail 1,551 1,760 209 6 0.51% Commercial/Services 13,382 15,181 1,799 51 0.51% Industrial 2,834 2,834 0% Government/Education 2,771 2,771 0% Medium Growth 2010 2035 Change Average Forecast Estimate Projection 2010-2035 Annual AAGR* Change Employment 20,538 24,354 3,815 109 0.68% Retail 1,551 1,948 396 11 0.91% Commercial/Services 13,382 16,801 3,419 98 0.91% Industrial 2,834 2,834 0% Government/Education 2,771 2,771 0% Medium-High 2010 2035 Change Average Growth Forecast Estimate Projection 2010-2035 Annual AAGR* Change Employment 20,538 25,398 4,859 194 0.85% Retail 1,551 2,142 590 24 1.30% Commercial/Services 13,382 17,297 3,915 157 1.03% Industrial 2,834 2,492 (142) (14) -0.51% Government/Education 2,771 3,468 697 28 0.90% 2010 2035 Change Average High Growth Forecast Estimate Projection 2010-2035 Annual AAGR* Change Employment 20,538 34,280 13,741 550 2.07% Retail 1,551 2,691 1,140 46 2.23% Commercial/Services 13,382 23,001 9,619 385 2.19% I Industrial 2,834 4,251 1,417 57 1.63% I Government/Education 2,771 4,336 1,565 63 1.81% 1 *AAGR=average annual growth rate Note:a portion of the total net new job growth shown in Table 12 can and will occur within vacant buildings, including Kruse Way Corridor and locations, and a portion will need to be accommodated on vacant lands and through redevelopment opportunities. Prepared by FCS GROUP. Once the annual average job growth rates and job forecasts were created, a series of assumptions were used to allocate: jobs to building types; building types to square feet of floor area; and building floor area to redevelopment or vacant lands by general zone classification. The following key assumptions are generally consistent with the Metro Urban Growth Report (UGR) and local experience. The methodology used to translate the employment growth forecast into the vacant land needs forecasts involved a series of assumptions to allocate jobs to building types, and assumptions to allocate building types into redevelopment and new construction floor area requirements; and then building types into general land use classifications (see Appendix A). The assumptions for 19 In October 2012, the Lake Oswego City Council accepted the 2035 forecasts contained in the table on page 4 of this report. The City's forecast reflects the Medium-High forecast from Table 12, which most closely aligns with Metro-adopted forecast for Lake Oswego of 5,291 new jobs between 2010 and 2035. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 32 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 69 OF 82 March 2013 Update translating job forecasts into building and land needs were derived by FCS GROUP and City of Lake Oswego Long Range Planning staff based on local observations; with assumptions that are generally consistent with the methodology utilized by Metro in the Draft 2009-2030 UGR. See Appendix B for more information. As shown in Table 13, the long-term analysis of vacant land need for employment growth within the Lake Oswego USB by year 2035 identifies a range in employment land needs from 14 acres (low) to 23 acres (medium) to 56 acres (medium-high) and up to 141 acres (high). Table 13. Vacant Employment Land Demand Forecast, Lake Oswego USB, 2010 to 2035 (gross buildable acres) Vacant Land Demand Land Use Classification Low Medium Med-High High Commercial and Mixed Use 10 20 40 95 Institutional 1 1 9 21 Industrial 1 2 0 24 Total Vacant Land Demand 14 23 56 141 Source:compiled by FCS GROUP. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 33 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 70 OF 82 March 2013 Update ASSESSMENT OF EMPLOYMENT LAND NEEDS A range of land need forecasts were prepared for consideration, including: low, medium, medium-high and high land needs scenarios. Table 14 summarizes Lake Oswego's land supply and demand for each employment growth forecast. The Economic Opportunities Analysis requirements focus on an assessment of vacant employment land, however due to Lake Oswego's limited supply of vacant employment land, this report also assesses the potential to add jobs through redevelopment and through filling vacant office space. The results in Table 14 show that with the exception of Institutional demand in the medium-high employment forecast, Lake Oswego's supply of vacant and redevelopable land along with vacant office space, could provide the capacity for over 4,000 new jobs under the medium-high job growth forecast. The limited vacant land supply can most easily accommodate the low growth forecast without more focused economic strategies to support job growth. While commercial and mixed-use land demand can only be met by vacant land in the low scenario, the redevelopable land supply provides sufficient capacity to meet commercial/mixed-use demand in all but the high growth forecast. For institutional uses, the vacant land supply can accommodate the low and medium demand forecasts, while an additional 2.1 to 14.1 acres of land would be needed for the medium-high and high forecasts. For industrial uses, the low to flat demand in all but the high scenario, combined with over 30 acres of redevelopment potential in the southwest Industrial Park zone, results in a surplus of industrial land for the low, medium and medium-high employment forecasts. Short-Term Land Supply and Need Determination In addition to the long-term land supply, OAR 660-009-0005 also requires the identification of a short-term supply of land meaning "suitable land that is ready for construction within one year of an application of a building permit or request for a service extension." OAR 660-009-0025 also requires that cities must provide "at least 25 percent of the total land supply within the urban growth boundary designated for industrial and other employment uses as short-term supply." In Lake Oswego's case all of the vacant employment land supply currently included within the Lake Oswego USB has urban services and infrastructure (roads, water, sewer, storm water drainage)facilities to handle some level of potential development, or such facilities could be expanded within a 1-3 year time frame to render the inventory suitable for accommodating short-term development. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 34 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 71 OF 82 March 2013 Update Table 14. Employment Vacant Land Needs and Vacant Land Supply, Lake Oswego USB, 2010 to 2035 (gross buildable acres) Vacant & Redevelopment Potential Land Acreage Low Growth Medium Med-High High Growth Growth Growth Scenario Scenario Commercial & Mixed-Use Scenario Scenario Land Supply- Vacant 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.3 Land Supply-Redevelopment 106.7 106.7 106.7 106.7 Land Supply Subtotal 119.0 119.0 119.0 119.0 Vacant Land Demand 10.0 20.0 40.0 95.0 Redevelopment Land Demand 1 8.7 21.8 49.4 91.7 Land Demand Subtotal 18.7 41.8 89.4 186.7 Overall Land Surplus/(Deficit) 100.3 77.2 29.6 (67.7) Institutional Land Supply- Vacant 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 Land Supply-Redevelopment n/a n/a n/a n/a Land Supply Subtotal 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 Vacant Land Demand 1.0 1.0 9.0 21.0 Redevelopment Land Demand 2 0.5 1.0 16.7 37.6 Land Demand Subtotal 1.5 2.0 25.7 58.6 Overall Land Surplus/(Deficit) 5.4 4.9 (18.8) (51.7) Industrial Land Supply-Vacant 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Land Supply-Redevelopment 37.5 37.5 37.5 37.5 Land Supply Subtotal 38.5 38.5 38.5 38.5 Vacant Land Demand 1.0 2.0 - 24.0 Redevelopment Land Demand 3 - - - 46.4 Land Demand Subtotal 1.0 2.0 - 70.4 Overall Land Surplus/(Deficit) 37.5 36.5 38.5 (31.9) Note: Redevelopment assumptions assume portion of job growth is addressed though building refill/vacancy absorption as noted in Appendix C. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 35 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 72 OF 82 March 2013 Update IMPLEMENTATION Vacant Land Supply/Redevelopment According to the City's BLI, Lake Oswego has a limited supply of vacant land area inside the USB of approximately 20 acres, seven of which are at Marylhurst/Mary's Woods. Therefore, the City must rely on its redevelopment capacity, and optimize of the remaining vacant land inventory to retain and attract business investment and employment opportunities. Possible Strategies for Policy Consideration 1. Identify areas for increased, redeveloped employment densities. 2. Strengthen the City's redevelopment program; identify redevelopment tools, strategies and priorities. 3. Use incentive-based approaches and/or regulatory strategies to promote redevelopment and greater development intensity (mixed-use redevelopment with combined retail or office uses and housing), especially in centers and corridors. Options include, but are not limited to: • Using urban renewal and tax increment financing for the development of infrastructure necessary to stimulate economic growth • Exploring reduced system development charges where merited • Changing development standards or restrictions (overall or for certain types of desired development) • Assembling land • Investing in structured parking, requiring less parking and/or increasing public transportation use Commitment to Provide a Short-Term Land Supply Cities must provide a competitive short-term supply of land. Short-term is defined as developable within one year. Cities must also include detailed strategies for preparing the total land supply for development and replacing the short-term supply of land as it is developed. The policies should identify a process for regular review of the short-term supply of employment land. Possible Strategies Monitor and update the Buildable Lands Inventory to assess annually the adequacy of short and long-term supplies of buildable employment land. Commitment to Provide Adequate Sites and Facilities Cities must include policies to designate an adequate number of sites of suitable sizes, types and locations for their employment need. Cities also must have policies that provide necessary public facilities and transportation facilities through public facilities and transportation system planning. Possible Strateav Address the public facility needs of business and economic development through identifying and programming needed public facilities and services. Update public facility plans according to the economic development vision, objectives and strategies. Discuss and resolve the desired balance between industrial and employment land. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 36 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 73 OF 82 March 2013 Update Other Considerations Small Businesses Home occupations are an important form of land use efficiency in Lake Oswego. Home occupations offer employment land use efficiency because they are typically located in existing dwellings and do not require additional land or built space. Possible Strateav Emphasize policies that encourage or support home-based employment for sole practitioners while balancing neighborhood quality of life. Provide more opportunities by adding greater flexibility with home occupations. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 37 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 74 OF 82 March 2013 Update Appendix A. Assumptions for Vacant Land Needs Forecast Assumptions for Allocating Employment Sectors to Building Types Building Types Employment Sectors Office Institutional Flex/Bus. General Warehouse Retail Total Park Industrial Retail 5% 1% 5% 0% 0% 89% 100% I Services 72% 1% 5% 0% 0% 22% 100% I Industrial 0% 0% 67% 31% 2% 0% 100% Government/ 30% 60% 5% 0% 0% 5% 100% Education Source:Metro Draft 2009-2030 Urban Growth Report;modified to reflect local observations. Assumptions for Allocating Building Types to Land Needs* Office Government/ Flex/Bus. General Warehouse Retail Institutional Park Industrial Vacant Building/Redevelopment 70% 20% 70% 70% 70% 50% Job Allocation' I Vacant Land Allocation2 30% 80% 30% 30% 30% 50% I Building SF Per Job2 250 600 550 700 1,100 500 I Floor-Area-Ratio2 0.50 0.35 0.35 0.30 0.30 0.30 Public Facility Net:Gross Adjustment3 1.10 1.05 1.10 1.05 1.05 1.10 Work at Home Adjustment4 0.15 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.05 *Assumptions are intended to reflect a long-term average. 1.Adjusts for building refill& vacancy allowances. 2. Building density assumptions for building types are generally consistent with the 2009 Metro Draft 2009-2030 Urban Growth Report development forecast methodology/assumptions. 3.Allowances take into account land dedicated to public/utility easements. 4.Allowance based on local business license data;and is generally consistent with national statistics by US Dept. of Labor, Bureau of of Labor Statistics, Technical information: "Work at Home in 2004". Source:assumptions are generally consistent with the Metro Draft 2009-2030 Urban Growth Report;modified to reflect local observations. Potential Employment Growth Forecasts and Required Building Floor Area, Lake Oswego USB, 2010 to 2035 Potential Demand for Vacant Buildings/Redevelopment (floor area in Sq.Ft.) Low Medium Med-High High Office 133,000 253,000 437,000 1,064,000 Institutional 2,000 3,000 51,000 115,000 Flex/Business Park 25,000 48,000 11,000 550,000 General Industrial (47,000) 196,000 Warehouse (5,000) 20,000 Retail 95,000 180,000 324,000 Total 255,000 484,000 771,000 1,945,000 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 38 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 75 OF 82 March 2013 Update Potential Demand for Development on Vacant Lands (floor area in Sq.Ft.) Low Medium Med-High High Office 57,000 108,000 187,000 456,000 Institutional 6,000 12,000 203,000 458,000 Flex/Business Park 11,000 21,000 5,000 236,000 General Industrial (20,000) 84,000 Warehouse (2,000) 9,000 Retail 95,000 180,000 324,000 732,000 Total 169,000 321,000 697,000 1,975,000 Total Potential Buildin l Floor Area Demand (floor area in Sq.Ft.) Low Medium Med-High High Office 190,000 361,000 624,000 1,520,000 Institutional 8,000 15,000 254,000 573,000 Flex/Business Park 36,000 69,000 16,000 786,000 General Industrial (67,000) 280,000 Warehouse (7,000) 29,000 Retail 190,000 360,000 648,000 732,000 Total 424,000 805,000 1,468,000 3,920,000 Source:compiled by FCS GROUP, 2011. Building to Land Use Assignment Assumptions Local Zoning Office Institutional Flex/Bus. General Warehouse Retail Classification Park Industrial Commercial 60% 30% 10% 10% 0% 65% Mixed Use 30% 10% 5% 5% 0% 30% Institutional 10% 60% 0% 0% 10% 0% Industrial 0% 0% 85% 85% 90% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Assumptions by FCS GROUP and City of Lake Oswego planning staff based on local observations. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 39 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 76 OF 82 March 2013 Update Appendix B. Redevelopment Allocations and Land Needs by Forecast Redevelopment Forecast, Low Growth Scenario, Lake Oswe jo USB, 2010-2035 Net New Potential Potential Demand Absorption Absorption Potential Avg. Redevel- for in Existing in Existing Absorption Building Most Building opment Building Vacant Vacant for New Sq.Ft. Likely Floor- Land Floor Area Buildings Buildings Redevelop- Per Job Job Area- Need Building Type (Sq.Ft.) 1 (%) 2 (SF) ment(SF) 3 Growth Ratio 3 (acres) Office 190,000 100% 190,000 - 250 760 0.50 - Institutional 8,000 50% 4,000 4,000 600 13 0.35 1 Flex/Business Park 36,000 100% 36,000 - 550 65 0.35 General Industrial - - - - 700 - - - Warehouse - - - - 1,100 - - - Retail 190,000 40% 76,000 114,000 500 380 0.30 9 Total 424,000 306,000 118,000 1,219 9 Redevelopment Forecast, Medium Growth Scenario, Lake Oswego USB, 2010-2035 Net New Potential Potential Demand Absorption Absorption Potential Avg. Redevel- for in Existing in Existing Absorption Building Most Building opment Building Vacant Vacant for New Sq.Ft. Likely Floor- Land Floor Area Buildings Buildings Redevelop- Per Job Job Area- Need Building Type (Sq.Ft.) 1 (%) 2 (SF) ment(SF) 3 Growth Ratio 3 (acres) Office 361,000 100% 361,000 - 250 1,444 0.50 - Institutional 15,000 50% 7,500 7,500 600 25 0.35 1 Flex/Business Park 69,000 100% 69,000 - 550 125 0.35 - General Industrial - - - - 700 - - - Warehouse - - - - 1,100 - - - Retail 360,000 21% 75,600 284,400 500 720 0.30 22 Total 805,000 513,100 291,900 2,314 23 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 40 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 77 OF 82 March 2013 Update Redevelopment Forecast, Medium-High Growth Scenario, Lake Oswego USB, 2010-2035 Net New Potential Potential Demand Absorption Absorption Potential Avg. Redevel- for in Existing in Existing Absorption Building Most Building opment Building Vacant Vacant for New Sq.Ft. Likely Floor- Land Floor Area Buildings Buildings Redevelop- Per Job Job Area- Need Building Type (Sq.Ft.) 1 (%) 2 (SF) ment(SF) 3 Growth Ratio 3 (acres) Office 624,000 80% 499,200 124,800 250 2,496 0.50 6 Institutional 254,000 10% 25,400 228,600 600 423 0.35 17 Flex/Business Park 16,000 100% 16,000 - 550 29 0.35 - General Industrial (67,000) - - (67,000) 700 (96) - - Warehouse (7,000) - - (7,000) 1,100 (6) - - Retail 648,000 12% 77,760 570,240 500 1,296 0.30 44 Total 1,468,000 618,360 849,640 4,142 66 Redevelopment Forecast, High Growth Scenario, Lake Oswego USB, 2010-2035 Net New Potential Potential Demand Absorption Absorption Potential Avg. Redevel- for in Existing in Existing Absorption Building Most Building op ment Building Vacant Vacant for New Sq.Ft. Likely Floor- Land Floor Area Buildings Buildings Redevelop- Per Job Job Area- Need Building Type (Sq.Ft.) 1 (%) 2 (SF) ment(SF) 3 Growth Ratio 3 (acres) Office 1,520,000 40% 608,000 912,000 250 6,080 0.50 42 Institutional 573,000 5% 28,650 544,350 600 955 0.35 38 Flex/Business Park 786,000 10% 78,600 707,400 550 1,429 0.35 46 General Industrial 280,000 - - 280,000 700 400 - - Warehouse 29,000 - - 29,000 1,100 26 - - Retail 732,000 11% 80,520 651,480 500 1,464 0.30 50 Total 3,920,000 795,770 3,124,230 10,354 176 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 41 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 78 OF 82 March 2013 Update Appendix C. Vacant Building Absorption Assumptions Vacant Building Absorption Assumption (building floor area in sq. ft.) Low Medium Med-High High Growth Growth Growth Growth Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario 1. Commercial & Mixed-Use (floor area sq.ft.) 266,000 436,600 576,960 688,520 2. Institutional (floor area sq. ft.) 4,000 7,500 25,400 28,650 3. Industrial (floor area sq. ft.) 36,000 69,000 16,000 78,600 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 42 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 79 OF 82 March 2013 Update Appendix D. Stakeholder Interview Summary ECONorthwest conducted interviews with five stakeholders in Lake Oswego. The stakeholders were identified by City staff and included the following people: 1. Matt Coles with Shorenstein Properties 2. Jerry Wheeler with the Lake Oswego Chamber of Commerce 3. Steve Dodds with Norris, Beggs & Simpson 4. Robert LeFeber with Commercial Realty Advisors, Northwest LLC 5. Barry Cain and Matt Grady with Gramor Development We asked the stakeholders what the opportunities and barriers to economic development in Lake Oswego are. This appendix presents the themes from the interviews. Opportunities for economic development in Lake Oswego Interviewees identified the following opportunities to doing business in Lake Oswego: 1. High amenity. The amenities in Lake Oswego provide opportunities for business. The amenities attract high-quality workers to the City and make the City attractive to businesses that want to locate in a high amenity area. The amenities most frequently mentioned were: high-end housing, parks, high environmental quality, the Lake, restaurants, and retail. 2. Demographics. Lake Oswego's demographics are an opportunity, especially for retail businesses. The demographics identified were: the concentration of high income households, the aging population, family households, and high educational attainment. The types of businesses that might be attracted to Lake Oswego because of the City's demographics include services for the aging population (e.g., medical services) or high- end retail. 3. Transportation access. The City's location along 1-5, access to 1-205, and access to Highway 43 are an opportunity for businesses in Lake Oswego. The City's automotive access provides easy access to the rest of the Portland metropolitan region. If the streetcar is extended to Lake Oswego, that would provide earlier non-automotive access to Portland. 4. Location. Lake Oswego's proximity to Portland and location near other communities in the area is an opportunity, especially for businesses that prefer to locate near Portland or other nearby businesses. 5. Small businesses. The greatest opportunity for business development in Lake Oswego is for small businesses (those with 50 or fewer employees). Lake Oswego provides opportunities for entrepreneurs, as well as high-paying services (e.g., attorneys, engineering firms, or accounting firms). 6. Home occupations. Lake Oswego is attractive to people that want to live and work at home, in a high amenity area. The City may have opportunity for reducing employment land needs and providing opportunities for economic development through home occupations and home offices. 7. Retail development. Lake Oswego has opportunities for retail development, such as boutique retail and retail for residents in Downtown. Other areas of Lake Oswego 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 43 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 80 OF 82 March 2013 Update provide opportunities for retail development, such as village development in Lake Grove or high-end retail and services (e.g., a spa or financial institutions) in Lake View Village. 8. Office development. Kruse Way and Meadow Road provide opportunities for office development and location of businesses that want a prestigious location, such as regional or corporate headquarters. Building vacancies provide opportunities for attracting new businesses to Lake Oswego. 9. Downtown. Lake Oswego's downtown provides small, infill or redevelopment opportunities, as well as mixed-use opportunities with retail on the ground floor and commercial uses on the upper floors. 10. City government. The City government has opportunities to improve the business climate in Lake Oswego. Suggestions included: doing more to coordinate and promote economic development (e.g., assist with parcel assembly to make larger redevelopment project possible); modifying the planning process to make it easier and faster; modifying the zoning code to allow more flexibility with building design, building height (to allow five story buildings), and allow more flexibility with parking requirements. Several interviewees acknowledged that the City has made progress in making the development process easier but they felt it could be further improved. 11. Infill and redevelopment. The opportunities for employment growth in Lake Oswego are primarily through increasing densities through infill and redevelopment. There is little vacant land available for development but there is demand for commercial and retail growth in Lake Oswego. 12. Potential UGB expansion. If Metro expands the UGB and Lake Oswego expands into the Stafford basin, this would provide opportunities for light industrial and flexible commercial space. Additional land for employment uses would increase economic activity in Lake Oswego. Most interviewees said that they do not expect the City to expand into the Stafford basin in the foreseeable future. 13. Urban renewal. The urban renewal district in Downtown has made funding infrastructure improvements possible. Some interviewees suggested that the City should expand the urban renewal district to other areas that need improvements, such as the Foothills area. Barriers to economic development in Lake Oswego Interviewees identified the following barriers to doing business in Lake Oswego: 1. Land. The availability of land in Lake Oswego was the most commonly mentioned barrier to economic development. The barriers included: availability of vacant land, availability of sites over a few acres, and cost of land. The lack of light industrial land with highway access or flex space is a problem because the City has so little industrial land. 2. Infill and redevelopment. Infill and redevelopment, especially of sites larger than an acre, is difficult. This is especially true in Downtown, where parcel assembly of sites is very difficult because of the highly fragmented pattern of ownership. In addition, the City's policies make it difficult to change existing uses through rezoning. 3. Parking. High land costs make providing parking costly, especially for structured or underground parking. The need for parking, both because of the lack of transportation alternatives and City policies, make it difficult to increase densities in areas with office 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 44 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 81 OF 82 March 2013 Update buildings. In addition, the lack of parking in Downtown makes retail uses more difficult, especially for small retailers that cannot afford to build parking structures. The City could address this issue by building public parking structures. 4. Providing infrastructure. The cost of providing new infrastructure and funding maintenance of existing infrastructure is a barrier to economic development. The lack of needed infrastructure or maintenance is a barrier to economic development. 5. Downtown. The distance from Downtown to 1-5 and the capacity of Highway 43 and local roads are a barrier to development in Downtown. The distance from 1-5 will prevent Downtown from providing regional retail or services. In addition, increasing densities in Downtown substantially may create capacity issues on the street system, especially if people come from outside of Lake Oswego for retail and services. 6. Affordable housing. The lack of affordable housing, especially workforce housing, is a barrier to businesses with lower paid employees. These employees generally cannot afford to live in Lake Oswego and must commute from other communities. 7. Community attitudes. Community attitudes about development are a barrier to development, especially development near established neighborhoods. In addition, community concerns about development often make the development process slower. 8. City government. The complexity and speed of the planning process is a barrier to economic development. Interviewees identified the following barriers to economic development in City policies: ■ The City's design review process is inflexible and difficult. ■ The City's sign regulations are highly restrictive and do not allow retail businesses enough latitude to advertise their business. ■ The City's zoning ordinance prevents increases in density in some instances, with height limitations and parking requirements. The high cost of land combined with zoning restrictions may make some projects unviable, including some that the City might find desirable. For example, developers cannot build over four stories tall and must provide a certain amount of parking. The cost of the land, parking, and construction may make the project financially unviable. The same project might be financially viable if the building could be one or two stories tall. 03/18/13 Exhibit 5/Page 45 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT A/PAGE 82 OF 82 80th OREGON LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY--2019 Regular Session Enrolled House Bill 2003 Sponsored by Representative KOTEK; Representatives FAHEY, KENY-GUYER, WILDE CHAPTER AN ACT Relating to buildings; creating new provisions; amending ORS 197.296, 197.299, 197.303, 197.319, 197.320, 215.416, 215.441, 227.175, 227.500 and 455.062 and section 1, chapter 47, Oregon Laws 2018, and section 3, chapter 97, Oregon Laws 2019 (Enrolled Senate Bill 39); and declaring an emergency. Be It Enacted by the People of the State of Oregon: SECTION 1. (1) As used in this section: (a) "Area median income" means the median income for households established by the United States Department of Housing and Urban Development. (b) "Existing housing stock" means housing, by affordability level and type, actually constructed in a city or Metro. (c) "High income" means above 120 percent of the area median income. (d) "Housing shortage" means the difference between the estimated housing units of different affordability levels and housing types needed to accommodate the existing popu- lation and the existing housing stock, measured in dwelling units. (e) "Low income" means income above 50 percent and at or below 80 percent of the area median income. (f) "Metro" means a metropolitan service district organized under ORS chapter 268. (g) "Moderate income" means income above 80 percent and at or below 120 percent of the area median income. (h) "Region" has the meaning given that term in ORS 284.752. (i) "Very low income" means income at or below 50 percent of the area median income. (2) The Housing and Community Services Department, in coordination with the Depart- ment of Land Conservation and Development and the Oregon Department of Administrative Services, shall develop a methodology for calculating: (a) A regional housing needs analysis that identifies the total number of housing units necessary to accommodate anticipated populations in a region over the next 20 years based on: (A) Trends in density and in the average mix of housing types of urban residential de- velopment; (B) Demographic and population trends; (C) Economic trends and cycles; and (D) Equitable distribution of publicly supported housing within a region. (b) An estimate of existing housing stock of each city and Metro. (c) A housing shortage analysis for each city and Metro. Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 1 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 1 OF 25 (d) An estimate of the number of housing units necessary to accommodate anticipated population growth over the next 20 years for each city and Metro. (3) The methodologies for calculating the regional housing needs analysis, the estimate of existing housing stock, the housing shortage analysis and the estimate of housing neces- sary to accommodate growth that are developed under subsection (2) of this section must classify housing by: (a) Housing type, including attached and detached single-family housing, multifamily housing and manufactured dwellings or mobile homes; and (b) Affordability, by housing that is affordable to households with: (A) Very low income; (B) Low income; (C) Moderate income; or (D) High income. (4) No later than September 1, 2020, the Housing and Community Services Department, in coordination with the Department of Land Conservation and Development and the Oregon Department of Administrative Services, shall conduct for each region a regional housing needs analysis and, for each city and Metro, shall estimate existing housing stock, conduct a housing shortage analysis and estimate the housing necessary to accommodate growth. (5) In developing the methodologies and conducting the analyses under this section, the Housing and Community Services Department may: (a) Consult or contract with subject matter experts, cities and Metro, regional solutions centers described in ORS 284.754 (2) and other jurisdictions that have created or conducted regional housing needs analyses. (b) Consider the most recent consolidated population forecast produced by the Portland State University Population Research Center in making any relevant calculation or forecast. (c) Consider any other relevant existing analyses, data and other information collected or produced by state agencies or public entities. (d) Make changes to the regional boundaries in order to make regions more accurately align with shared employment, transportation or housing market dynamics. SECTION 2. (1) No later than March 1, 2021, the Housing and Community Services De- partment, in consultation with the Department of Land Conservation and Development and the Oregon Department of Administrative Services, shall submit a report, in the manner provided in ORS 192.245 to an appropriate committee of the Legislative Assembly, that summarizes the findings of the regional housing needs analysis, estimate of housing stock, housing shortage analysis and estimate of housing necessary to accommodate growth con- ducted under section 1 (4) of this 2019 Act. (2) No later than March 1, 2021, the Department of Land Conservation and Development, in consultation with the Oregon Department of Administrative Services and the Housing and Community Services Department, shall submit a report, in the manner provided in ORS 192.245, to an appropriate committee of the Legislative Assembly that evaluates: (a) Whether a regional housing needs analysis and housing shortage analysis described in section 1 of this 2019 Act could appropriately allocate among the cities or local govern- ments in a region the housing shortage described; (b) How a regional housing needs analysis and housing shortage analysis may compare to existing assessments of housing need and capacity conducted by local governments under ORS 197.296 (3) and (10) in terms of: (A) Cost and cost effectiveness; (B) Reliability and accuracy; (C) Repeatability; and (D) Predictability; Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 2 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 2 OF 25 (c) How a regional housing needs analysis and housing shortage analysis may relate to statewide planning goals related to housing and any rules and policies adopted pursuant to these goals and ORS 197.295 to 197.314; (d) Whether different boundaries would be more appropriate for defining regions within the regional housing needs analysis based on: (A) Relevance of data in appropriately defining a commuting, employment or housing market; or (B) Ease or cost of collecting or analyzing data; (e) Other ways in which the regional housing needs analysis or housing shortage analysis could be improved; and (f) Whether the regional housing needs analysis, or an improved version, could serve as an acceptable methodology statewide for land use planning relating to housing. (3) In preparing the report required under subsection (2) of this section, the Department of Land Conservation and Development may consult or contract with other state agencies, subject matter experts, private firms, local governments, regional solutions centers de- scribed in ORS 284.754 (2) and other jurisdictions that have created or conducted regional housing needs analyses. SECTION 3. Sections 4 to 6 of this 2019 Act are added to and made a part of ORS 197.295 to 197.314. SECTION 4. (1) A city with a population greater than 10,000 shall develop and adopt a housing production strategy under this section no later than one year after: (a) The city's deadline for completing a housing capacity analysis under ORS 197.296 (2)(a); (b) The city's deadline for completing a housing capacity analysis under ORS 197.296 (10)(b); or (c) A date scheduled by the Land Conservation and Development Commission following the allocation of housing capacity to the city by a metropolitan service district under ORS 197.299 (2)(d). (2) A housing production strategy must include a list of specific actions, including the adoption of measures and policies, that the city shall undertake to promote development within the city to address a housing need identified under ORS 197.296 (6) for the most recent 20-year period described in ORS 197.296 (2)(b). Actions under this subsection may include: (a) The reduction of financial and regulatory impediments to developing needed housing, including removing or easing approval standards or procedures for needed housing at higher densities or that is affordable; (b) The creation of financial and regulatory incentives for development of needed hous- ing, including creating incentives for needed housing at higher densities or that is affordable; and (c) The development of a plan to access resources available at local, regional, state and national levels to increase the availability and affordability of needed housing. (3) In creating a housing production strategy, a city shall review and consider: (a) Socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of households living in existing needed housing; (b) Market conditions affecting the provision of needed housing; (c) Measures already adopted by the city to promote the development of needed housing; (d) Existing and expected barriers to the development of needed housing; and (e) For each action the city includes in its housing production strategy: (A) The schedule for its adoption; (B) The schedule for its implementation; (C) Its expected magnitude of impact on the development of needed housing; and (D) The time frame over which it is expected to impact needed housing. Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 3 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 3 OF 25 (4) The housing production strategy must include within its index a copy of the city's most recently completed survey under section 1 (2), chapter 47, Oregon Laws 2018. (5) The adoption of a housing production strategy is not a land use decision and is not subject to appeal or review except as provided in section 5 of this 2019 Act. SECTION 5. (1) No later than 20 days after a city's adoption or amendment of a housing production strategy under section 4 of this 2019 Act, a city shall submit the adopted strategy or amended strategy to the Department of Land Conservation and Development. (2) The submission under subsection (1) of this section must include copies of: (a) The signed decision adopting the housing production strategy or amended strategy; (b) The text of the housing production strategy clearly indicating any amendments to the most recent strategy submitted under this section; (c) A brief narrative summary of the housing production strategy; and (d) The information reviewed and considered under section 6 (2) of this 2019 Act. (3) On the same day the city submits notice of the housing production strategy or amended strategy, the city shall provide a notice to persons that participated in the pro- ceedings that led to the adoption of the strategy and requested notice in writing. (4) Within 10 days of receipt of the submission under subsection (1) of this section, the department shall provide notice to persons described under ORS 197.615 (3). (5) The notices given under subsections (3) and (4) of this section must state: (a) How and where materials described in subsection (2) of this section may be freely obtained; (b) That comments on the strategy may be submitted to the department within 45 days after the department has received the submission; and (c) That there is no further right of appeal. (6) Based upon criteria adopted by the Land Conservation and Development Commission, including any criteria adopted under section 6 (2) of this 2019 Act, the department shall, within 120 days after receiving the submission under subsection (1) of this section: (a) Approve the housing production strategy; (b) Approve the housing production strategy, subject to further review and actions under section 6 (2) of this 2019 Act; or (c) Remand the housing production strategy for further modification as identified by the department. (7) A determination by the department under subsection (6) of this section is not a land use decision and is final and not subject to appeal. SECTION 6. (1) The Land Conservation and Development Commission, in consultation with the Housing and Community Services Department, shall adopt criteria for reviewing and identifying cities with a population greater than 10,000 that have not sufficiently: (a) Achieved production of needed housing within their jurisdiction; or (b) Implemented a housing production strategy adopted under section 4 of this 2019 Act. (2) The criteria adopted by the commission under subsection (1) of this section may in- clude the city's: (a) Unmet housing need as described in ORS 197.296 (6); (b) Unmet housing need in proportion to the city's population; (c) Percentage of households identified as severely rent burdened as described in section 1, chapter 47, Oregon Laws 2018; (d) Recent housing development; (e) Recent adoption of a housing production strategy under section 4 of this 2019 Act or adoption of actions pursuant to a housing production strategy; (f) Recent or frequent previous identification by the Department of Land Conservation and Development under this section; or (g) Other attributes that the commission considers relevant. Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 4 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 4 OF 25 (3) The Department of Land Conservation and Development may review cities under the criteria adopted under subsection (2) of this section for the purposes of prioritizing actions by the department, including: (a) Awarding available technical or financial resources; (b) Providing enhanced review and oversight of the city's housing production strategy; (c) Requiring a report and explanation if a city does not implement an action within the approximate time frame scheduled within a housing production strategy; (d) Entering into agreements with the city relating to the city's modification or imple- mentation of its housing production strategy; or (e) Petitioning the commission to act under ORS 197.319 to 197.335 to require the city to comply with ORS 197.295 to 197.314 or statewide land use planning goals related to housing or urbanization. SECTION 7. No later than December 31, 2019, the Land Conservation and Development Commission shall adopt a schedule by which metropolitan service districts and cities de- scribed in ORS 197.296 (2)(a)(B) and (10)(c)(B) shall demonstrate sufficient buildable lands. Dates in the schedule may not be earlier than two years following the commission's creation of rules implementing sections 4 to 6 of this 2019 Act and the amendments to ORS 197.296 and 197.299 by sections 8 and 9 of this 2019 Act. SECTION 8. ORS 197.296 is amended to read: 197.296. (1)(a) The provisions of subsections (2) to (9) of this section apply to metropolitan ser- vice district regional framework plans and local government comprehensive plans for lands within the urban growth boundary of a city that is located outside of a metropolitan service district and has a population of 25,000 or more. (b) The Land Conservation and Development Commission may establish a set of factors under which additional cities are subject to the provisions of this section. In establishing the set of factors required under this paragraph, the commission shall consider the size of the city, the rate of popu- lation growth of the city or the proximity of the city to another city with a population of 25,000 or more or to a metropolitan service district. (2)(a) [At periodic review pursuant to ORS 197.628 to 197.651 or at any other legislative review of the comprehensive plan or regional framework plan that concerns the urban growth boundary and requires the application of a statewide planning goal relating to buildable lands for residential use,] A local government shall demonstrate that its comprehensive plan or regional framework plan pro- vides sufficient buildable lands within the urban growth boundary established pursuant to statewide planning goals to accommodate estimated housing needs for 20 years: (A) At periodic review under ORS 197.628 to 197.651; (B) As scheduled by the commission: (i) At least once each eight years for local governments that are not within a metropol- itan service district; or (ii) At least once each six years for a metropolitan service district; or (C) At any other legislative review of the comprehensive plan or regional framework plan that concerns the urban growth boundary and requires the application of a statewide plan- ning goal relating to buildable lands for residential use. (b) The 20-year period shall commence on the date initially scheduled for completion of the [periodic or legislative] review under paragraph (a) of this subsection. (3) In performing the duties under subsection (2) of this section, a local government shall: (a) Inventory the supply of buildable lands within the urban growth boundary and determine the housing capacity of the buildable lands; and (b) Conduct an analysis of housing need by type and density range, in accordance with ORS 197.303 and statewide planning goals and rules relating to housing, to determine the number of units and amount of land needed for each needed housing type for the next 20 years. (4)(a) For the purpose of the inventory described in subsection (3)(a) of this section, "buildable lands" includes: Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 5 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 5 OF 25 (A) Vacant lands planned or zoned for residential use; (B) Partially vacant lands planned or zoned for residential use; (C) Lands that may be used for a mix of residential and employment uses under the existing planning or zoning; and (D) Lands that may be used for residential infill or redevelopment. (b) For the purpose of the inventory and determination of housing capacity described in sub- section (3)(a) of this section, the local government must demonstrate consideration of: (A) The extent that residential development is prohibited or restricted by local regulation and ordinance, state law and rule or federal statute and regulation; (B) A written long term contract or easement for radio, telecommunications or electrical facili- ties, if the written contract or easement is provided to the local government; and (C) The presence of a single family dwelling or other structure on a lot or parcel. (c) Except for land that may be used for residential infill or redevelopment, a local government shall create a map or document that may be used to verify and identify specific lots or parcels that have been determined to be buildable lands. (5)(a) Except as provided in paragraphs (b) and (c) of this subsection, the determination of housing capacity and need pursuant to subsection (3) of this section must be based on data relating to land within the urban growth boundary that has been collected since the last [periodic] review [or] under subsection (2)(a)(B) of this section [five years, whichever is greater]. The data shall include: (A) The number, density and average mix of housing types of urban residential development that have actually occurred; (B) Trends in density and average mix of housing types of urban residential development; (C) Demographic and population trends; (D) Economic trends and cycles; and (E) The number, density and average mix of housing types that have occurred on the buildable lands described in subsection (4)(a) of this section. (b) A local government shall make the determination described in paragraph (a) of this sub- section using a shorter time period than the time period described in paragraph (a) of this sub- section if the local government finds that the shorter time period will provide more accurate and reliable data related to housing capacity and need. The shorter time period may not be less than three years. (c) A local government shall use data from a wider geographic area or use a time period for economic cycles and trends longer than the time period described in paragraph (a) of this subsection if the analysis of a wider geographic area or the use of a longer time period will provide more ac- curate, complete and reliable data relating to trends affecting housing need than an analysis per- formed pursuant to paragraph (a) of this subsection. The local government must clearly describe the geographic area, time frame and source of data used in a determination performed under this para- graph. (6) If the housing need determined pursuant to subsection (3)(b) of this section is greater than the housing capacity determined pursuant to subsection (3)(a) of this section, the local government shall take one or more of the following actions to accommodate the additional housing need: (a) Amend its urban growth boundary to include sufficient buildable lands to accommodate housing needs for the next 20 years. As part of this process, the local government shall consider the effects of measures taken pursuant to paragraph (b) of this subsection. The amendment shall include sufficient land reasonably necessary to accommodate the siting of new public school facilities. The need and inclusion of lands for new public school facilities shall be a coordinated process between the affected public school districts and the local government that has the authority to approve the urban growth boundary; (b) Amend its comprehensive plan, regional framework plan, functional plan or land use regu- lations to include new measures that demonstrably increase the likelihood that residential develop- ment will occur at densities sufficient to accommodate housing needs for the next 20 years without Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 6 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 6 OF 25 expansion of the urban growth boundary. A local government or metropolitan service district that takes this action shall monitor and record the level of development activity and development density by housing type following the date of the adoption of the new measures; or (c) Adopt a combination of the actions described in paragraphs (a) and (b) of this subsection. (7) Using the analysis conducted under subsection (3)(b) of this section, the local government shall determine the overall average density and overall mix of housing types at which residential development of needed housing types must occur in order to meet housing needs over the next 20 years. If that density is greater than the actual density of development determined under subsection (5)(a)(A) of this section, or if that mix is different from the actual mix of housing types determined under subsection (5)(a)(A) of this section, the local government, as part of its periodic review, shall adopt measures that demonstrably increase the likelihood that residential development will occur at the housing types and density and at the mix of housing types required to meet housing needs over the next 20 years. (8)(a) A local government outside a metropolitan service district that takes any actions under subsection (6) or (7) of this section shall demonstrate that the comprehensive plan and land use regulations comply with goals and rules adopted by the commission and implement ORS 197.295 to 197.314. (b) The local government shall determine the density and mix of housing types anticipated as a result of actions taken under subsections (6) and (7) of this section and monitor and record the ac- tual density and mix of housing types achieved. The local government shall compare actual and anticipated density and mix. The local government shall submit its comparison to the commission at the next [periodic review or at the next legislative] review of its urban growth boundary[, which- ever comes first] under subsection (2)(a) of this section. (9) In establishing that actions and measures adopted under subsections (6) and (7) of this sec- tion demonstrably increase the likelihood of higher density residential development, the local gov- ernment shall at a minimum ensure that land zoned for needed housing is in locations appropriate for the housing types identified under subsection (3) of this section and is zoned at density ranges that are likely to be achieved by the housing market using the analysis in subsection (3) of this section. Actions or measures, or both, may include but are not limited to: (a) Increases in the permitted density on existing residential land; (b) Financial incentives for higher density housing; (c) Provisions permitting additional density beyond that generally allowed in the zoning district in exchange for amenities and features provided by the developer; (d) Removal or easing of approval standards or procedures; (e) Minimum density ranges; (f) Redevelopment and infill strategies; (g) Authorization of housing types not previously allowed by the plan or regulations; (h) Adoption of an average residential density standard; and (i) Rezoning or redesignation of nonresidential land. (10)(a) The provisions of this subsection apply to local government comprehensive plans for lands within the urban growth boundary of a city that is located outside of a metropolitan service district and has a population of less than 25,000. (b) [At periodic review pursuant to ORS 197.628 to 197.651 or at any other legislative review of the comprehensive plan that requires the application of a statewide planning goal relating to buildable lands for residential use,] As required under paragraph (c) of this subsection, a city shall, ac- cording to rules of the commission: (A) Determine the estimated housing needs within the jurisdiction for the next 20 years; (B) Inventory the supply of buildable lands available within the urban growth boundary to ac- commodate the estimated housing needs determined under this subsection; and (C) Adopt measures necessary to accommodate the estimated housing needs determined under this subsection. (c) The actions required under paragraph (b) of this subsection shall be undertaken: Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 7 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 7 OF 25 (A) At periodic review pursuant to ORS 197.628 to 197.651; (B) On a schedule established by the commission for cities with a population greater than 10,000, not to exceed once each eight years; or (C) At any other legislative review of the comprehensive plan that requires the applica- tion of a statewide planning goal relating to buildable lands for residential use. [(c)] (d) For the purpose of the inventory described in this subsection, "buildable lands" includes those lands described in subsection (4)(a) of this section. SECTION 8a. If House Bill 2001 becomes law, section 8 of this 2019 Act (amending ORS 197.296) is repealed and ORS 197.296, as amended by section 5, chapter Oregon Laws 2019 (Enrolled House Bill 2001), is amended to read: 197.296. (1)(a) The provisions of subsections (2) to (9) of this section apply to metropolitan ser- vice district regional framework plans and local government comprehensive plans for lands within the urban growth boundary of a city that is located outside of a metropolitan service district and has a population of 25,000 or more. (b) The Land Conservation and Development Commission may establish a set of factors under which additional cities are subject to the provisions of this section. In establishing the set of factors required under this paragraph, the commission shall consider the size of the city, the rate of popu- lation growth of the city or the proximity of the city to another city with a population of 25,000 or more or to a metropolitan service district. (2)(a) [At periodic review pursuant to ORS 197.628 to 197.651 or at any other legislative review of the comprehensive plan or regional framework plan that concerns the urban growth boundary and requires the application of a statewide planning goal relating to buildable lands for residential use,] A local government shall demonstrate that its comprehensive plan or regional framework plan pro- vides sufficient buildable lands within the urban growth boundary established pursuant to statewide planning goals to accommodate estimated housing needs for 20 years: (A) At periodic review under ORS 197.628 to 197.651; (B) As scheduled by the commission: (i) At least once each eight years for local governments that are not within a metropol- itan service district; or (ii) At least once each six years for a metropolitan service district; or (C) At any other legislative review of the comprehensive plan or regional framework plan that concerns the urban growth boundary and requires the application of a statewide plan- ning goal relating to buildable lands for residential use. (b) The 20-year period shall commence on the date initially scheduled for completion of the [periodic or legislative] review under paragraph (a) of this subsection. (3) In performing the duties under subsection (2) of this section, a local government shall: (a) Inventory the supply of buildable lands within the urban growth boundary and determine the housing capacity of the buildable lands; and (b) Conduct an analysis of existing and projected housing need by type and density range, in accordance with all factors under ORS 197.303 and statewide planning goals and rules relating to housing, to determine the number of units and amount of land needed for each needed housing type for the next 20 years. (4)(a) For the purpose of the inventory described in subsection (3)(a) of this section, "buildable lands" includes: (A) Vacant lands planned or zoned for residential use; (B) Partially vacant lands planned or zoned for residential use; (C) Lands that may be used for a mix of residential and employment uses under the existing planning or zoning; and (D) Lands that may be used for residential infill or redevelopment. (b) For the purpose of the inventory and determination of housing capacity described in sub- section (3)(a) of this section, the local government must demonstrate consideration of: Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 8 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 8 OF 25 (A) The extent that residential development is prohibited or restricted by local regulation and ordinance, state law and rule or federal statute and regulation; (B) A written long term contract or easement for radio, telecommunications or electrical facili- ties, if the written contract or easement is provided to the local government; and (C) The presence of a single family dwelling or other structure on a lot or parcel. (c) Except for land that may be used for residential infill or redevelopment, a local government shall create a map or document that may be used to verify and identify specific lots or parcels that have been determined to be buildable lands. (5)(a) Except as provided in paragraphs (b) and (c) of this subsection, the determination of housing capacity pursuant to subsection (3)(a) of this section must be based on data relating to land within the urban growth boundary that has been collected since the last review [or six years, whichever is greater] under subsection (2)(a)(B) of this section. The data shall include: (A) The number, density and average mix of housing types of urban residential development that have actually occurred; (B) Trends in density and average mix of housing types of urban residential development; (C) Market factors that may substantially impact future urban residential development; and (D) The number, density and average mix of housing types that have occurred on the buildable lands described in subsection (4)(a) of this section. (b) A local government shall make the determination described in paragraph (a) of this sub- section using a shorter time period than the time period described in paragraph (a) of this sub- section if the local government finds that the shorter time period will provide more accurate and reliable data related to housing capacity. The shorter time period may not be less than three years. (c) A local government shall use data from a wider geographic area or use a time period longer than the time period described in paragraph (a) of this subsection if the analysis of a wider ge- ographic area or the use of a longer time period will provide more accurate, complete and reliable data relating to trends affecting housing need than an analysis performed pursuant to paragraph (a) of this subsection. The local government must clearly describe the geographic area, time frame and source of data used in a determination performed under this paragraph. (6) If the housing need determined pursuant to subsection (3)(b) of this section is greater than the housing capacity determined pursuant to subsection (3)(a) of this section, the local government shall take one or both of the following actions to accommodate the additional housing need: (a) Amend its urban growth boundary to include sufficient buildable lands to accommodate housing needs for the next 20 years. As part of this process, the local government shall consider the effects of measures taken pursuant to paragraph (b) of this subsection. The amendment shall include sufficient land reasonably necessary to accommodate the siting of new public school facilities. The need and inclusion of lands for new public school facilities shall be a coordinated process between the affected public school districts and the local government that has the authority to approve the urban growth boundary. (b) Amend its comprehensive plan, regional framework plan, functional plan or land use regu- lations to include new measures that demonstrably increase the likelihood that residential develop- ment will occur at densities sufficient to accommodate housing needs for the next 20 years without expansion of the urban growth boundary. A local government or metropolitan service district that takes this action shall adopt findings regarding the density expectations assumed to result from measures adopted under this paragraph based upon the factors listed in ORS 197.303 (2) and data in subsection (5)(a) of this section. The density expectations may not project an increase in resi- dential capacity above achieved density by more than three percent without quantifiable validation of such departures. For a local government located outside of a metropolitan service district, a quantifiable validation must demonstrate that the assumed housing capacity has been achieved in areas that are zoned to allow no greater than the same authorized density level within the local jurisdiction or a jurisdiction in the same region. For a metropolitan service district, a quantifiable validation must demonstrate that the assumed housing capacity has been achieved in areas that are Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 9 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 9 OF 25 zoned to allow no greater than the same authorized density level within the metropolitan service district. (c) As used in this subsection, "authorized density level" has the meaning given that term in ORS 227.175. (7) Using the housing need analysis conducted under subsection (3)(b) of this section, the local government shall determine the overall average density and overall mix of housing types at which residential development of needed housing types must occur in order to meet housing needs over the next 20 years. If that density is greater than the actual density of development determined under subsection (5)(a)(A) of this section, or if that mix is different from the actual mix of housing types determined under subsection (5)(a)(A) of this section, the local government, as part of its periodic review, shall adopt measures that demonstrably increase the likelihood that residential development will occur at the housing types and density and at the mix of housing types required to meet housing needs over the next 20 years. (8)(a) A local government outside a metropolitan service district that takes any actions under subsection (6) or (7) of this section shall demonstrate that the comprehensive plan and land use regulations comply with goals and rules adopted by the commission and implement ORS 197.295 to 197.314. (b) A local government shall determine the density and mix of housing types anticipated as a result of actions taken under subsections (6) and (7) of this section and monitor and record the ac- tual density and mix of housing types achieved following the adoption of these actions. The local government shall compare actual and anticipated density and mix. The local government shall sub- mit its comparison to the commission at the next [periodic review or at the next legislative] review of its urban growth boundary[, whichever comes first] under subsection (2)(a) of this section. (9) In establishing that actions and measures adopted under subsections (6) and (7) of this sec- tion demonstrably increase the likelihood of higher density residential development, the local gov- ernment shall at a minimum ensure that land zoned for needed housing is in locations appropriate for the housing types identified under subsection (3) of this section, is zoned at density ranges that are likely to be achieved by the housing market using the analysis in subsection (3) of this section and is in areas where sufficient urban services are planned to enable the higher density development to occur over the 20-year period. Actions or measures, or both, may include but are not limited to: (a) Increases in the permitted density on existing residential land; (b) Financial incentives for higher density housing; (c) Provisions permitting additional density beyond that generally allowed in the zoning district in exchange for amenities and features provided by the developer; (d) Removal or easing of approval standards or procedures; (e) Minimum density ranges; (f) Redevelopment and infill strategies; (g) Authorization of housing types not previously allowed by the plan or regulations; (h) Adoption of an average residential density standard; and (i) Rezoning or redesignation of nonresidential land. (10)(a) The provisions of this subsection apply to local government comprehensive plans for lands within the urban growth boundary of a city that is located outside of a metropolitan service district and has a population of less than 25,000. (b) [At periodic review pursuant to ORS 197.628 to 197.651 or at any other legislative review of the comprehensive plan that requires the application of a statewide planning goal relating to buildable lands for residential use,] As required under paragraph (c) of this subsection, a city shall, ac- cording to rules of the commission: (A) Determine the estimated housing needs within the jurisdiction for the next 20 years; (B) Inventory the supply of buildable lands available within the urban growth boundary to ac- commodate the estimated housing needs determined under this subsection; and (C) Adopt measures necessary to accommodate the estimated housing needs determined under this subsection. Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 10 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 10 OF 25 (c) The actions required under paragraph (b) of this subsection shall be undertaken: (A) At periodic review pursuant to ORS 197.628 to 197.651; (B) On a schedule established by the commission for cities with a population greater than 10,000, not to exceed once each eight years; or (C) At any other legislative review of the comprehensive plan that requires the applica- tion of a statewide planning goal relating to buildable lands for residential use. [(c)] (d) For the purpose of the inventory described in this subsection, "buildable lands" includes those lands described in subsection (4)(a) of this section. SECTION 9. ORS 197.299 is amended to read: 197.299. (1) A metropolitan service district organized under ORS chapter 268 shall complete the inventory, determination and analysis required under ORS 197.296 (3) not later than six years after completion of the previous inventory, determination and analysis. (2)(a) The metropolitan service district shall take such action as necessary under ORS 197.296 (6)(a) to accommodate one-half of a 20-year buildable land supply determined under ORS 197.296 (3) within one year of completing the analysis. (b) The metropolitan service district shall take all final action under ORS 197.296 (6)(a) neces- sary to accommodate a 20-year buildable land supply determined under ORS 197.296 (3) within two years of completing the analysis. (c) The metropolitan service district shall take action under ORS 197.296 (6)(b), within one year after the analysis required under ORS 197.296 (3)(b) is completed, to provide sufficient buildable land within the urban growth boundary to accommodate the estimated housing needs for 20 years from the time the actions are completed. (d) The metropolitan service district shall consider and adopt new measures that the governing body deems appropriate under ORS 197.296 (6)(b) and shall allocate any housing capacity that is not accommodated under this section to be accommodated by the application of ORS 197.296 (6)(b) by cities within the metropolitan service district with a population greater than 10,000. (e) Cities to which housing capacity is allocated under paragraph (d) of this subsection shall take steps, at least once every six years as scheduled by the Land Conservation and Development Commission, to demonstrably increase the likelihood that residential develop- ment will occur at densities sufficient to accommodate housing needs for the next 20 years as required by ORS 197.296 (6)(b). (3) The [Land Conservation and Development] commission may grant an extension to the time limits of subsection (2) of this section if the Director of the Department of Land Conservation and Development determines that the metropolitan service district has provided good cause for failing to meet the time limits. (4)(a) The metropolitan service district shall establish a process to expand the urban growth boundary to accommodate a need for land for a public school that cannot reasonably be accommo- dated within the existing urban growth boundary. The metropolitan service district shall design the process to: (A) Accommodate a need that must be accommodated between periodic analyses of urban growth boundary capacity required by subsection (1) of this section; and (B) Provide for a final decision on a proposal to expand the urban growth boundary within four months after submission of a complete application by a large school district as defined in ORS 195.110. (b) At the request of a large school district, the metropolitan service district shall assist the large school district to identify school sites required by the school facility planning process de- scribed in ORS 195.110. A need for a public school is a specific type of identified land need under ORS 197.298 (3). (5) Three years after completing its most recent demonstration of sufficient buildable lands un- der ORS 197.296, a metropolitan service district may, on a single occasion, revise the determination Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 11 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 11 OF 25 and analysis required as part of the demonstration for the purpose of considering an amendment to the metropolitan service district's urban growth boundary, provided: (a) The metropolitan service district has entered into an intergovernmental agreement and has designated rural reserves and urban reserves under ORS 195.141 and 195.145 with each county lo- cated within the district; (b) The commission has acknowledged the rural reserve and urban reserve designations de- scribed in paragraph (a) of this subsection; (c) One or more cities within the metropolitan service district have proposed a development that would require expansion of the urban growth boundary; (d) The city or cities proposing the development have provided evidence to the metropolitan service district that the proposed development would provide additional needed housing to the needed housing included in the most recent determination and analysis; (e) The location chosen for the proposed development is adjacent to the city proposing the de- velopment; and (f) The location chosen for the proposed development is located within an area designated and acknowledged as an urban reserve. (6)(a) If a metropolitan service district, after revising its most recent determination and analysis pursuant to subsection (5) of this section, concludes that an expansion of its urban growth boundary is warranted, the metropolitan service district may take action to expand its urban growth boundary in one or more locations to accommodate the proposed development, provided the urban growth boundary expansion does not exceed a total of 1,000 acres. (b) A metropolitan service district that expands its urban growth boundary under this sub- section: (A) Must adopt the urban growth boundary expansion not more than four years after completing its most recent demonstration of sufficient buildable lands under ORS 197.296; and (B) Is exempt from the boundary location requirements described in the statewide land use planning goals relating to urbanization. SECTION 10. ORS 197.303 is amended to read: 197.303. (1) As used in ORS [197.307] 197.295 to 197.314, "needed housing" means all housing on land zoned for residential use or mixed residential and commercial use that is determined to meet the need shown for housing within an urban growth boundary at price ranges and rent levels that are affordable to households within the county with a variety of incomes, including but not limited to households with low incomes, very low incomes and extremely low incomes, as those terms are defined by the United States Department of Housing and Urban Development under 42 U.S.C. 1437a. "Needed housing" includes the following housing types: (a) Attached and detached single-family housing and multiple family housing for both owner and renter occupancy; (b) Government assisted housing; (c) Mobile home or manufactured dwelling parks as provided in ORS 197.475 to 197.490; (d) Manufactured homes on individual lots planned and zoned for single-family residential use that are in addition to lots within designated manufactured dwelling subdivisions; and (e) Housing for farmworkers. (2) Subsection (1)(a) and (d) of this section does not apply to: (a) A city with a population of less than 2,500. (b) A county with a population of less than 15,000. (3) A local government may take an exception under ORS 197.732 to the definition of "needed housing" in subsection (1) of this section in the same manner that an exception may be taken under the goals. SECTION 10a. If House Bill 2001 becomes law, section 10 of this 2019 Act (amending ORS 197.303) is repealed and ORS 197.303, as amended by section 6, chapter Oregon Laws 2019 (Enrolled House Bill 2001), is amended to read: Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 12 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 12 OF 25 197.303. (1) As used in ORS 197.295 to 197.314, "needed housing" means all housing on land zoned for residential use or mixed residential and commercial use that is determined to meet the need shown for housing within an urban growth boundary at price ranges and rent levels that are affordable to households within the county with a variety of incomes, including but not limited to households with low incomes, very low incomes and extremely low incomes, as those terms are de- fined by the United States Department of Housing and Urban Development under 42 U.S.C. 1437a. "Needed housing" includes the following housing types: (a) Attached and detached single-family housing and multiple family housing for both owner and renter occupancy; (b) Government assisted housing; (c) Mobile home or manufactured dwelling parks as provided in ORS 197.475 to 197.490; (d) Manufactured homes on individual lots planned and zoned for single-family residential use that are in addition to lots within designated manufactured dwelling subdivisions; and (e) Housing for farmworkers. (2) For the purpose of estimating housing needs, as described in ORS 197.296 (3)(b), a local government shall use the population projections prescribed by ORS 195.033 or 195.036 and shall consider and adopt findings related to changes in each of the following factors since the last [peri- odic or legislative review or six years, whichever is greater,] review under ORS 197.296 (2)(a)(B) and the projected future changes in these factors over a 20-year planning period: (a) Household sizes; (b) Household demographics [in terms of age, gender, race or other established demographic cate- gory]; (c) Household incomes; (d) Vacancy rates; and (e) Housing costs. (3) A local government shall make the estimate described in subsection (2) of this section using a shorter time period than since the last [periodic or legislative review or six years, whichever is greater,] review under ORS 197.296 (2)(a)(B) if the local government finds that the shorter time period will provide more accurate and reliable data related to housing need. The shorter time period may not be less than three years. (4) A local government shall use data from a wider geographic area or use a time period longer than the time period described in subsection (2) of this section if the analysis of a wider geographic area or the use of a longer time period will provide more accurate, complete and reliable data re- lating to trends affecting housing need than an analysis performed pursuant to subsection (2) of this section. The local government must clearly describe the geographic area, time frame and source of data used in an estimate performed under this subsection. (5) Subsection (1)(a) and (d) of this section does not apply to: (a) A city with a population of less than 2,500. (b) A county with a population of less than 15,000. (6) A local government may take an exception under ORS 197.732 to the definition of "needed housing" in subsection (1) of this section in the same manner that an exception may be taken under the goals. SECTION 11. ORS 197.319 is amended to read: 197.319. (1) Before a person may request adoption of an enforcement order under ORS 197.320, the person shall: (a) Present the reasons, in writing, for such an order to the affected local government; and (b) Request: (A) Revisions to the local comprehensive plan, land use regulations, special district cooperative or urban service agreement or decision-making process which is the basis for the order; or (B) That an action be taken regarding the local comprehensive plan, land use regulations, spe- cial district agreement, housing production strategy or decision-making process that is the basis for the order. Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 13 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 13 OF 25 (2)(a) The local government or special district shall issue a written response to the request within 60 days of the date the request is mailed to the local government or special district. (b) The requestor and the local government or special district may enter into mediation to re- solve issues in the request. The Department of Land Conservation and Development shall provide mediation services when jointly requested by the local government or special district and the requestor. (c) If the local government or special district does not act in a manner which the requestor believes is adequate to address the issues raised in the request within the time period provided in paragraph (a) of this subsection, a petition may be presented to the Land Conservation and Devel- opment Commission under ORS 197.324. (3) A metropolitan service district may request an enforcement order under ORS 197.320 (12) without first complying with subsections (1) and (2) of this section. SECTION 12. ORS 197.320 is amended to read: 197.320. The Land Conservation and Development Commission shall issue an order requiring a local government, state agency or special district to take action necessary to bring its comprehen- sive plan, land use regulation, limited land use decisions or other land use decisions or actions into compliance with the goals, acknowledged comprehensive plan provisions, [or] land use regulations or housing production strategy if the commission has good cause to believe: (1) A comprehensive plan or land use regulation adopted by a local government not on a com- pliance schedule is not in compliance with the goals by the date set in ORS 197.245 or 197.250 for such compliance; (2) A plan, program, rule or regulation affecting land use adopted by a state agency or special district is not in compliance with the goals by the date set in ORS 197.245 or 197.250 for such compliance; (3) A local government is not making satisfactory progress toward performance of its compliance schedule; (4) A state agency is not making satisfactory progress in carrying out its coordination agree- ment or the requirements of ORS 197.180; (5) A local government has no comprehensive plan or land use regulation and is not on a com- pliance schedule directed to developing the plan or regulation; (6) A local government has engaged in a pattern or practice of decision making that violates an acknowledged comprehensive plan or land use regulation. In making its determination under this subsection, the commission shall determine whether there is evidence in the record to support the decisions made. The commission shall not judge the issue solely upon adequacy of the findings in support of the decisions; (7) A local government has failed to comply with a commission order entered under ORS 197.644; (8) A special district has engaged in a pattern or practice of decision-making that violates an acknowledged comprehensive plan or cooperative agreement adopted pursuant to ORS 197.020; (9) A special district is not making satisfactory progress toward performance of its obligations under ORS chapters 195 and 197; (10) A local government's approval standards, special conditions on approval of specific devel- opment proposals or procedures for approval do not comply with ORS 197.307 (4) or (6); (11) A local government is not making satisfactory progress toward meeting its obligations un- der ORS 195.065; [or] (12) A local government within the jurisdiction of a metropolitan service district has failed to make changes to the comprehensive plan or land use regulations to comply with the regional framework plan of the district or has engaged in a pattern or practice of decision-making that vio- lates a requirement of the regional framework plan[.]; or (13) A city is not making satisfactory progress in taking actions listed in its housing production strategy under section 4 of this 2019 Act. SECTION 13. Section 1, chapter 47, Oregon Laws 2018, is amended to read: Sec. 1. (1) For purposes of this section: Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 14 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 14 OF 25 (a) A household is severely rent burdened if the household spends more than 50 percent of the income of the household on gross rent for housing. (b) A regulated affordable unit is a residential unit subject to a regulatory agreement that runs with the land and that requires affordability for an established income level for a defined period of time. (c) A single-family unit may be rented or owned by a household and includes single-family homes, duplexes, townhomes, row homes and mobile homes. (2)(a) The Housing and Community Services Department shall annually provide to the governing body of each city in this state with a population greater than 10,000 the most current data available from the United States Census Bureau, or any other source the department considers at least as reliable, showing the percentage of renter households in the city that are severely rent burdened. (b) [The Housing and Community Services Department, in collaboration with] The Department of Land Conservation and Development, in consultation with the Housing and Community Services Department, shall develop a survey form on which the governing body of a city may provide spe- cific information related to the affordability of housing within the city, including[, but not limited to:] [(A)] the actions relating to land use and other related matters that the [governing body] city has taken to encourage the development of needed housing, increase the affordability of housing and reduce rent burdens for severely rent burdened households[; and]. [(B) The additional actions the governing body intends to take to reduce rent burdens for severely rent burdened households.] (c) [If the Housing and Community Services Department determines that at least 25 percent of the renter households in a city are severely rent burdened,] The Department of Land Conservation and Development shall provide the governing body of the city with the survey form developed pursuant to paragraph (b) of this subsection. (d) The governing body of the city shall return the completed survey form to the [Housing and Community Services Department and the] Department of Land Conservation and Development [within 60 days of receipt] at least 24 months prior to a deadline for completing a housing production strategy under section 4 of this 2019 Act. (3)(a) In any year in which the governing body of a city is informed under this section that at least 25 percent of the renter households in the city are severely rent burdened, the governing body shall hold at least one public meeting to discuss the causes and consequences of severe rent burdens within the city, the barriers to reducing rent burdens and possible solutions. (b) The Housing and Community Services Department may adopt rules governing the conduct of the public meeting required under this subsection. (4) No later than February 1 of each year, the governing body of each city in this state with a population greater than 10,000 shall submit to the Department of Land Conservation and Develop- ment a report for the immediately preceding calendar year setting forth separately for each of the following categories the total number of units that were permitted and the total number that were produced: (a) Residential units. (b) Regulated affordable residential units. (c) Multifamily residential units. (d) Regulated affordable multifamily residential units. (e) Single-family units. (f) Regulated affordable single-family units. SECTION 14. Section 15 of this 2019 Act is added to and made a part of ORS chapter 197. SECTION 15. (1) As used in this section, "public property" means all real property of the state, counties, cities, incorporated towns or villages, school districts, irrigation districts, drainage districts, ports, water districts, service districts, metropolitan service districts, housing authorities, public universities listed in ORS 352.002 or all other public or municipal corporations in this state. Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 15 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 15 OF 25 (2) Notwithstanding any land use regulation, comprehensive plan, or statewide land use planning goal, a local government may allow the development of housing on public property provided: (a) The real property is not inventoried as a park or open space as a protective measure pursuant to a statewide land use planning goal; (b) The real property is located within the urban growth boundary; (c) The real property is zoned for residential development or adjacent to parcels zoned for residential development; (d) The housing complies with applicable land use regulations and meets the standards and criteria for residential development for the underlying zone of the land or the adjacent residential land described in paragraph (c) of this subsection; (e) At least 50 percent of the residential units provided under this section is affordable to households with incomes equal to or less than 60 percent of the area median income, as defined in ORS 456.270; and (f) The affordability of the residential units described in paragraph (e) of this subsection is subject to an affordable housing covenant, as described in ORS 456.270 to 456.295, held by the local government or the Housing and Community Services Department and with a dura- tion of no less than 60 years. (3) Notwithstanding any statewide land use planning goal, a local government may amend its comprehensive plan and land use regulations to allow public property to be used for the purposes described in subsection (2) of this section. SECTION 16. Notwithstanding ORS 197.646, a local government required to comply with the amendments to ORS 197.312 by section 6, chapter 745, Oregon Laws 2017, shall adopt land use regulations, or adopt amendments to its comprehensive plan, to comply with the amendments to ORS 197.312 by section 6, chapter 745, Oregon Laws 2017, no later than the effective date of this 2019 Act. SECTION 17. ORS 215.416 is amended to read: 215.416. (1) When required or authorized by the ordinances, rules and regulations of a county, an owner of land may apply in writing to such persons as the governing body designates, for a permit, in the manner prescribed by the governing body. The governing body shall establish fees charged for processing permits at an amount no more than the actual or average cost of providing that service. (2) The governing body shall establish a consolidated procedure by which an applicant may ap- ply at one time for all permits or zone changes needed for a development project. The consolidated procedure shall be subject to the time limitations set out in ORS 215.427. The consolidated proce- dure shall be available for use at the option of the applicant no later than the time of the first pe- riodic review of the comprehensive plan and land use regulations. (3) Except as provided in subsection (11) of this section, the hearings officer shall hold at least one public hearing on the application. (4)(a) A county may not approve an application if the proposed use of land is found to be in conflict with the comprehensive plan of the county and other applicable land use regulation or or- dinance provisions. The approval may include such conditions as are authorized by statute or county legislation. (b)(A) A county may not deny an application for a housing development located within the urban growth boundary if the development complies with clear and objective standards, including but not limited to clear and objective design standards contained in the county comprehensive plan or land use regulations. (B) This paragraph does not apply to: (i) Applications or permits for residential development in areas described in ORS 197.307 (5); or (ii) Applications or permits reviewed under an alternative approval process adopted under ORS 197.307 (6). Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 16 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 16 OF 25 (c) A county may not [reduce the density of] condition an application for a housing development on a reduction in density if: (A) The density applied for is at or below the authorized density level under the local land use regulations; and (B) At least 75 percent of the floor area applied for is reserved for housing. (d) A county may not [reduce the height of] condition an application for a housing development on a reduction in height if: (A) The height applied for is at or below the authorized height level under the local land use regulations; (B) At least 75 percent of the floor area applied for is reserved for housing; and (C) Reducing the height has the effect of reducing the authorized density level under local land use regulations. (e) Notwithstanding paragraphs (c) and (d) of this subsection, a county may [reduce the density or height of] condition an application for a housing development on a reduction in density or height only if the reduction is necessary to resolve a health, safety or habitability issue or to comply with a protective measure adopted pursuant to a statewide land use planning goal. Notwithstanding ORS 197.350, the county must adopt findings supported by substantial evi- dence demonstrating the necessity of the reduction. (f) As used in this subsection: (A) "Authorized density level" means the maximum number of lots or dwelling units or the maximum floor area ratio that is permitted under local land use regulations. (B) "Authorized height level" means the maximum height of a structure that is permitted under local land use regulations. (C) "Habitability" means being in compliance with the applicable provisions of the state building code under ORS chapter 455 and the rules adopted thereunder. (5) Hearings under this section shall be held only after notice to the applicant and also notice to other persons as otherwise provided by law and shall otherwise be conducted in conformance with the provisions of ORS 197.763. (6) Notice of a public hearing on an application submitted under this section shall be provided to the owner of an airport defined by the Oregon Department of Aviation as a "public use airport" if: (a) The name and address of the airport owner has been provided by the Oregon Department of Aviation to the county planning authority; and (b) The property subject to the land use hearing is: (A) Within 5,000 feet of the side or end of a runway of an airport determined by the Oregon Department of Aviation to be a "visual airport"; or (B) Within 10,000 feet of the side or end of the runway of an airport determined by the Oregon Department of Aviation to be an "instrument airport." (7) Notwithstanding the provisions of subsection (6) of this section, notice of a land use hearing need not be provided as set forth in subsection (6) of this section if the zoning permit would only allow a structure less than 35 feet in height and the property is located outside the runway "ap- proach surface" as defined by the Oregon Department of Aviation. (8)(a) Approval or denial of a permit application shall be based on standards and criteria which shall be set forth in the zoning ordinance or other appropriate ordinance or regulation of the county and which shall relate approval or denial of a permit application to the zoning ordinance and com- prehensive plan for the area in which the proposed use of land would occur and to the zoning or- dinance and comprehensive plan for the county as a whole. (b) When an ordinance establishing approval standards is required under ORS 197.307 to provide only clear and objective standards, the standards must be clear and objective on the face of the ordinance. (9) Approval or denial of a permit or expedited land division shall be based upon and accompa- nied by a brief statement that explains the criteria and standards considered relevant to the deci- Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 17 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 17 OF 25 sion, states the facts relied upon in rendering the decision and explains the justification for the decision based on the criteria, standards and facts set forth. (10) Written notice of the approval or denial shall be given to all parties to the proceeding. (11)(a)(A) The hearings officer or such other person as the governing body designates may ap- prove or deny an application for a permit without a hearing if the hearings officer or other desig- nated person gives notice of the decision and provides an opportunity for any person who is adversely affected or aggrieved, or who is entitled to notice under paragraph (c) of this subsection, to file an appeal. (B) Written notice of the decision shall be mailed to those persons described in paragraph (c) of this subsection. (C) Notice under this subsection shall comply with ORS 197.763 (3)(a), (c), (g) and (h) and shall describe the nature of the decision. In addition, the notice shall state that any person who is ad- versely affected or aggrieved or who is entitled to written notice under paragraph (c) of this sub- section may appeal the decision by filing a written appeal in the manner and within the time period provided in the county's land use regulations. A county may not establish an appeal period that is less than 12 days from the date the written notice of decision required by this subsection was mailed. The notice shall state that the decision will not become final until the period for filing a local appeal has expired. The notice also shall state that a person who is mailed written notice of the decision cannot appeal the decision directly to the Land Use Board of Appeals under ORS 197.830. (D) An appeal from a hearings officer's decision made without hearing under this subsection shall be to the planning commission or governing body of the county. An appeal from such other person as the governing body designates shall be to a hearings officer, the planning commission or the governing body. In either case, the appeal shall be to a de novo hearing. (E) The de novo hearing required by subparagraph (D) of this paragraph shall be the initial evidentiary hearing required under ORS 197.763 as the basis for an appeal to the Land Use Board of Appeals. At the de novo hearing: (i) The applicant and other parties shall have the same opportunity to present testimony, argu- ments and evidence as they would have had in a hearing under subsection (3) of this section before the decision; (ii) The presentation of testimony, arguments and evidence shall not be limited to issues raised in a notice of appeal; and (iii) The decision maker shall consider all relevant testimony, arguments and evidence that are accepted at the hearing. (b) If a local government provides only a notice of the opportunity to request a hearing, the local government may charge a fee for the initial hearing. The maximum fee for an initial hearing shall be the cost to the local government of preparing for and conducting the appeal, or $250, whichever is less. If an appellant prevails at the hearing or upon subsequent appeal, the fee for the initial hearing shall be refunded. The fee allowed in this paragraph shall not apply to appeals made by neighborhood or community organizations recognized by the governing body and whose bounda- ries include the site. (c)(A) Notice of a decision under paragraph (a) of this subsection shall be provided to the ap- plicant and to the owners of record of property on the most recent property tax assessment roll where such property is located: (i) Within 100 feet of the property that is the subject of the notice when the subject property is wholly or in part within an urban growth boundary; (ii) Within 250 feet of the property that is the subject of the notice when the subject property is outside an urban growth boundary and not within a farm or forest zone; or (iii) Within 750 feet of the property that is the subject of the notice when the subject property is within a farm or forest zone. (B) Notice shall also be provided to any neighborhood or community organization recognized by the governing body and whose boundaries include the site. Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 18 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 18 OF 25 (C) At the discretion of the applicant, the local government also shall provide notice to the Department of Land Conservation and Development. (12) A decision described in ORS 215.402 (4)(b) shall: (a) Be entered in a registry available to the public setting forth: (A) The street address or other easily understood geographic reference to the subject property; (B) The date of the decision; and (C) A description of the decision made. (b) Be subject to the jurisdiction of the Land Use Board of Appeals in the same manner as a limited land use decision. (c) Be subject to the appeal period described in ORS 197.830 (5)(b). (13) At the option of the applicant, the local government shall provide notice of the decision described in ORS 215.402 (4)(b) in the manner required by ORS 197.763 (2), in which case an appeal to the board shall be filed within 21 days of the decision. The notice shall include an explanation of appeal rights. (14) Notwithstanding the requirements of this section, a limited land use decision shall be sub- ject to the requirements set forth in ORS 197.195 and 197.828. SECTION 18. ORS 227.175 is amended to read: 227.175. (1) When required or authorized by a city, an owner of land may apply in writing to the hearings officer, or such other person as the city council designates, for a permit or zone change, upon such forms and in such a manner as the city council prescribes. The governing body shall es- tablish fees charged for processing permits at an amount no more than the actual or average cost of providing that service. (2) The governing body of the city shall establish a consolidated procedure by which an appli- cant may apply at one time for all permits or zone changes needed for a development project. The consolidated procedure shall be subject to the time limitations set out in ORS 227.178. The consol- idated procedure shall be available for use at the option of the applicant no later than the time of the first periodic review of the comprehensive plan and land use regulations. (3) Except as provided in subsection (10) of this section, the hearings officer shall hold at least one public hearing on the application. (4)(a) A city may not approve an application unless the proposed development of land would be in compliance with the comprehensive plan for the city and other applicable land use regulation or ordinance provisions. The approval may include such conditions as are authorized by ORS 227.215 or any city legislation. (b)(A) A city may not deny an application for a housing development located within the urban growth boundary if the development complies with clear and objective standards, including [but not limited to] clear and objective design standards contained in the city comprehensive plan or land use regulations. (B) This paragraph does not apply to: (i) Applications or permits for residential development in areas described in ORS 197.307 (5); or (ii) Applications or permits reviewed under an alternative approval process adopted under ORS 197.307 (6). (c) A city may not [reduce the density of] condition an application for a housing development on a reduction in density if: (A) The density applied for is at or below the authorized density level under the local land use regulations; and (B) At least 75 percent of the floor area applied for is reserved for housing. (d) A city may not [reduce the height of] condition an application for a housing development on a reduction in height if: (A) The height applied for is at or below the authorized height level under the local land use regulations; (B) At least 75 percent of the floor area applied for is reserved for housing; and Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 19 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 19 OF 25 (C) Reducing the height has the effect of reducing the authorized density level under local land use regulations. (e) Notwithstanding paragraphs (c) and (d) of this subsection, a city may [reduce the density or height of] condition an application for a housing development on a reduction in density or height only if the reduction is necessary to resolve a health, safety or habitability issue or to comply with a protective measure adopted pursuant to a statewide land use planning goal. Notwithstanding ORS 197.350, the city must adopt findings supported by substantial evidence demonstrating the necessity of the reduction. (f) As used in this subsection: (A) "Authorized density level" means the maximum number of lots or dwelling units or the maximum floor area ratio that is permitted under local land use regulations. (B) "Authorized height level" means the maximum height of a structure that is permitted under local land use regulations. (C) "Habitability" means being in compliance with the applicable provisions of the state building code under ORS chapter 455 and the rules adopted thereunder. (5) Hearings under this section may be held only after notice to the applicant and other inter- ested persons and shall otherwise be conducted in conformance with the provisions of ORS 197.763. (6) Notice of a public hearing on a zone use application shall be provided to the owner of an airport, defined by the Oregon Department of Aviation as a "public use airport" if: (a) The name and address of the airport owner has been provided by the Oregon Department of Aviation to the city planning authority; and (b) The property subject to the zone use hearing is: (A) Within 5,000 feet of the side or end of a runway of an airport determined by the Oregon Department of Aviation to be a "visual airport"; or (B) Within 10,000 feet of the side or end of the runway of an airport determined by the Oregon Department of Aviation to be an "instrument airport." (7) Notwithstanding the provisions of subsection (6) of this section, notice of a zone use hearing need only be provided as set forth in subsection (6) of this section if the permit or zone change would only allow a structure less than 35 feet in height and the property is located outside of the runway "approach surface" as defined by the Oregon Department of Aviation. (8) If an application would change the zone of property that includes all or part of a mobile home or manufactured dwelling park as defined in ORS 446.003, the governing body shall give written notice by first class mail to each existing mailing address for tenants of the mobile home or manufactured dwelling park at least 20 days but not more than 40 days before the date of the first hearing on the application. The governing body may require an applicant for such a zone change to pay the costs of such notice. (9) The failure of a tenant or an airport owner to receive a notice which was mailed shall not invalidate any zone change. (10)(a)(A) The hearings officer or such other person as the governing body designates may ap- prove or deny an application for a permit without a hearing if the hearings officer or other desig- nated person gives notice of the decision and provides an opportunity for any person who is adversely affected or aggrieved, or who is entitled to notice under paragraph (c) of this subsection, to file an appeal. (B) Written notice of the decision shall be mailed to those persons described in paragraph (c) of this subsection. (C) Notice under this subsection shall comply with ORS 197.763 (3)(a), (c), (g) and (h) and shall describe the nature of the decision. In addition, the notice shall state that any person who is ad- versely affected or aggrieved or who is entitled to written notice under paragraph (c) of this sub- section may appeal the decision by filing a written appeal in the manner and within the time period provided in the city's land use regulations. A city may not establish an appeal period that is less than 12 days from the date the written notice of decision required by this subsection was mailed. The notice shall state that the decision will not become final until the period for filing a local ap- Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 20 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 20 OF 25 peal has expired. The notice also shall state that a person who is mailed written notice of the de- cision cannot appeal the decision directly to the Land Use Board of Appeals under ORS 197.830. (D) An appeal from a hearings officer's decision made without hearing under this subsection shall be to the planning commission or governing body of the city. An appeal from such other person as the governing body designates shall be to a hearings officer, the planning commission or the governing body. In either case, the appeal shall be to a de novo hearing. (E) The de novo hearing required by subparagraph (D) of this paragraph shall be the initial evidentiary hearing required under ORS 197.763 as the basis for an appeal to the Land Use Board of Appeals. At the de novo hearing: (i) The applicant and other parties shall have the same opportunity to present testimony, argu- ments and evidence as they would have had in a hearing under subsection (3) of this section before the decision; (ii) The presentation of testimony, arguments and evidence shall not be limited to issues raised in a notice of appeal; and (iii) The decision maker shall consider all relevant testimony, arguments and evidence that are accepted at the hearing. (b) If a local government provides only a notice of the opportunity to request a hearing, the local government may charge a fee for the initial hearing. The maximum fee for an initial hearing shall be the cost to the local government of preparing for and conducting the appeal, or $250, whichever is less. If an appellant prevails at the hearing or upon subsequent appeal, the fee for the initial hearing shall be refunded. The fee allowed in this paragraph shall not apply to appeals made by neighborhood or community organizations recognized by the governing body and whose bounda- ries include the site. (c)(A) Notice of a decision under paragraph (a) of this subsection shall be provided to the ap- plicant and to the owners of record of property on the most recent property tax assessment roll where such property is located: (i) Within 100 feet of the property that is the subject of the notice when the subject property is wholly or in part within an urban growth boundary; (ii) Within 250 feet of the property that is the subject of the notice when the subject property is outside an urban growth boundary and not within a farm or forest zone; or (iii) Within 750 feet of the property that is the subject of the notice when the subject property is within a farm or forest zone. (B) Notice shall also be provided to any neighborhood or community organization recognized by the governing body and whose boundaries include the site. (C) At the discretion of the applicant, the local government also shall provide notice to the Department of Land Conservation and Development. (11) A decision described in ORS 227.160 (2)(b) shall: (a) Be entered in a registry available to the public setting forth: (A) The street address or other easily understood geographic reference to the subject property; (B) The date of the decision; and (C) A description of the decision made. (b) Be subject to the jurisdiction of the Land Use Board of Appeals in the same manner as a limited land use decision. (c) Be subject to the appeal period described in ORS 197.830 (5)(b). (12) At the option of the applicant, the local government shall provide notice of the decision described in ORS 227.160 (2)(b) in the manner required by ORS 197.763 (2), in which case an appeal to the board shall be filed within 21 days of the decision. The notice shall include an explanation of appeal rights. (13) Notwithstanding other requirements of this section, limited land use decisions shall be subject to the requirements set forth in ORS 197.195 and 197.828. SECTION 19. ORS 215.441 is amended to read: Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 21 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 21 OF 25 215.441. (1) If a church, synagogue, temple, mosque, chapel, meeting house or other nonresiden- tial place of worship is allowed on real property under state law and rules and local zoning ordi- nances and regulations, a county shall allow the reasonable use of the real property for activities customarily associated with the practices of the religious activity, including: (a) Worship services. (b) Religion classes. (c) Weddings. (d) Funerals. (e) Meal programs. (f) Child care, but not including private or parochial school education for prekindergarten through grade 12 or higher education. (g) Providing housing or space for housing in a building or buildings that [is] are detached from the place of worship, provided: (A) At least 50 percent of the residential units provided under this paragraph are affordable to households with incomes equal to or less than 60 percent of the median family income for the county in which the real property is located; (B) The real property is in an area zoned for residential use that is located within the urban growth boundary; and (C) The housing or space for housing complies with applicable land use regulations and meets the standards and criteria for residential development for the underlying zone. (2) A county may: (a) Subject real property described in subsection (1) of this section to reasonable regulations, including site review or design review, concerning the physical characteristics of the uses author- ized under subsection (1) of this section; or (b) Prohibit or restrict the use of real property by a place of worship described in subsection (1) of this section if the county finds that the level of service of public facilities, including trans- portation, water supply, sewer and storm drain systems is not adequate to serve the place of worship described in subsection (1) of this section. (3) Notwithstanding any other provision of this section, a county may allow a private or paro- chial school for prekindergarten through grade 12 or higher education to be sited under applicable state law and rules and local zoning ordinances and regulations. (4) Housing and space for housing provided under subsection (1)(g) of this section must be sub- ject to a covenant appurtenant that restricts the owner and each successive owner of [the] a build- ing or any residential unit contained in [the] a building from selling or renting any residential unit described in subsection (1)(g)(A) of this section as housing that is not affordable to households with incomes equal to or less than 60 percent of the median family income for the county in which the real property is located for a period of 60 years from the date of the certificate of occupancy. SECTION 20. ORS 227.500 is amended to read: 227.500. (1) If a church, synagogue, temple, mosque, chapel, meeting house or other nonresiden- tial place of worship is allowed on real property under state law and rules and local zoning ordi- nances and regulations, a city shall allow the reasonable use of the real property for activities customarily associated with the practices of the religious activity, including: (a) Worship services. (b) Religion classes. (c) Weddings. (d) Funerals. (e) Meal programs. (f) Child care, but not including private or parochial school education for prekindergarten through grade 12 or higher education. (g) Providing housing or space for housing in a building or buildings that [is] are detached from the place of worship, provided: Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 22 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 22 OF 25 (A) At least 50 percent of the residential units provided under this paragraph are affordable to households with incomes equal to or less than 60 percent of the median family income for the county in which the real property is located; (B) The real property is in an area zoned for residential use that is located within the urban growth boundary; and (C) The housing or space for housing complies with applicable land use regulations and meets the standards and criteria for residential development for the underlying zone. (2) A city may: (a) Subject real property described in subsection (1) of this section to reasonable regulations, including site review and design review, concerning the physical characteristics of the uses au- thorized under subsection (1) of this section; or (b) Prohibit or regulate the use of real property by a place of worship described in subsection (1) of this section if the city finds that the level of service of public facilities, including transporta- tion, water supply, sewer and storm drain systems is not adequate to serve the place of worship described in subsection (1) of this section. (3) Notwithstanding any other provision of this section, a city may allow a private or parochial school for prekindergarten through grade 12 or higher education to be sited under applicable state law and rules and local zoning ordinances and regulations. (4) Housing and space for housing provided under subsection (1)(g) of this section must be sub- ject to a covenant appurtenant that restricts the owner and each successive owner of [the] a build- ing or any residential unit contained in [the] a building from selling or renting any residential unit described in subsection (1)(g)(A) of this section as housing that is not affordable to households with incomes equal to or less than 60 percent of the median family income for the county in which the real property is located for a period of 60 years from the date of the certificate of occupancy. SECTION 21. ORS 455.062 is amended to read: 455.062. (1) A Department of Consumer and Business Services employee acting within the scope of that employment may provide typical plans and specifications: (a) For structures of a type for which the provision of plans or specifications is exempted under ORS 671.030 from the application of ORS 671.010 to 671.220 and exempted under ORS 672.060 from the application of ORS 672.002 to 672.325; and (b) Notwithstanding ORS 671.010 to 671.220 and 672.002 to 672.325, for structures that are metal or wood frame Use and Occupancy Classification Group U structures under the structural specialty code. (2) A Department of Consumer and Business Services employee, who is licensed or reg- istered under ORS 671.010 to 671.220 or 672.002 to 672.325, who is acting within the scope of that employment and who is providing typical plans and specifications under subsection (1) of this section, is not required to seal or sign the typical plans and specifications and is not subject to disciplinary action under ORS 671.010 to 671.220 or 672.002 to 672.325 based on providing those typical plans and specifications. [(2)] (3) A building official or inspector, as those terms are defined in ORS 455.715, when acting within the scope of direct employment by a municipality, may provide typical plans and specifica- tions for structures of a type for which the provision of plans or specifications is exempted under ORS 671.030 from the application of ORS 671.010 to 671.220 and exempted under ORS 672.060 from the application of ORS 672.002 to 672.325. [(3)] This [section] subsection does not alter any applicable requirement under ORS 671.010 to 671.220 or 672.002 to 672.325 regarding stamps and seals for a set of plans for a structure. SECTION 21a. If Senate Bill 39 becomes law, ORS 455.062, as amended by section 2, chapter 97, Oregon Laws 2019 (Enrolled Senate Bill 39), and section 21 of this 2019 Act, is amended to read: 455.062. (1) A Department of Consumer and Business Services employee acting within the scope of that employment may provide typical drawings and specifications: Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 23 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 23 OF 25 (a) For structures of a type for which the provision of drawings or specifications is exempted under ORS 671.030 from the application of ORS 671.010 to 671.220 and exempted under ORS 672.060 from the registration requirements of ORS 672.002 to 672.325; and (b) Notwithstanding ORS 671.010 to 671.220 and 672.002 to 672.325, for structures that are metal or wood frame Use and Occupancy Classification Group U structures under the structural specialty code. (2) A Department of Consumer and Business Services employee, who is licensed or registered under ORS 671.010 to 671.220 or 672.002 to 672.325, who is acting within the scope of that employ- ment and who is providing typical [plans] drawings and specifications under subsection (1) of this section, is not required to seal or sign the typical [plans] drawings and specifications and is not subject to disciplinary action under ORS 671.010 to 671.220 or 672.002 to 672.325 based on providing those typical [plans] drawings and specifications. (3) A building official or inspector, as those terms are defined in ORS 455.715, when acting within the scope of direct employment by a municipality, may provide typical drawings or specifi- cations for structures of a type for which the provision of drawings or specifications is exempted under ORS 671.030 from the application of ORS 671.010 to 671.220 and exempted under ORS 672.060 from the registration requirements of ORS 672.002 to 672.325. This subsection does not alter any applicable requirement under ORS 671.010 to 671.220 or 672.002 to 672.325 regarding stamps and seals for a set of plans for a structure. SECTION 21b. If Senate Bill 39 becomes law, section 3, chapter 97, Oregon Laws 2019 (Enrolled Senate Bill 39), is amended to read: Sec. 3. The amendments to ORS 455.062 and 672.060 by sections 1 and 2 [of this 2019 Act], chapter 97, Oregon Laws 2019 (Enrolled Senate Bill 39), and section 21a of this 2019 Act apply to work performed, and offers made, on or after the effective date of [this 2019 Act] chapter 97, Oregon Laws 2019 (Enrolled Senate Bill 39). SECTION 22. In addition to and not in lieu of any other appropriation, there is appro- priated to the Department of Land Conservation and Development, for the biennium begin- ning July 1, 2019, out of the General Fund, the amount of $1,000,000, to provide technical assistance to local governments to implement sections 4 to 6 and 15 of this 2019 Act and the amendments to ORS 197.296, 197.299, 197.303, 197.319, 197.320, 215.416, 215.441, 227.175 and 227.500 and section 1, chapter 47, Oregon Laws 2018, by sections 8 to 13 and 17 to 20 of this 2019 Act. SECTION 23. In addition to and not in lieu of any other appropriation, there is appro- priated to the Housing and Community Services Department, for the biennium beginning July 1, 2019, out of the General Fund, the amount of $655,274, for research, administration and reporting that relate to a regional housing needs analysis described in section 1 of this 2019 Act. SECTION 24. (1) Sections 4 to 6 of this 2019 Act and the amendments to ORS 197.296, 197.299, 197.303, 197.319 and 197.320 and section 1, chapter 47, Oregon Laws 2018, by sections 8 to 13 of this 2019 Act become operative on January 1, 2020. (2) The Land Conservation and Development Commission, the Department of Land Con- servation and Development and the Housing and Community Services Department may take any action before the operative date specified in subsection (1) of this section that is neces- sary for the departments and the commission to exercise, on or after the operative date specified in subsection (1) of this section, all of the duties, functions and powers conferred on the departments and the commission by sections 4 to 6 of this 2019 Act and the amend- ments to ORS 197.296, 197.299, 197.303, 197.319, 197.320 and section 1, chapter 47, Oregon Laws 2018, by sections 8 to 13 of this 2019 Act. SECTION 25. This 2019 Act being necessary for the immediate preservation of the public peace, health and safety, an emergency is declared to exist, and this 2019 Act takes effect on its passage. Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 24 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 24 OF 25 Passed by House June 26, 2019 Received by Governor: M., , 2019 Timothy G. Sekerak, Chief Clerk of House Approved: M., , 2019 Tina Kotek, Speaker of House Kate Brown, Governor Passed by Senate June 30, 2019 Filed in Office of Secretary of State: M., , 2019 Peter Courtney, President of Senate Bev Clarno, Secretary of State Enrolled House Bill 2003 (HB 2003-C) Page 25 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT B/PAGE 25 OF 25 Housing Production Strategies Open Forum 1C-4 February 23, 2021 Question and Answer Written Response D L C D (Published March 10, 2021) Open Forum Attendees • Allan Lazo—FHCO • Karen Fox—City of • Ricky Hoffman—City • Arini Farrell—City of Tualatin of Roseburg Troutdale • Karen Swirsky—City • Ryan Potter—City of • Brian Martin—City of of Bend Canby Beaverton • Kate Srinivasan - • Stuart Cowie—City • Clint Spencer—City OHCS of Roseburg of Hermiston • Kim Armstrong— • Holly Kerns—City of • Colin Cortes—City of Washington County Gladstone Woodburn • Kim Rybold—City of • Kalli Light • Dan Handel—City of Wilsonville • Victor Tran— Woodburn • Laura Terway—City Cascadia Partners • Daniel Riordan—City of Oregon City • DLCD Staff: Gordon of Forest Grove • Lydia Ness— Howard, Ethan • Don Hardy—City of Cascadia Partners Stuckmayer, Robert Canby • Mac Corthell Mansolillo, Sean • Emily Meharg—City • Mary Kyle McCurdy— Edging, Samuel De of Sandy 1000 Friends of Perio Garcia,Jennifer • Jamin Kimmell— Oregon Donnelly, Kevin Cascadia Partners • Matthew Hastie— Young • Jason Yaich—City of Angelo Planning Corvallis Group • Joel Madsen—Mid- • Michael Boquist— Columbia Housing City of La Grande Authority Staff Presentation and Common Questions Housing Production Strategy Q 1: What is a Housing Production Strategy? A: A new state requirement under HB 2003 for cities above 10,000. This report must be completed one year after an HNA deadline and outlines strategies that a city will adopt to promote the development of needed housing identified in the HNA. Housing Production Strategies Open Forum Written Responses 1 Updated March 10, 2021 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT C/PAGE 1 OF 6 Q 2: What are the components of an HPS? A: There are five major components of an HPS: 1. Contextualized Housing Need • Socio-economic and demographic trends • Existing adopted measures • Market conditions • Barriers to housing • Housing needs of BIPOC, people experiencing homelessness, people with a disability, and state and federal protected classes 2. Engagement • Consumers of Needed Housing • Producers of Needed Housing • Summary of engagement, why stakeholders were engaged, and how engagement influenced adopted strategies 3. Strategies to Meet Future Housing Need—A list of possible strategies to consider is included as an attachment in OAR 660-008-0050 • Description of strategy • Timeline for adoption • Timeline for implementation • Expected magnitude of impact o Housing need addressed o Estimated#of units expected o Benefits and burdens analysis 4. Achieving Fair and Equitable Housing Outcomes • Location/Transportation • Fair Housing • Housing Choice • Homelessness • Opportunities for Affordable Rental Housing and Homeownership • Gentrification, Displacement, and Housing Stability 5. Conclusion Q 3:Are there other requirements associated with an HPS? A: Yes, cities are required to report at the mid-cycle of an HPS(i.e. three or four years after adoption of an HPS)summarizing the progress a city has made in implementing strategies and reflecting on fair and equitable housing outcomes. Q 4: What is needed to develop an HPS that sufficiently addresses need? A: Department staff and the Land Conservation and Development Commission will take a variety of factors into account, including: o Unmet housing need Housing Production Strategies Open Forum Written Responses 2 Updated March 10, 2021 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT C/PAGE 2 OF 6 o Percentage of severely rent-burdened households o Recent housing development o Addressing homelessness o Implementation progress of HPS strategies o Elimination of housing barriers Q 5: How will the Department enforce the Housing Production Strategy Program? A: There are two "tracks"of enforcement for the Housing Production Strategy Program. First, there are rule provisions for compliance if a city does not adopt an HNA/HPS in a timely manner. Second, there are separate rule provisions for compliance if a city fails to adopt and implement the specific strategies identified in the HPS in a timely manner. Both enforcement tracks prioritize department collaboration with cities assist their participation in the program including providing technical or financial assistance to bring them into compliance before punitive enforcement measures. Open Question and Answer Session Q 6:Are there jurisdictions that have completed their Housing Needs Analysis that could be used as a reference template for other cities? A: Yes. The Housing Needs Analysis portion of the Oregon Housing Planning Framework not changed with HB 2003. There are prototype Housing Production Strategies underway at the current moment, including La Grande, Medford, and Tualatin. They will be available when the projects are completed by June 30, 2021. Q 7: If a City is currently conducting a Housing Needs Analysis and expecting adoption by this June,will they also be subject to the requirement to finish their HPS within a year after that? A: The schedule that has been published per HB 2003 requirements, begins with the first HNA adopted in 2022. The Housing Production Strategy is tied to that deadline. If a City has a deadline of 2022, but updates their HNA prior to that time, they "reset"their timeline. If a City adopts an HNA prior to a 2022 deadline, they are not required to conduct a Housing Production Strategy in conjunction with that "early"HNA. That said, nothing prohibits a City from conducting an HPS with that HNA. Q 8: If a city adopts an HNA by June 30 of this year, what is the earliest they would need to adopt an HPS? A: HB 2003 states that the first Housing Production Strategy cannot be required until 2023.A Metro City that adopts an HNA in 2021, which is before the beginning of the HNA calendar, would "reset"their HNA/HPS schedule. Their next HNA deadline would be six years later(2027) and their first required HPS deadline would be (2028). For a Non-Metro City the cycle is every eight years instead of six years. Q 9: How specific must each strategy need to be in the HPS report? Housing Production Strategies Open Forum Written Responses 3 Updated March 10, 2021 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT C/PAGE 3 OF 6 A: The HPS Program is structured around the City's identified housing need. It is up to the city to determine what specific strategies they are proposing to accommodate the entire housing need identified in their HNA. The City must include the following information for each proposed strategy: • A Description of strategy • Anticipated Timeline for Strategy Adoption • Anticipated Timeline for Strategy Implementation • Expected Magnitude of Impact of the Strategy including: o Identifying the specific housing need the strategy addresses o Estimated number of units produced by the strategy o An analysis of the strategies expected burdens and benefits on protected classes The city needs to show that the sum of all the proposed strategies is an appropriate set of actions to address the housing need identified in the HNA. Additionally, Cities will be required to respond to a series of six questions to better understand the implications of proposed strategies on the location of housing in relation to transportation options, Fair Housing, housing choice, homelessness, affordable rental housing and homeownership, and gentrification, displacement, and housing stability. Q 10: Does compliance with strategy implementation need to be demonstrated qualitatively or quantitatively? A:A combination of quantitative and qualitative factors. If there is an opportunity to show quantitative analysis (e.g. an affordable housing bond), then it is more important to show qualitative progress towards a proposed strategy. However, the Department understands that many strategies do not lend themselves well to quantification, such as how many new dwelling units might be produced as a result of SDC reductions. In these cases, a qualitative assessment of progress is appropriate and sufficient(i.e. the city has waived SDCs for subsidized affordable housing developments). Q 11:You mention Portland State University researchers are working on an anti-displacement toolkit. What is the timeframe for that?Will there be any drafts available to review in the near term? A: The anti-displacement toolkit will be completed before June 30, 2021. There will also be opportunities to review draft versions of the toolkit much earlier—primarily as part of the March and May 2021 Land Conservation and Development Commission meetings. The project team has developed a draft methodology and preliminary findings of the toolkit and has put together two test cases in the City of Tigard and Hermiston. Q 12: Can you cover what types of financial assistance resources are/will be available to help cities comply? A: House Bill 2003 allocated$1m in the 2019-2021 biennium, and those projects are in progress today. There is conversation at the Legislature to continue this work for cities into the 2021-2023 Housing Production Strategies Open Forum Written Responses 4 Updated March 10, 2021 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT C/PAGE 4 OF 6 biennium. The Governor's Recommended Budget included extending funding to cities below 10,000. The Legislature will make the final decision and it is currently unclear if the Legislature will continue that funding. Q 13: How is the state measuring compliance with the HPS? Do cities send a draft to the state? A: The HNA is adopted at the local level. There is no requirement to formally adopt an HPS as an amendment to the comprehensive plan. However, it is a state requirement that must be submitted to the Department by the established deadline. The Department will then review City submittals based on criteria outlined in administrative rule to approve, approve with conditions, or remand the Housing Production Strategy. Q 14:Cities on the HNA schedule are expected to adopt HNAs before 2022. For those cities that adopt those HNAs and are also subject to HB 2001, how would these two interact? Can cities adjust their HNA findings based on taking actions in HB 2001? Some of these strategies will remove barriers to housing development. A: House Bill 2001 establishes a maximum assumed increase in efficiency of lands within the UGB due to the adoption of middle housing measures of 3%. This change will be part of the HNA framework moving forward. Q 15: Is it possible to combine the Housing Needs Analysis and Housing Production Strategy? A: Yes. The rules were structured to allow cities to build on existing housing work and outreach. The City of Medford is currently doing these processes concurrently and will be available as a model for other cities upon completion. In addition, Cities are also able, and encouraged, to combine the outreach conducted from HNAs, Consolidated Plans, engagement from Severely Rent burdened households, and other planning efforts within the city into the Housing Production Strategy. Feedback Q 16: Where can we provide feedback on this meeting and future webinars? A: The Department will send out a post-meeting survey where you can let us know your thoughts. Q 17:As a prototype city—I am wondering about case studies specifically for funding tools, not only talking about what strategy, but how successful it was. Is that something that can be pulled together and provided to cities? A: The pool that can be drawn from to provide beat practices or case studies is limited, but there is a lot of creative, innovative work that has been completed prior to HB 2003. This proposal would be a great tool to provide cities an additional tool for financial incentives and will be part of DLCD's guidance resources. Q 18:What happens next with the Regional HNAs? Housing Production Strategies Open Forum Written Responses 5 Updated March 10, 2021 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT C/PAGE 5 OF 6 A: The RHNA was a prototype analysis required by the Legislature—it does not have any regulatory authority at this time. Any future implementation of something like a RHNA would require action by the Legislature. The Department has published its recommendations and analysis of the RHNA to the Oregon Legislature on March 1, 2021. The report can be viewed on the DLCD website. Q 19:Can successful outreach examples from other communities be shared? A: Yes. That is a good idea. There is currently small sample size to choose from at this point, but as communities adopt their HNAs and HPSs, there will be more opportunities to share what has been done in terms of successful outreach efforts. Housing Production Strategies Open Forum Written Responses 6 Updated March 10, 2021 PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT C/PAGE 6 OF 6 Housing Capacity Analysis Update Schedule for Oregon Cities with a population above 10,000 (Required by ORS 197.296) OAR 660, Division 8 - Exhibit A To be adopted by the Land Conservation and Development Commission in February 2022 Updated January 4, 2022 Cities must adopt updated Housing Capacity Analyses (HNA) by December 31stof the listed year. Cities not within a Metropolitan Service District (must update HNA every eight years) 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1 Grants Pass Independence Astoria Lincoln City Eugene Canby Albany Ashland 2 Lebanon McMinnville Bend Sandy Central Point Baker City Hermiston 3 Pendleton Medford Keizer Springfield Corvallis Coos Bay Newberg 4 Newport Molalla Salem The Dalles Cottage Grove Dallas Ontario 5 North Bend Prineville Klamath Falls 6 Redmond La Grande 7 Roseburg Monmouth 8 St. Helens Silverton 9 Woodburn Cities within a Metropolitan Service District (must update HNA every six years) 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1 -None- Beaverton -None- Forest Grove Sherwood Gladstone N/A N/A 2 Fairview Troutdale Cornelius 3 Gresham Tualatin Tigard 4 Happy Valley Oregon City 5 Hillsboro 6 Lake Oswego 7 Milwaukie 8 Portland 9 West Linn 10 Wilsonville PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT D/PAGE 1 OF 3 Important Revisions in the 2022 HNA Schedule Update DLCD recently published an updated version of the HNA Schedule on August 26, 2021.This updated version was intended to reflect recent HNA adoptions in several cities. Adoptions of HNA prior to the inaugural HNA year 2022 "reset the clock"for those jurisdictions (see note#4 below).The August 2021 version shifted the HNA deadline for the City of Lake Oswego from 2023 to 2024 inadvertently.This error has been correct in this most recent version. Pursuant to OAR 660-008-0045, cities with a population of 10,000 or greater, as determined by a Portland State University Population Research Center certified population estimate, must adopt an HNA on a regular schedule.The 2020 United States Census estimated that the population of the cities of Astoria, Molalla, Monmouth, and North Bend exceeded 10,000. While the Portland State University Population Research Center does not certify population estimates until December 15, 2021,the estimates are based on US Census data.As a result, there is a high likelihood that the population of these four cities will be certified over 10,000 when Portland State University published certified estimates in December 2021. Molalla and North Bend received DLCD technical assistance funding to complete an HNA in the current 2021-2023 biennium. Monmouth recently adopted an HNA in 2020. Astoria has neither recently adopted an HNA or applied for technical assistance. HNA Update Notes on Administration: 1. The deadline for adoption in any given year will be December 31st. 2. A city will be considered to have met its obligation to adopt the HNA update upon adoption by ordinance at the local level.Any subsequent appeal will not be considered a failure to comply with the update requirement. 3. The date of final adoption of the HNA at the local level will establish the next HNA update deadline.The next update deadline will be six or eight years in the future, depending on whether or not the subject city is in the boundary of a metropolitan service district. 4. Those cities that adopt an HNA prior to their listed deadline will effectively"reset the clock," such that their next applicable HNA deadline will be six or eight years after the early adoption, depending upon whether or not they are within the boundary of a metropolitan service district. 5. House Bill 2003 stipulates that the first scheduled HNA update may be no less than two years following adoption of administrative rules for another element of the bill, known as "housing production strategies."The Land Conservation and Development Commission completed rulemaking on housing production strategies (HPSs) in the fall of 2020 and adopted HPS rules as amendments to OAR Chapter 660, Division 8 on November 12, 2020. 6. Please note that for the city's HNA update deadline to have been met, a city must adopt the HNA by ordinance,typically as a supporting document to the city's comprehensive plan. Adoption of the HNA by ordinance also allows city decision makers to utilize the HNA as a legally defensible basis for decision-making. 7. Also, please note that, consistent with OAR Section 660-024-0050(4) a city must address a land deficit identified in the HNA prior to, or concurrent with, adoption of the HNA.The local government must amend the plan to satisfy the need deficiency, either by increasing the development capacity of land already inside the city, by expanding the UGB, or both. 8. A city that adopts an HNA after December 31, 2021 but in a year that is prior to the deadline established in this schedule is still required to complete a Housing Production Strategy one year PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT D/PAGE 2 OF 3 after the city's established HNA deadline.A city may complete a Housing Production Strategy prior to the established deadline. PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT D/PAGE 3 OF 3 Housing Production Strategy Program - List of Tools, Actions, and Policies OREGON ADMINISTRATIVE RULE CHAPTER 660, DIVISION 8, ATTACHMENT B Revised -February 2022 Housing Production Strategy Guidance Document: To assist cities in the creation and drafting of their Housing Production Strategy Report in compliance to HB 2003, the Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD) provided a guidance document of housing production strategies a jurisdiction could employ to facilitate housing production in their community. The document contains a list of strategies assigned by categories. Each strategy includes a brief overview of its intent and purpose as well as a projection of its expected impact by housing tenure and by income bracket. As the jurisdiction prepares a housing production strategy report, the jurisdiction would review the guidance document to select specific strategies that work best for their community and that address their identified Housing Needs. The jurisdiction would simply reference the strategy number when describing the adoption, implementation, and expected magnitude of impact of each strategy in their report. If the jurisdiction has a strategy that is not listed they would propose this under Category Z. Categories of Tools, Actions, and Policies The proposed categories contain tools, strategies, or policies that are intended to: 1. Reduce financial and regulatory impediments to develop Needed Housing; 2. Create financial and regulatory incentives for development of Needed Housing; 3. Provide access to local, state, and federal resources; and 4. Allow for local innovation. EE/ These are strategies that a jurisdiction can take to proactively encourage Category A Zoning and Code Changes needed housing production through zoning and code modifications. These strategies may also include regulations to ensure housing goals are met. * These strategies address known impediments to providing needed housing. Category B X,b Reduce Regulatory Impediments These include but are not limited to zoning, permitting, and infrastructure c�X impediments. Category C Financial Incentives These are a list of financial incentives that jurisdictions can give to 4.9 developers to encourage them to produce needed housing. These are a list of resources or programs at the local, state and federal level Category D Financial Resources that can provide money for housing projects. The majority of these resources are intended to provide money for affordable housing projects. TAX These are a list of tax exemption and abatement programs that are intended Category E Tax Exemption and Abatement $= to encourage developers to produce housing. These are strategies that secure land for needed housing, unlock the value of Category F Land, Acquisition, Lease, and Partnerships land for housing, and/or create partnerships that will catalyze housing developments. Any other Housing Production Strategy not listed in Categories A through F Category Z Custom Options that the jurisdiction wishes to implement will be outlined in this section and numbered accordingly. Equitable Outcomes Note: Some of the strategies may not create an overall housing production increase however, they do increase or maintain housing for a specific affordability target or population. Caution Note: Jurisdictions should be careful when picking strategies to ensure that housing strategies together in their aggregate do not work to suppress the overall supply of housing of stiffle housing production. PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 1 OF 13 Anti-Displacement and Gentrification Toolkit: In the Spring of 2021 DLCD partnered with Portland State University to create an anti-displacement and gentrification toolkit.Though not mandatory to use,the toolkit was designed 1) help jurisdictions better measure the pressures of anti-displacement and gentrification in their communities, and 2) direct HPS strategies towards mitigating these pressures as more housing is produced. In the process several additional columns were created to better understand the impact of each strategy when it comes to anti-displacement work. These additional columns are defined as follows: Housing Equity Impact: DIRECT, (DIRECT), INDIRECT,AND (INDIRECT) DIRECT strategies for meeting housing equity needs are focused on the supply. They are needed immediately and persistently by groups that are vulnerable in the housing market.These strategies directly produce or protect affordable housing, especially for communities of color and other protected class communities.They have strong impacts for anti-displacement that can be seen in the short-term. A(DIRECT) strategy is one that is specific to affordable housing and/or protected classes and vulnerable populations, but does not actually create housing. Strategies that allow for more housing overall are INDIRECT; strategies that are oriented towards smaller units or diverse housing types are (INDIRECT)-they are more likely to address equity needs, but may also require additional tools to focus on adffordability,tenure, or accessibility. Likewise,strategies for housing preservation can be important for anti-displacement planning, if they are focused on maintaining affordability along with quality. Neighborhood Typology: The toolkit establishes a methodology for cities to categorize census tracts based on where gentrification and displacement pressures have already occurred or may occur in the future.These six Neighborhood Typologies (Affordable and Vulnerable, Early Gentrification,Active Gentrification, Late Gentrification, Becoming Exclusive, and Advance Exclusive)reflect the spatial distribution of housing inequity. Cities should take special consideration of these spatial inequities in the development of their Housing Production Strategies. Some Housing Production Strategies when applied flatly across an entire city result in negative or inequitable outcomes for communities members most at risk of displacement. The This section is intended to highlight which strategies may have unintended negative impacts on particular neighborhood typologies.This is not to imply that all Housing Production Strategies will have negative impacts on housing equity- many strategies work without particular concern across any kind of neighborhood. However,some housing production strategies are better suited for particular neighborhood types, and some strategies need special nuance or policy refinement to add special mitigation protections against further potential displacement impacts. Green: GO use and implement, especially if a tool is useful in this neighborhood type Yellow: PROCEED CAUTIOUSLY and carefully.This means that a strategy needs to be monitored for impacts and possibly paired with more direct mitigating strategies in this neighborhood type. Red: STOP AND PLAN. This strategy is highly likely to create displacement pressures and must be paired with mitigation measures in this neighborhood type. PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 2 OF 13 Category A: Zoning and Code Changes These are strategies that a city can take to proactively encourage needed housing production through zoning and code modifications. These Strategies may also include regulations to ensure housing goals are met. Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Ensure Land Zoned for Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) This strategy will work on establishing minimum density standards, updating development codes to prohibit new single-family ° Higher Density is not Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Planning and continued monitoring with attention to displacement in gentrifying A01 detached housing in high density zones, and allow single-family detached homes in medium density zones only if they meet ° Morrow County HNA, 2017 INDIRECT All Developed at Lower minimum density or maximum lot size requirements. Workforce (80-120 AMI) For Sale areas; add incentives for direct production of equity needs Densities Market Rate (> 120/° AMI) In many cities, towns, and counties, changes to local zoning policies can help to facilitate the development of lower-cost housing Zoning Changes to types, such as Accessory Dwelling Units (ADU's), manufactured homes, multifamily housing, micro-units, or single-room ublicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Facilitate the Use of occupancy developments. Changes to local zoning policies can also help to facilitate the development of safe overnight sheltering For Rent A02 Lower-Cost Housing options for unhoused residents, such as Safe Park programs, Conestoga Hut Micro-shelters, sleeping pod micro-shelters, and Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Local Housing Solutions DIRECT All Planning and continued monitoring of production vs. needs Types others.To increase the likelihood the market can produce lower-cost housing types, it is important to make them allowable as of Market Rate (> 120% AMI) right in all locations and neighborhoods. If not, still provide flexibility in zoning code to still issue variance or conditional use permits that allow deviations from existing regulations on a case-by-case basis. FAR, Density, or Height ° Early Gentrification A03 Bonuses for Affordable FAR, density, and height bonuses for affordable housing developments. Note: FAR/density bonuses do not work if there is not Affordable (30-80/° AMI) For Rent -- DIRECT Active Gentrication These tools work best in strongmarkets; have a medium impact on displacement adequate height to make additional development feasible. Workforce (80-120% AMI) V1 .)CAIG p p Housing Late Gentrification Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Housing rehabilitation codes (or rehab codes) are building codes designed to reduce the costs of renovating and rehabilitating ° Early Gentrification Housing Rehabilitation Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Where naturally occurring affordable housing is being lost to rehab; add incentives A04 existing buildings, thereby facilitating the continued availability and habitability of older rental housing and owner-occupied homes. ° Local Housing Solutions INDIRECT A- " "entriffication Codes This is especially helpful to facilitate conversation into multiplex housing. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Late Gentrification to maintain affordability to increase anti-displacement impacts Market Rate (> 120/° AMI) ADUs are smaller, ancillary dwelling units located on the same lot as a primary residence. They are typically complete dwellings with their own kitchen, bathroom and sleeping area. Given that ADUs are usually built by individual homeowners with limited ADUs, cottage, and middle housing have a medium impact on preventing Code Provisions for experience or financial resources, code provisions can have a significant influence on the feasibility of their development and For Rent City of the Dalles Housing A05 ADUs enable more widespreadproduction. For example, easingoccupancy requirements, allowingmore ADUs on a lot, and expanding Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Strategy Report (2017) (INDIRECT) All displacement, with planning and continued monitoring of production; add incentives p p p y q p g and programs to target affordability and increase impact maximum size requirements. Certain building and development code regulations can inadvertently drive up ADU construction Market Rate (> 120% AMI) costs. More flexibility in siting, design, construction and lower fees are also needed to achieve feasibility in many cases. Affordable & Vulnerable Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Broaden the definition of "housing unit" to allow for more flexibility across use types. For example, SROs are not always allowed in ° Early Gentrification Broaden the Definition Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Planning and continued monitoring of production and locations; add incentives and A06 of Housing Type certain residential zones. Including them in the definition of housing unit, or broadening the set of uses allowed across all Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale -- (INDIRECT) Active Gentrification programs to increase impact and avoid clustering residential districts, would allow for greater flexibility of housing type. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Late Gentrification Exclusive Affordable & Vulnerable Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Allow for Single Room Allow for SRO, Adult Dorms, and Cohousing in all residential zones. Note: SROs may be favored due to their ability to serve more Early Gentrification Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Planning and continued monitoring of production and locations; add incentives and A07 Occupancy in people for less cost; it is not always a better housing type for all populations. Considerations should be given to ADA accessibility -- DIRECT Active Gentrfication(80-120% AMI) ror Sale cation programs to increase impact and avoid clustering Residential Zones when planning SROs. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Late Gentrification Exclusive Cottage clusters are groups of relatively small homes typically oriented around shared common grounds with 4-14 homes typically between 1,000-1200 square feet in size. By further defining cottage cluster design and development standards, housing code can effectively address a predictable process for developers, and potentially encourage greater production for this housing type. Some examples may include: allowing for a wide range of sizes and attached/detached options for housing; not specifying ownership Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) ADUs, cottage, and middle housing have a medium impact on preventing Promote Cottage structure so that both renters/owners can live on the same cluster; ensuring that minimum site size, setbacks and building Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent City of the Dalles Housing A08 Cluster Housingcoverage requirements do notprohibit cottage cluster development on smaller lots; draft design requirements that ensure Workforce 80-120% AMI) For Sale StrategyReport, April 2017 (INDIRECT) All displacement, with planning and continued monitoring of production; add incentives g q g p g q ( p p and programs to target affordability and increase impact neighborhood compatibility, and efficient use of land, but are not so specific as to restrict the ability to adapt to varying Market Rate (> 120% AMI) neighborhood contexts. Other ideas include: uniformed codes, form-based codes, and allowing shared underground infrastructure when practical (e.g. sewer lines from each cottage can connect to one main that runs out to street, rather than 8 parallel lines out to street). Short-term rentals can be seen as an investment strategy for small investors, but can also remove rental housing supply from the Short-Term Rentals market, in effect driving up rent from the local housing market. To avoid this effect, regulations can include definitions for various Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent A09 forms of short-term rentals, defining use, and occupancy standards, and even adding limits to the number of days that a short term ° Morrow County HNA, 2017 DIRECT All High impact on displacement especially in hot neighborhoods Regulations rental can be in operation in order to mitigate their impact on the local housing market. Short Term Rental Regulation should begin Workforce (80-120% AMI) with/include registration requirements for all short term rentals. Market Rate (> 120/° AMI) Requiring that a portion of the units within a market rate development be set aside as affordable housing. This tool will often be combined with property tax exemptions, fee waivers, or development bonuses to offset the cost of affordable housing units. Publicly-Subsidized (0 30% AMI) These tools work best in strong markets; have a medium impact on displacement; A10 Inclusionary Zoning Careful consideration should be employed when enacting inclusionary zoning. Note: A number of studies, including those Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent -- DIRECT Active Gentification they pair with incentives that can be customized to context for maximum overall analyzing the IZ Ordinance in Portland, have shown that IZ suppresses, rather than increases, the creation of new housing. Given Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Late Gentrification that, if IZ is proposed, the financial components need to be calculated right to ensure that the inclusionary rate is not too high for iviai neL r-vaLC `-- 1 cu to t\IVII) impact the offsets provided and that overall housing production increases as a result. PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 3 OF 13 Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Add Restrictive Adding restrictive covenants to ensure affordability over time at a certain income level for affordable housing developments. Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) A11 Covenants to Ensure Restrictive covenants are usually placed on a property in exchange for a local or state government providing financial contribution Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent -- DIRECT All Strong tool for subsidized housing preservation in all markets Affordability to the project. These covenants work best over the short-term (up to 30 years); after that they become unable to accommodate vorKrorce (dU-1 LU 7o NMI) For Sale changed circumstances. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Align Lot Division Sometimes there are conflicting regulations between the density that is allowed by the zoning code versus the density that is allowed when lot division (for fee-simple lots) is considered. This can cause unintentional reductions in density, only caused by the Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Planning and continued monitoring of production; add incentives and programs to Al2 Density with Zoning fact that the developer would like to create for-sale housingon fee-simple lots. Ideal) the densities would be aligned, so there is Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale -- INDIRECT All target affordabilityand increase impact Density p P y' ° g p not a density reduction between - condominium versus fee-simple developments. Market Rate (> 120/° AMI) Enable and encourage Transfer of Development Rights (TDR) to maximize available Floor Area Ratio (FAR) provided public Early Gentrification FAR & Density Transfer Affordable (30-80°/° AMI) For Rent These tools work best in strong markets; have a medium impact on displacement A13 benefit (e.g. historic preservation & affordable housing) are attained and covenants ensure long term benefit. This strategy ° -- DIRECT Active Gentrification Provisions assumes that there are adequate, realistic, and relatively easy receiving areas for TRDs. Workforce (80-120% AMI) Late Gentrification when pained with affordability tools Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Re-examine Critically re-assess requirements for ground floor retail; lively streetscape is a worthy goal, but not for every street. Jurisdictions Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Requirements for can inadvertently impose massive costs on developers by requiring ground floor retail and commercial space even when it's Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent A14 -- Ground-floor unlikelyto be fullyoccupied orgenerate nearlyenough revenue topayfor itself. Ground floor uses should be driven bymarket Workforce 80-120% AMI) For Sale City of Bend INDIRECT All P g ( Retail/Commercial demand; with residential use more beneficial to meet needed housing in some cases (eg. affordable housing). Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Enable developments that support multiple unit sizes, types, and tenure options to promote diverse housing options in Encourage Diverse high- opportunity neighborhoods. With a goal of reversing historical patterns of racial, ethnic, cultural and socio-economic exclusion. Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Use an analysis of "Access to Opportunity" to decide which zones or locations (via zoning overlay) to determine where this is Housing Types in High- Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Late Gentrification Planning and continued monitoring of production; add incentives and programs to A15 appropriate. Goal is to promote access to opportunity (e.g., high performing schools, multiple transportation options, services, ° -- (INDIRECT) Opportunity etc.) to households with a range of backgrounds and incomes. The jurisdiction could pare this strategy with a robust program of Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Exclusive target affordability and increase impact Neighborhoods Market Rate (> 120/o AMI) incentives (e.g, deeper financial incentives, greater range of housing types, more regulatory waivers, etc.) to be made available in these areas than in other areas of the city. Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Manufactured Housing Change the zoning of existing manufactured housing communities to be preserved to a single-use zone that only allows Affordable & Vulnerable Affordable (30-80°/° AMI) For Rent City of Portland Mfd Dwelling Planning and monitoring for potential displacement; may need additional incentives A16 Community manufactured housing communities. Consider lifting restrictions of stick-built homes in cooperatively-owned and other Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Park Amendment DIRECT Early Gentrification and programs in active gentrification for higher impact Preservation Zone manufactured homes. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Active Gentrification Allow a land division where small lots or parcels are created below the standard lot/parcel size for dwelling units that are limited in Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) size. Calculate density differently for the dwelling units due to their limited size. Density example: ADUs, cottage, and middle housing have a medium impact on preventing A17 Small Dwelling Unit Affordable (30-80°/° AMI) For Rent City (INDIRECT) displacement,of Bend All with planningand continued monitoringof production; add incentives Developments a. Dwelling units 600 square feet or smaller: 0.25 of a dwelling unit. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Saleand programs to target affordability and increase impact b. Dwelling units 601 to 1,200 square feet: 0.50 of a dwelling unit. Adopt increased density codes by right near transit stations, with higher levels of density near high capacity/high frequency ° Affordable & Vulnerable Increase Density near Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) stations, then stepping back into residential areas. Automatically upzone based on transportation corridor classifications; meaning Early Gentrification Planning for transit extensions, especially in areas of early gentrification, is A18 Transit Stations and wider ROWs get more flexibility in land use by right. This will add some flexibility for new transit stops, including bus stops. Be Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent __ (INDIRECT) Active Gentrification important; add incentives and programs to target affordability and increase impact Regional Multi-use careful not to word the language so that people incorrectly assume that the density can only come after the transit has been put in Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Late Gentrification for anti-displacement of transit-riding populations Trails 0 place. Market Rate (> 12 /° AMI) Exclusive High Density Requiring a certainportion of to-be-annexed land to include a percentage of high density. Be careful that this strategyis not used Affordable 30-80°/ AMI) For Rent Planningand continued monitoringfor housing add incentives for direct A19 Requirements for to-be- q g p g g ( o City of Newberg INDIRECT All needs; Annexed Land as a way for low density areas in high-infrastructure locations to shirk responsibility to upzone. Workforce (80-120% AMI) production of equity needs Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Providing a pre-approved set of plans for middle housing typologies (ex. Cottage clusters, townhomes, and SROs). The plans Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Pre-Approved Plan Sets ADUs, cottage, and middle housing have a medium impact on preventing would be highly-efficient, designed for constrained lots and low cost solutions, and would allow for streamlined permitting. This Affordable (30-80°/° AMI) For Rent A20 for Middle Housing would helpattract developers that typically developonly single-family housing to et into the missing middle housing production. Workforce 80-120% AMI For Sale -- (INDIRECT) All displacement, with planning and continued monitoring of production; add incentives Typologies p Yp Y y g Y g g g g p ( ) and programs to target affordability and increase impact Consider partnering with a university, design institution, or developing a competition to produce plans. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Provide a pre-approved set of plans for ADU designs (6-10 sizes/configurations) that, if chosen by a developer/owner, would lead ADUs have a medium impact on preventing displacement, with planning and A21 Pre-Approved Plan to automatic approvals and reduced permitting schedule. Plans would reduce the need for architectural costs and reduce barriers Affordable (30-80°0o AMI) For Rent __ (INDIRECT) All continued monitoring of production; add incentives and programs to target Sets for ADUs to entry. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale affordability and increase impact Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Mixed Housing Types in Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Cottage and middle housing have a medium impact on preventing displacement, A22 Planned Unit Require or incentive a mix of housing types within Residential Planned Unit Developments (PUD). Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale City of Forest Grove INDIRECT All with planning and continued monitoring of production; add incentives and programs Developments Market Rate (> 120% AMI) to target affordability and increase impact PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 4 OF 13 Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Provide incentives in the development code to increase the number of units designed to meet Universal Design, Lifelong Housing Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) A23 Accessible Design Certification, and other similar standards. Examples of incentives include: expedited review and permittingprocessing, planningAffordable (30-80/° AMI) For Rent -- DIRECT All Directlyaddresses equitable housingneed g p p Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale q and building fee reductions, system development charge deferrals, density or building height bonuses. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Many smaller housing formats are built on wheels, including tiny homes on wheels (THOWs), park model homes, and recreational vehicles (RVs). providing occupants significant flexibility in where they site their homes, yet many local codes prohibit the siting of ublirIv_C1 ikeirli=orl /e 'VIOL "MI) Legalize Alternative these housingtypes outside of manufactured homeparks and RVparks. Permittingthese housingtypes, with appropriate Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Tiny House on Wheels (THOWS) - A24 Housing Types on yp yp siting o (INDIRECT) All -- Wheels and in Parks standards to ensure adequate public facilities access and life/safety, can provide additional permanent or interim housing options Workforce (80-120/° AMI) For Sale City of Portland outside of parks. Allowing broader siting of RV parks and amending standards to allow THOWs, park model homes, and other Market Rate (> 120% AMI) housing types on wheels can also provide additional siting opportunities. The Oregon Reach Code, Part II, defines a "tiny house" as a dwelling that is 400 square feet or less in floor area, excluding lofts. Legalize and Encourage While many (though not all)jurisdictions allow tiny homes to be sited as a primary or accessory dwelling, few encourage their Publicly-Subsidized (< 74n°i AMI) A25 Tiny Homes and development through regulatory incentives. Legalizing the siting of tiny homes as primary or accessory dwellings through the Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent __ (INDIRECT) All -- Villages removal of minimum unit size requirements can enable the development of this housing type. Jurisdictions can encourage the Workforce (80-120/° AMI) For Sale development of tiny houses and tiny house villages by providing regulatory incentives — such as reductions in required off-street Market Kate (> -1LU/° Ptryii) parking or open space — for units less than 400 SF in floor area Category B : Reduce Regulatory Impediments These strategies address known impediments to providing needed housing. These include but are not limited to process, permitting, and infrastructure impediments. Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Remove or Reduce Removing parking requirements for residential uses provides the opportunity to reduce the amount of lot area used for pavement Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) and provides more space for housing and open space. This strategy offers greater flexibility to site housing and reduces costs Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent B01 Minimum Parking associated with providing parking. Allow developers to respond to market demands and transit access without having the burden Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale City of Tigard INDIRECT All -- Requirements of parking minimums. Consider removing parking requirements near transit or for affordable housing. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Remove Development Streamlining the conversion of larger single-family homes into multi-unit dwellings (e.g. duplex or triplex). This should be aligned ° Converstions that upgrade and upscale may displace through broader B02 Code Impediments for with reduced off-street parkingrequirements, so that conversion doesn't trigger the need to add additional driveways (or isn't Affordable (30-80/° AMI) For Rent Cityof Tigard (INDIRECT) Early Gentrification neighborhood changes; conversions that create more rental and moderate cost p q gg y Workforce (80-120% AMI) 1 .�U1� g Active Gentrification g g ' Conversions halted by inability to add additional driveways). Market Rate (> 120% AMI) housing may stabilize Expedited permitting will help to reduce costs of development of Needed Housing as identified by the City. Consider projects with direct or indirect funding from local government as essential and projects with long term affordability covenants through tax Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) abatement or inclusionary requirements as high priority and/or only expedite housing according to the jurisdictions identified ° Expedite Permitting for Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent City of Portland (direct funding B03 Needed Housing Types needed housing types. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale only) (INDIRECT) All -- Localgovernments might also consider assigning a designating staff to shepherd projects through the construction process in Market Rate (> 120% AMI) g g g g g p g order to expedite process. Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) B04 Expedite Lot Division for Expedite lot divisions and subdivisions for affordable housing projects Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent -- (DIRECT) All -- Affordable Housing For Sale Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Reduce Regulatory Remove barriers such as minimum street frontage, driveway requirements, etc., that impact minimum lot size/density during lot Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Increased dendsity in gentrifying neighborhoods may not serve to stabilize; add B05 Barriers to Lot Division division. Preferablyallow by-right lot division upto max number of units allowed. Workforce 80-120% AMI) For Sale -- (INDIRECT) All incentives and programs to target affordabilityand increase impact ( p g g p Market Rate (> 120% AMI) In some cities, towns, and counties, the process associated with obtaining approval for new construction is so time-consuming or costly that it dampens the amount of new development and adds significantly to its costs. To help streamline the process, cities, Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Streamline Permitting towns and counties can initiate a comprehensive review of all steps in the development approval process to identify the factors Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Planning and continued monitoring of production; add incentives and programs to B06 Process that most significantly suppress new residential construction and redevelopment. With a clearerpicture of the obstacles, local Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Local Housing Solutions INDIRECT All target affordabilityand increase impact g Y pp p g p leaders can then begin to assess whether they can be reduced or eliminated to stimulate development activity. In doing the Market Rate (> 120% AMI) comprehensive review, it is critical that actual timeline performance be evaluated not just the planned timeline. Flexible Regulatory Often, nonprofit housing developers and housing agencies face regulatory impediments to building affordable housing, which can Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) often derail projects. This strategy provides a flexible framework for delivery of affordable housing including but not limited to Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Planning and continued monitoring of production and locations; add incentives and B07 Concessions for reduced minimum setbacks, height bonuses, and/or allowing for flexibility in how units are delivered. This strategy is not intended For Sale Morrow County HNA, 2017 (DIRECT) All programs to increase impact and avoid clustering Affordable Housing to allow for a lower quality for affordable housing buildings. PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 5 OF 13 Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Waive Off-Site Waive infrastructure build-out requirements for infill affordable or needed housing projects constructed in neighborhoods without a Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Infrastructure network of those amenities currently. Example: Waive requirements for curb, gutter and sidewalk build-out on the lot if it is Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Clackamas CountyHousingPlanningand continued monitoringofproduction; add incentives and programs to B08 Requirements for p q o (INDIRECT) All p g Needed or Affordable located in an area without either connecting curb, gutter, and sidewalk currently or viable plans for funding infrastructure Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Report target affordability and increase impact Housing construction within the next decade. This is especially relevant in smaller, more rural locations. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Programming work in a Capital Improvements Programming (CIP) so that projects are constructed sooner to support development Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Capital Improvements of middle housing or to open up more land in an Urban Growth Boundary (UGB) for development of middle housing. Coordinate Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent B09 Pro rammin (CIP) housingplanningwith CIP work toprioritize those projects that would support development (e.g. new water line, sewer pumping Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale -- INDIRECT All -- Programming p 1 pp p p p g station). If the UGB is amended or the premises on which the CIP were based changed substantially, the CIP should be revised. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) sewer, and transportation PFPs and gettingcapital improvement projects (CIP) built so that costs to developon Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Completing water, p p p p J Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent City of Tigard B10 Public Facility Planning land zoned for needed housing can be further anticipated and supported. In addition, public utilities planning also allows for more INDIRECT All -- unit capacity, especially in areas that are upzoned for denser housing. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale City of Bend Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Change the culture of Planning / Development Services departments to have a pro-housing agenda for both rental and homeownership. Supplement with fair housing education and education on the supply and demand impact on housing prices. The Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) State could support jurisdictions in this effort by providing an incentive (e.g. funding set-aside) for jurisdictions that adopt Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent A more focused agenda on afffordable housing will address NIMBY and stigma B11 Pro-Housing Agenda aggressive pro-housingpolicies. In the State of California housingfunds areprioritized for cities that adopt pro-housingpolicies. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale -- INDIRECT All issues with rental housing, affordable housing, and protected classes gg p g, g� Though it may be counterintuitive, since this allows anti-housing cities to avoid housing altogether. Alternatively, the State of Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Oregon could consider a stick rather than carrot approach (e.g. withholding highway funds). Change the culture of Planning / Development Services departments to have a pro Affordable Housing agenda for both rental and homeownership. Supplement with fair housing education and education on the supply and demand impact on housing prices. The Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) A pro-affordable housing agenda does not create housing directly; but it is an Pro Affordable Housing State could support jurisdictions in this effort by providing an incentive (e.g. funding set-aside) for jurisdictions that adopt Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent important component of planning to ensure that equity is achieved. Including Fair B12 Agenda aggressivepro Affordable Housingpolicies. This agenda should include aplan to ensure that affordable housingis not For Sale -- (DIRECT) All Housingand addressingprotected classes such as race/ethnicityand national 9 9g 9 � suppressed in single-family zones or in wealthier communities. As part of this, encourage departments to look closely at how origin will further target this strategy to equitable outcomes existing approaches may inadvertently favor one type of tenure over another. Align Bike Parking Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent B13 Requirements with Require bicycle parking requirements more in line with actual use. Example: No more than 1-1.5 bike parking stalls per unit. -- INDIRECT All -- Workforce (80-120% AMI) Actual Use Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Amend the comprehensive plan to explicitly make Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing a Housing Policy. Example below, based on federal guidance on affirmatively furthering fair housing and current state protected classes. Jurisdictions may add additional protected classes, such as ancestry, ethnicity, or occupation. Additionally, a jurisdiction could create an Analyis of Impediments to Fair Housing (Al), even when not required, and conduct fair housing training for Council, Planning Commission, and other relevant Adopt Affirmatively policymakers. Jurisdictions would work to make known evidence and best practices in planning, to reverse discrimination and Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) addressing affordability and equitable access for all people; as well as considering B14 Furthering Fair Housing exclusion as well as concentrations of wealth, a required aspect of the comprehensive plan process. Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent -- (DIRECT) All neighborhood clustering and neighborhood change as part of access to as a Housing Policy in Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale opportunity. It is an important undergirding for housing planning and directing Comprehensive Plan Housing Policy x: Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing Market Rate (> 120% AMI) resources; but does not create housing [Jurisdiction] affirmatively furthers access to decent, affordable housing with convenient access to the services and destinations Oregonians need to thrive without regard to their race, color, religion, national origin, sex, familial status, mental or physical disability, source of legally-derived income, marital status, sexual orientation or gender identity. Reduce the Power of Many jurisdictions give communities/neighborhoods too much veto power on both zoning policy, and particular project proposals Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) to keep others who they don't approve of from moving in. Dedicate funds to educate citizens on poverty, exclusion, and racial AMI) For Rent removingpolicies ais a stronger and more direct impact than educating NIMBYism to stop, Affordable (30-80% g p B15 slow, change, or reduce dynamics. Remove policies that allow neighborhood opposition to evidence based zoning proposals and individual projects. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale -- (DIRECT) All communities. affordable housing Decisions about what kind and how much housing goes where it needs to be data-driven and focused on equitable outcomes Market Rate (> 120% AMI) instead of the best outcomes for those with the most money and/or privilege. Holistic Planning to Geography is often at odds with social equity; natural beauty is often in wealthy neighborhoods, as are historic buildings, allowing Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) them to exclude new development and affordable housing. Develop a targeted plan to distribute density within the jurisdiction Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Planning and continued monitoring of production; add incentives and programs to B16 Distribute New Density more equitably to areas with quality schools, access to natural resources etc. Additionally, work to distribute transit equitably to Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale -- (INDIRECT) All target affordability and increase impact More Equitably ensure that exclusionary neighborhoods don't remain that way because they don't offer transit for higher density housing. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Reduce on-site Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Remove or reduce requirements for on-site common/active open space. Instead, ensure that adopted Parks plans fully consider Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Affordable & Vulnerable Take care with neighborhoods that are seeking more holistic revitalization to B17 Common/Active Open the needs of everyneighborhood, and that the jurisdiction is activelyworkingtoward satisfying those needs. Workforce 80-120% AMI) For Sale -- INDIRECT EarlyGentrification balance non-housingneeds with housingproduction Space Requirements g J y g ( ° Market Rate (> 120/° AMI) Jurisdictions would develop a comprehensive review of the impediments to the development of homeownership opportunities and actionable steps to remove those impediments. ° To ensure access to homeownership to under-represented groups, pair Prioritize Home Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent B18 ° -- (INDIRECT) All development of owner-occupied housing types with homebuyer education, financial Ownership Note:An important impediment to condominium development is the risk associated with the current condominium law in Oregon. A Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale revamp of this law is needed to increase homeownership opportunities that are smaller in size. This would require action at the Market Rate (> 120% AMI) assistance like downpayments and low-cost loans, and affirmative marketing state level. PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 6 OF 13 Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Add a section to the city's development application asking developers how they decided on their development program and which Survey Applicants on public incentives were part of the consideration. This would lead to better information about how to tailor city strategies toward Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) B19 Development Program production. An alternative to requiring cities to collect this info, is to consider this approach as part of a production strategy. To be Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Housing Production Strategy (INDIRECT) All -- Decision-Making a strategy it needs additional action like logging and making publicly available the aggregated survey information on the city's Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Technical Advisory Committee housing/development/planning webpage or similar. The information could be collected on a form separate from the development Market Rate (> 120% AMI) application, so it is clear that the additional information is not part of the permit decision. Category C : Financial Incentives These are a list of financial incentives that cities can offer to developers to encourage them to produce needed housing. Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Reduce or Exempt Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) C01 SDCs for Needed Reducing, deferring, and/or financing System Development Charges (SDCs) at a low interest rate for needed housing types. This Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Cit of Ti and INDIRECT All Increase impacts by focusing SDC incentives on needed housing types from the Housing strategy reduces development costs. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale y g ( ) equity housing needs analysis Market Rate (> 120/° AMI) Updating SDC fee schedule so that is tied to dwelling size. This strategy ensures that smaller dwelling sizes in single and multi- Publiriv-si ihcirli7Prl o In°/ AMI) CO2 Modify SDC fee family housing are not disproportionately burdened by fees and therefore encouraged. Consider per square foot fees rather than Affordable (30-80/°° AMI) For Rent City of Florence (INDIRECT) All Increase impacts by focusing SDC incentives on needed housing types from the schedules per dwelling. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale equity housing needs analysis Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Reduce or Exempt Waivers/reductions of SDCS for ADU production in order to improve the feasibility of the development. Create a model ordinance For Rent In strong market, this can produce more housing units; ADUs have medium anti- 0O3 City of Portland (INDIRECT) displacement impact, can be increased with programs to target affordability and SDCs for ADUs for the waiver, or deferment, of SDCs. Scale SDCs based on size, resource efficiency, and access to alternative transportation. For Sale equity Incentivize Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Give Bonus Density Incentives for manufactured and factory built housing. Consider tying bonus to modular housing that Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent C04 Manufactured and Metro KingRMHP (DIRECT) All -- Modular Housing demonstrates if housing meets affordability targets of below 120% AMI. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale County Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Waive or Finance Park A policy providing for the exemption (preferred) or financing park impact fees (helpful) for affordable housing ensures a mix of For Rent Tualatin Hills Park & C05 Impact Fees for affordable housing. Financing the fee while still collecting can mitigate the cost of the fee to coincide with the available cash flow Recreation District (DIRECT) All Reduced fees have medium impacts on displacement Affordable Housing of the affordable housing. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Publicly Funded Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) C06 Infrastructure Fund off-site improvements for workforce or affordable housing; e.g. street intersection improvements triggered bydevelopment. Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent p p gg p __ (DIRECT) All Reduced fees have medium impacts on displacement Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Improvements ° Market Rate (> 120/° AMI) Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) C07 Reconsider Applying If there are appropriate levels of parks and open space near the project, these impact fees should not be charged or should be Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent -- (INDIRECT) Reduced fees have medium impacts on displacement in strong markets; make more impact by Park SDCs assessed at a much lower rate. They are not general funds to be allocated without a nexus to the development. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale targeting to affordable development Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Tie transportation SDCs to the number of parking spaces, as the number of parking spaces is a more accurate predictor of the Publicly-Subsidized (0 30% AMI) Transportation SDCsAffordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Early GentrificW—. Reduced fees have medium impacts on displacement in strong markets; make more impact by C08 number of trips that will start or end at every development. By tying transportation costs directly to vehicle storage, the system will -- (INDIRECT) Tied to Parking both be assessing transportation impacts fairly and encouraging alternate modes of transportation. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Active Gentrification targeting to affordable development Market Rate (> 120)/° AMI) Category D : Financial Resources These area list of resources or programs at the local, state, and federal level that can provide funding for housing projects, primarily subsidized affordable housing projects. Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact CDBG Grants are federal funds set aside in the form of grants to be used to meet national objectives: direct benefit for low and City of Tigard City of Eugene moderate income households; benefit to predominantly low income areas; elimination of slums and blight. Eligible activities City of Beaverton include public works infrastructure, community facilities, new housing development, housing rehabilitation, and public services Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Community ° City of Hillsboro D01 Development Block (counselling, social services & microenterprise training, including short-term emergency rent assistance). Eligibility is based upon Affordable (30-80/° AMI) For Rent City of Gresham DIRECT Affordable & Vulnerable -- Grant (CDBG) the levels of low- and moderate-income families that may benefit from services provided by the eligible projects. While Cities can City of Portland rhnnca not to annlw fnr (`r1R(, rnntrnl of‘n,hathar nr not thaw raraiwa lr1R(, is I iltimatalw at tha rarlaral lawal and !ilea tha Ctata of PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 7 OF 13 Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact VI IV V J V I IVl lV LI VV'y IVI V LJ LJ V, VVI Ill VI VI VVI IV LI IVI VI I IV LI IVy I V VV I V V V LJ LJV I lA I LII I ILl.VIy Ul LI IV I VVA VI LII IV V VI CAI IV III.V LI IV V LLV.l' VI City of Bend Oregon, these funds can be used for things that have little to do with housing, so may have limited impact. A better gauge may be City of Redmond HOW cities use their CDBG; for housing benefit or other. State of Oregon Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI)Federal tax provision that encourages private investment in affordable rental housing by providing qualified investors with a dollar- Early Gentrification In strong markets, LIHTC can be used to create mixed-income housing that provides D02 Low Income Housing for-dollar reduction in federal income tax liability in exchange for investment in qualifying new construction and rehabilitation Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Local Housing Solutions DIRECT Active Gentrification cross-subsidy to affordable units; LIHTC can also be combined with additional Tax Credit (LIHTC) LIHTCs mayalso be paired with Tax Exempt Revenue Bonds. vvorKrorce (�u- �Lu�Yo AIVII) For Sale Late Gentrification programs to extend the affordabilityperiod for the housing projects. p Market Rate (> 120% AMI) p g - - - I - - - Housing Trust Funds are a flexible source of funding that can be used to support a variety of affordable housing activities. Because they are created and administered at the city, county, region, or state level, housing trust funds are not subject to the Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) restrictions of federal subsidy programs and therefore can be designed specifically to address local priorities and needs. The Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent D03 Housing Trust Funds entity administering the fund determines eligible activities, which can include anything from emergency rent assistance for families Local Housing Solutions DIRECT All -- facing the threat of eviction or homelessness to gap financing for new construction of affordable housing to repairs for older homeowners. Operating Subsidies for Publicly-Subsidized (0 30% AMI) D04 Affordable Housing Operating subsidies are payments made annually (or more frequently) to owners of affordable housing developments that make Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Local Housing Solutions DIRECT All -- Developments the housing more affordable by covering a portion of the ongoing costs of operating the development. vvu1KW !(..:C kou- ILu oo HMI) For Sale Market Rate (> 120/o AMI) Employer-assisted housing programs provide a channel through which employers can help their employees with the cost of Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Employer - Assisted owning or renting a home, typically in neighborhoods close to the workplace. Assistance may be provided in a variety of ways, Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Early Gentrification Employer-assisted housing in areas near transit or near workplaces can support D05 HousingPrograms includingthrough down paymentgrants or loans that are forgiven over aperiod of employment, homeownershipcounselingand Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Local Housing Solutions (INDIRECT) Active Gentriciation stabilityand equity, and contribute to a 'pro-housing agenda'. g g p Y g� p g g education, rental subsidies and, less commonly, direct investment in the construction of rental housing. HOME is a federal program established by Congress in 1990 that is designed to increase affordable housing for low- and very low- Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) income families and individuals. All States and participating jurisdictions receive HOME funds from HUD each year, and may Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent D06 HOME Program spend HOME on rental assistance, assistance to homebuyers, new construction, rehabilitation, improvements, demolition, V V VI I.,IJ,l,l. °c30-120/o ,AIVIl; For Sale -- DIRECT All -- relocation, and limited administrative costs. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Local Housing Solutions Dedicated Revenue A dedicated revenue source for affordable housing provides an ongoing committed stream of revenue for affordable housing, often Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) D07 Sources for Affordable deposited into a Housing Trust Fund. This can be helpful in increasing the total funding available for affordable housing. The fund Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent DIRECT All -- can receive its sources from: Transient Lodging Taxes collected from Short Term Rentals, developer fee and real estate transfer For Sale City of Portland Housing Housing taxes (not constitutional in Oregon). Investment Fund Cities, towns, and counties establish demolition taxes and condo conversion fees as a way to generate revenue and replace Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) affordable housing lost to these activities. The proceeds from both demolition taxes and condo conversion fees are typically ° Active Gentrification Medium impacts to prevent displacement in strong market with lots of demolition D08 Demolition Taxes deposited in a Housing Trust Fund to support affordable housing activities. To ensure that a demolition tax on residential Affordable (30-80 0o AMI) For Rent Local Housing Solutions INDIRECT Late Gentrification and conversion, with impacts in the short term and potential to fund housing. Plan development does not deter needed redevelopment - this strategy should only be applied if the housing replacement is 1:1. If the Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Exclusive and monitor production vs. needs proposed development is more dense than the original structure, there should not be a demolition tax. Market Rate (> 120/o AMI) Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Construction Excise Tax A Construction Excise Tax (CET) is a tax on construction projects that can be used to fund affordable housing. According to state Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent City of Portland D09 (CET) statutes, the tax may be imposed on improvements to real property that result in a new structure or additional square footage in an For Sale City of Eugene DIRECT All Plan and monitor production vs. needs existing structure. City of Sisters The TIF set-aside can fund housing; but it is a financing mechanism that relies on Create a TIF set-aside for affordable housing development programs within designated Urban Renewal Areas (URAs). Target Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) overall property values increasing to create the increment. TIF is associated with Tax Increment Affordable & Vulnerable could be to begin setting aside funds for affordable housing projects as a medium-term action, over the next 5 years or so. For Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent gentrification and displacement, especially for people of color. This may be D10 Financing (TIF) Set- example: Portland CityCouncil designates 45% of thegross amount of TIF for designated housingpurposes (rental housingfor Workforce (80-120% AMI For Sale City of Portland DIRECT Early Gentrification exacerbated byOregon's restriction of TIF funds to physical development; add Aside p g g p p Active Gentrification g p y p ' households under 60% of Area Median Income (AMI) and homeownership for households under 80% of AMI. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) community and economic development activities for low-income and POC to support their staying in place as neighborhoods improve - - - - T - f Public Housing Authorities have the ability to attach up to 20% of their voucher assistance to specific housing units for each low income housing project, up to 25% of any single project. Project-Based Rental Assistance (PBRA) vouchers provide rental Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Flexible Use of Housing assistance for eligible individuals and families who occupy specific housing units managed by private owners who have entered Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent D11 Choice Vouchers into agreements with a housingagency. The household pays an established amount to the owner each month (typically -or Local Housing Solutions DIRECT All -- g g Y� p Y ( Yp� Y approximately 30% of monthly income) and the housing agency pays the balance of the rent due. If public housing authorities include homeownership in their administrative plan, housing vouchers may also be used to facilitate low income homeownership. Vouchers that target renters at the 60-80% AMI who are often left out of the housing funded by bond funds and other public sources that are focused on lower income levels. Housing Authorities use affordable housing dollars and issue vouchers that are Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent D12 Targeted Vouchers good for one year and pay any landlord the difference between what the tenant can afford and market rent. This takes the -- DIRECT All -- reporting burden off the landlord and essentially allows any existing unit to be affordable. Each year the tenant would have to wI S �v ou � For Sale prove to the Housing Authority if they were still income qualified and if not. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 8 OF 13 Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Low-Interest Loans / Housing Repair and Weatherization Assistance for low and moderate income households may be capitalized by Tax Increment Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent D13 Revolving Loan Fund Financing (TIF), Community Development Block Grant (CBDG) Funds, or local Housing Trust Funds. For Sale City of Portland DIRECT All -- Eviction Prevention Programs provide financial assistance to help renters facing eviction stay in their homes. These programs are Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Affordable & Vulnerable generally designed for families who are being evicted due to nonpayment of rent during or following an unforeseen crisis, such as Eviction prevention programs have high anti-displacement impacts, in the short- Eviction Prevention job loss or serious illness, rather than those who face more persistent affordability challenges. Jurisdictions may be interested in Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Local Housing Solutions DIRECT Early Gentrification term, and across all markets. They are especially useful in strong markets where Programs investingin eviction prevention to address concerns about displacement of low-income renters and also to avoid or reduce use of vvorKrorce �tsu- i�u i° Hivii� For Sale Active Gentrification there are economic incentives to evict. other more costly local services, like homeless shelters. p Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Late Gentrification Bond - for Resident Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) ■ Limited Tax General Obligation Bond that creates a funding source for supportive housing services, such as access to health care, D15 Support Services and mental health, and other social services that better support and stabilize residents who face complex challenges and will benefit Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Oregon Metro DIRECT All -- Permanent Supportive from affordable housing programs. City of Portland Housing Services Following the passage of Measure 102 Oregon local governments, including cities and counties, can now issue voter-approved general obligation bonds to provide direct funding for construction and other capital costs associated with the development and Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Oregon Metro General Obligation construction of affordable housing. These funds can be loaned or granted to both public and privately owned affordable housing Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent City of Portland D16 Bonds — for Affordable projects. "Affordability" is required to be determined by voters and each jurisdiction, and can be above or below minimum DIRECT All -- Housing affordability levels established for the federal LIHTC program and other established federal and State affordable housing finance V V"'MU! `C ko"- 'L"'° ~'v") For Sale programs, defining affordability by reference to Area Median Income (AMI) as established by HUD. The bonds could be paired Market Rate (> 120% AMI) with other financing such as Low Income Housing Tax Credits, or could be used for homeownership opportunities. Oregon Measure 102 Use IHBG funds for Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Mixing of Indian Housing Block Grants (IHBG), typically used for housing for Native Americans on reservation land, with other Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent NAYA and CDP and Confederated D17 Urban Native DIRECT All -- traditional affordable housing funding sources allows preference for Native members in urban affordable housing projects. Tribes of the Siletz Americans Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Weatherization Funds Affordable &Vulnerable Weatherization funds can address displacement by improving habitability in low-income Use weatherization funds administered by statewide network of Community Action Agencies to preserve aging housing stock Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent D18 through Community ° OHCS Weatherization Assistance DIRECT Early Gentrification neighborhoods; and by reducing energy costs and needs for expensive repairs that may displace occupied by income-qualified residents. Norkforce (80-120% AMI, For Sale Action Agencies Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Active Gentrification owners in gentrifying neighborhoods. Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Planning ahead for affordability in TOD is important for not displacing households who are most Transit-Oriented Provide financial incentives to developers to create transit-oriented communities. Funding can be used for site acquisition, Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent D19 Development Grants infrastructure projects and residential/mixed-use projects. Workforce (80-120% AMI) Oregon Metro TOD Program (INDIRECT) All likely to use transit (low-mod income, renters, POC, and immigrants); making it an effective Market Rate (> 120% AMI) strategy for equity and to support multi-modal transportation. Local Innovation and The Local Innovation and Fast Track (LIFT) Housing Program's objective is to build new affordable housing for low income Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Fast Track (LIFT) households, especially families. Funds are available for Serving Historically Underserved Communities, Rural and Urban Set- Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent OHCS Housing Development D20 Program for Affordable DIRECT All -- asides, Urban Communities, Service to Communities of Color, and Rural Communities. Available for affordable homeownership Workforce (80-120% AMI; For Sale Program Rental Housing units (below 80% AMI). Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Development Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) D21 Mental Health Trust Administered by the Oregon Health Authority for capital construction costs. Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent -- DIRECT All -- Fund Awards Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Examples: Meyer Memorial D22 Foundations Awards Local, regional, and national foundations provide both capital funding and program funding for a wide variety of innovative housing Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Trust and Oregon Community DIRECT All -- models and programs. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Foundation (OCF) Market Rate (> 120% AMI) State of Oregon to offer non-recourse low-interest debt that can be used to fund workforce or affordable housing. This could be provided through an existing relationship like Network for Oregon Affordable Housing (NOAH). This would be a valuable tool for D23 State of Oregon Debt providing housing in rural communities, where conventional debt funding may not be readily available. Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent __ DIRECT All -- Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Note: This strategy has been suggested by the housing development community, but programs are not yet in place in the State of Oregon. State of Oregon to provide some form of collateralization to support private debt placement for a workforce or affordable housing project. For example, the State could provide Letters of Credit and/or Guarantee on behalf of the developer to the private lender. State of Oregon Debt This would be a valuable tool for providing housing in rural communities, where conventional debt funding may be hesitant to Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent D24 -- DIRECT All -- Support invest without substantial backing that the State could provide. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Note: This strategy has been suggested by the housing development community, but programs are not yet in place in the State of Oregon. PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 9 OF 13 Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Oregon State sales tax on luxury items, 2nd homes, etc. dedicated to providing funds for affordable housing funds. Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) D25 Luxury Tax for Equitable Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent -- DIRECT All -- Housing Note: This strategy has been suggested by the housing development community, but programs are not yet in place in the State of Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Oregon. Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Reallocate Health and Because healthy housing makes a huge difference in health care, public safety, and other costs, identify paths to redirect budgets Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent D26 Public Safety from those sectors toward housing construction funds and supporting services. Use advanced modeling projections and adjust as -- DIRECT All -- workforce (80-120% AMI, For Sale Resources to Housing needed over time. Market Rate (> 120°/° AMI) Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) A land tax promotes equity among homeowners, if properly calibrated and incentives more D27 Georgist Land Tax Generate tax revenue for affordable housing by reducing the gains accrued from public investments that are capitalized into Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent -- DIRECT All development of housing supply. This requires state law changes. private value. https://www.pdx.edu/news/psu-study-portland-land-value-tax-would-improve-equity- homeowners-incentivize-development Category E : Tax Exemption and Abatement These are a list of tax exemption and abatement programs that are intended to encourage developers to produce housing. Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Nonprofit Low-Income This tool can provide a simplified way for affordable housing owned and operated by a nonprofit (as well as land held by a Publicly-Subsidized (0 30% AMI) nonprofit for future affordable housing development) or Community Land Trusts (at least in land value) to qualify for a property tax Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent See Oregon Revised Statute E01 Rental Housing DIRECT Affordable & Vulnerable -- exemption. Work should be done to make it easier for projects/land to qualify; minimizing the number of taxing authorities needed Chapter 307.540 Exemption to grant an approval. Property Tax Exemption Create a Property Tax Exemption for affordable housing that is tied to level of affordability instead of the ownership structure. For Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) example, grant a property tax exemption for affordable housing that serves households making less than 60/° of AMI at initial ° Take care to include homebuyer and post-purchase financial education to avoid loss E02 for Affordable Housing lease up. Don't tie the property tax exemption to ownership (LLC, non-profit, housingauthority) and onlyrequire income Affordable (30-80/o AMI) For Rent __ (DIRECT) Early Gentrification of assets in gentrifying neighborhoods, where owners can be pressured to sell or to p p Y pp q ° Tied to Level of verification at the beginning of a residents tenancy. The property should still get the exemption even if the household increases Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Active Gentrificatia take out refinance loans. Affordability income after their initial lease up so they can build assets in place. Market Rate (> 120/° AMI) Authorized by Oregon Revised Statute, 307.841. Partial property tax exemption program on improvements for new mixed use development. To qualify, a project must have P,,hlirlv_S„t,c;rI;,pH /< 'InkAMI\ City of Hillsboro Vertical Housing improved, leasable, non-residential development on the ground floor and residential development on the floors above. A partial City of Beaverton For Rent Active Gentrificatio Calibrate incentives to needed housing types, e.g., affordability levels. Incentives for E03 Development Zone Tax abatement on land value is allowed for each equalized floor of affordable housing. This abatement could be made better by an ° City of Milwaukie DIRECT Abatement adjustment to the floor equalization formula - right now, there is a 20% abatementper equalized floor, but if theproject ends upWorkforce (80-120/o AMI) Oregon CityLate Gentrificatior inclusion of affordable units work best in strong markets. q g q Market Rate (> 120% AMI) g being 3.8 equalized floors it only gets 3 floors worth of the abatement rather than an apportioned abatement. City of Gresham City of Tigard City of Wood Village City of Forest Grove Multiple Unit Property ublicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) This strategy can be used to incentivize production of multifamily housing with particular features or at particular price points by For Rent See Oregon Revised Statute, Active Gentrification Calibrate incentives to needed housing types, e.g., affordability levels. Incentives for inclusion of E04 Tax Exemption offeringqualifying developments apartial property tax exemption over the course of severalyears. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Chapter 307.600 (INDIRECT) Late Gentrification affordable units work best in strongmarkets. (MUPTE) q Y g p p p Y p Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Authorized by Oregon Revised Statute, Chapter 307.600 Multiple Unit Limited Under the Multiple-Unit Limited Tax Exemption (MULTE) Program, multiple-unit projects receive a ten-year property tax For Rent Active Gentrification Calibrate incentives to needed housingtypes, e.g., affordabilitylevels. Incentives for inclusion of E05 Tax Exemption p p g p p Y p p Y (INDIRECT) yp g' p exemption on structural improvements to the property as long as program requirements are met. Workforce (80-120% AMI) Multiple Unit Limited Tax Late Gentrification affordable units work best in strong markets. (MULTE) Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Exemption (MULTE) - City of Portland Authorized by Oregon Revised Homebuyer Opportunity ° Statute, 307.651. E06 Limited Tax Exemption Under the HOLTE Program, single-unit homes receive a ten-year property tax exemption on structural improvements to the home Affordable (30-80% AMI) (INDIRECT) Affordable & Vulnerable Calibrate incentives to needed housing types, e.g., affordability levels. Incentives for inclusion of Program (HOLTE) as long as the property and owner remain eligible per program requirements. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Homebuyer Opportunity Limited affordable units work best in strong markets. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Tax Exemption (HOLTE) - City of Portland Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) E07 Homestead Tax Consider allowing Homestead Tax on second homes to support development of affordable housing. Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent -- (DIRECT) Affordable & Vulnerable -- Property taxes are based on property values and so can go up regardless of the taxpayers' ability to pay. In the case of PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 10 OF 13 Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact I IIJI I IGi.JVVI!GI J, IIJII Iy 1.J1 .JIJGI Ly LCIAGJ l+Clll IJG CII1 VIJJLCIL.i1G Lt./ IIIJUJII Iy CII ILJI UciI./IIILV cii ILA JLQLJIIILy. r LVVI UJGU III Cl IIUII ILJGI VI JUI IJUIL..LIVI IJ Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Property Tax Relief for for mitigating these effects on those with limited incomes is by capping the amount of property tax that homeowners have to pay ° Active Gentrification Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Supporiting owners to stay in place as housing markets heat up is an important preservation E08 Income-Qualified as a share of their income. Some jurisdictions also provide relief to lower-income renters by treating some portion of their rent as Local Housing Solutions (DIRECT) Late Gentrification Homeowners attributable to property taxes and then providing an income tax credit to offset the increase in taxes. In addition to basing the VVorktorce (t3U-11U`% HMI) For Sale Exclusive strategy; it does not maintain the affordability of the unit at stake. benefit on income, eligibility for caps can also be restricted to specific populations such as seniors, disabled persons, and/or Market Rate (> 120% AMI) veterans. Qualified Opportunity Zones (QOZ) were created by the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. These zones are designed to spur economic Affordable &Vulnerable The OZ program has been found to be generally poorly targeted and monitored; as with any E09 Investing into Federal development and job creation in distressed communities throughout the country and U.S. possessions by providing tax benefits to Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Opportunity Zones FAQ(IRS) INDIRECT EarlyGentrification investment incentive it is important to include stronganti-displacement protections for Opportunity Zones (OZ) investors who invest eligible capital into these communities. Taxpayers may defer tax on eligible capital gains by making an Workforce (80-120% AMI) p p appropriate investment in a Qualified Opportunity Fund and meeting other requirements. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Active Gentrification vulnerable residents and ensure their inclusion in economic opportunities. Allow housing to be built and operated at market rate while allowing developers to choose a path that maintains or reduces rents Publicly-Subsidized (0 30% AMI) E10 Delayed Tax Affordable (30-80%over time. Once the property falls below 80%AMI (but maintains HUD quality standards), tax exemptions would kick in. This ° AMI) For Rent -- (INDIRECT) All -- Exemptions could be an alternative to upfront incentive dollars, SDC reductions, etc for providing affordable housing. Workforce (80-120/o AMI) For Sale Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Category F : Land, Acquisition, Lease, and Partnerships These are strategies that secure land for needed housing, unlock the value of land for housing, and/or create partnerships that will catalyze housing developments. Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Public purchasing of vacant/under-utilized sites of land in order to save for future affordable housing development. House Bill 2003, section 15 supports land banking: Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Active Gentrification Planning ahead for areas of public investment wth land banking can support affordable housing F01 Land Banking Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Metro TOD Program (DIRECT) Late Gentrification development without needing to purchase lots. In already developed, exclusive areas, using Exclusive public land may be the only cost effective strategy for building new affordable units. SECTION 15. (1) As used in this section, "public property" means all real property of the state, counties, cities, incorporated towns or villages, school districts, irrigation districts, drainage districts, ports, water districts, service districts, metropolitan service districts, housing authorities, public universities listed in ORS 352.002 or all other public or municipal corporations in this state. - - - - ' - - - The Federal Transit Administration (FTA) enables local transit agencies to enter into Joint Development Agreements (JDAs) with Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) private or non-profit developers of low income housing, market-rate housing, and/or commercial development. Joint Development Joint Development Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Important foundation with focus on housing for transit dependent people (Low income, renters, F02 Agreements is a process by which public transit or other local or state agencies agree to make land available at donated or reduced prices for Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale -- (INDIRECT) All POC and immigrants) private development, which may include affordable housing. Projects must demonstrate benefit to transit operations (ridership) Rad!1 UL INcILC k� I LU%o /AIVl l) and infrastructure and are subject to FTA approval. Land acquired by nonprofits or community-based organizations that maintain permanent ownership of land. Prospective Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) homeowners are able to enter long-term (i.e., 99-year), renewable leases at an affordable rate. Upon selling, homeowners only Affordable (30-80% AMI) Land trusts area very strong anti-displacement measure in all neighborhood types, with F03 Community Land Trusts earn aportion of the increased property value, while the trust keeps the remainder, therebypreservingaffordabilityfor future low- Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale -- DIRECT All immediate and long-term impacts. p p Y p g p to moderate-income families Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Affordable & Vulnerable Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Partnerships between government and the private sector and/or nonprofits have the capacity to bring resources to the table that ° Early Gentrification Setting clear public goals; including monitoring of provision of public benefits; and including Public/Private Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent F04 would otherwise not be available if each institution were able to help communities provide housing on its own. This can come in ° -- (INDIRECT) Active Gentrification financial penalties for not meeting goals are important for strengthening community benefits Partnerships (P3) the form of coalitions, affordable housing task forces, and collaboratives. Workforce (80-120/o AMI) For Sale Late Gentrification agreements in public-private partnerships. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) g p p p p Exclusive Preventing displacement and preserving "naturally occurring" affordable housing through acquisition, low-interest loans/revolving Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Preserving Low-Cost Early Gentrification loan fund for preservation, and/or code enforcement. Example: The Oregon Legislature committed $15 million in lottery bonds to Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Preservation is cost-effective compared to new construction and can prevent displacement in F05 Rental Housing to NOAH Impact Fund DIRECT Active Gentrification Mitigate Displacement Oregon Housing and Community Services (OHCS) in 2019 to create a naturally occurring affordable housing loan fund. Modeled Late Gentrification the immediate term for households in place. after the Greater Minnesota Housing Fund. Manufactured home parks often provide a form of affordable housing stock, but are particularly vulnerable to redevelopment City of Portland pressures since lots are temporarily leased out. In order to preserve safe, affordable options into the future, manufactured home Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Preserving Safe, parks may be protected through assistance that allows community purchase of the underlying land, manufactured homes and ° Affordable & Vulnerable Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent F06 Affordable provide funds used to maintain upkeep of these dwelling units. This strategy is often implemented through use of Land Trusts, DIRECT Early Gentrification�d0-120% AMI) For Sale Manufactured Homes Resident-Owned Cooperatives, Public Ownership of Land, or Condominium Conversion of the real estate assets to preserve the °""""'"" ° Active Gentrification communit ies . Oregon Housingand CommunityServices (OHCS) has regularly received lotterybonds orgeneral funds from the Market Rate (> 120/o AMI) OHCS Mfd Dwelling Parks y( ) g g y Program Oregon Legislature to preserve manufactured home parks through either Resident Owned Cooperatives or Non-profit ownership. I Providing Information Providing information to small, local developers that will help them understand land use permitting processes and give them a For Rent F1)7 anti Frfucatinn to SmallI -- I INDIRECTI All -- PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 11 OF 13 Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact _. _.._ ________ __ _.. - sense of clarity and certainty about requirements so they can better provide smaller scale housing at an affordable level. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale ""-"--- ' Developers ° Market Rate (> 120/o AMI) Conversion of Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Affordable & Vulnerable Underperforming or Acquisition of underperforming or distressed commercial assets (commercial, retail, industrial, or hotel) or partnerships with Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent F08 Distressed Commercial owners of the assets for conversion into needed housing. Workforce (80-120% AMI) -- DIRECT Early Gentrification Most likely to be cost effective in some neighborhood market types. I VI JQIG Assets Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Active Gentrification The US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) maylease land for upto 85years to developers of projects whichprovide the VA Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Enhanced Use Lease of p p p Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Housing Authority of Douglas F09 Federal Land with compensation. Such enhanced use leases have been used to provide land for permanent affordable housing for people County (DIRECT) All -- experiencing homelessness including veterans in Oregon, Minnesota and Washington States. Prioritize Housing on Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) F10 City/County Owned Surplus property suitable for housingis offered upfor affordable development. Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent City of Eugene (DIRECT) All -- Land y p p p y p -- Workforce orkforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Combine Community Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) F11 Land Trust with Limited Combine a Community Land Trust (CLT) with a Limited Equity Cooperative for a lower barrier entry to homeownership of a share Affordable (30-80% AMI) SquareOne Villages DIRECT All -- Equity Cooperative of a permanent small/tiny home community. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Model Sell land at the State or City's cost (below market) to developers of affordable housing. Long-term lease at very minimal cost to Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) F12 Surplus Land for developers for land the Cityis notyet readyto surplus. Countysurplus of foreclosed land to affordable housingdevelopers and/or Affordable (30-80/° AMI) For Rent Cityof Bend (DIRECT) All -- Affordable Housing p p p p Workforce (8U-12U% AMI) For Sale housing authority. ° Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) F13 McKinney-Vento For Rent Cities may partner with the Federal Government to surplus Federal land for homeless housing or services under McKinney Vento. City of Bend (DIRECT) All -- Federal Surplus Affordable housing providers could be offered a Right of First Refusal for city, county, or state owned land when the land would be Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Right of First Refusal forAffordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent CASA of Oregon - Mfd Housing Co F14 Land Purchase used for affordable housing. Examples include a manufactured home program where residents can buy out the manufactured ��/orkforce (80-120% AMI; For Sale Op Dev (DIRECT) All -- home park when the owner is ready to sell. Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Ordinances that Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) F15 Address Zombie More assertive tax foreclosures to enable zombie housingto be rehabbed into occupied housing. Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent -- INDIRECT Affordable & Vulnerable -- p -- Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Housing Market Rate (> 120% AMI) Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) F16 Regulatory Agreement Regulatory Agreement, between the jurisdiction and developer, in place with the land sale that keeps the units affordable for 20 Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent Cityof Beaverton (DIRECT) Active Gentrification Prepare for agreement expiration withpreservation plans g y g years in exchange for SDC waivers. This is straightforward without going through a difficult or costly process. Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Late Gentrification p g p Iv— I .u1„ \ 120% AMI) A jurisdiction would establish designated sites with a completely different set of regulations than apply to the balance of the public Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Designated Affordable and private building sites. The sites would be overseen by an Affordable Housing Commission, that is empowered to prioritize, Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent F17 Housing Sites fast track, and approve affordable housing projects (with designated and required affordability objectives) and bypass the majority Workforce (80-120% AMI) -- (DIRECT) All -- of the city's fees and regulations. The Commission would have its own set of requirements (structural approval, zoning allowance, etc.), but they would be streamlined, and tailored to facilitate a quicker and much less expensive process. Over the past few decades, faith institutions across the country have been declining. This has prompted conversations within Utilize Surplus Land different faith communities about how to refocus their mission of social change. The housing affordability crisis in many cities Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Expanding Opportunities for Owned by Faith-Based around the country has brought these institutions into the work of creating affordable housing in their communities. This strategy Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent F18 Organizations for would: 1) Identify faith and community-based organizations that are interested in offering their available land for development of Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale Affordable Housing, Metro and (DIRECT) All -- Affordable Housing affordable housing, 2) Provide design and finance consultation for three organizations to prepare them for future affordable Market Rate (> 120% AMI) City of Portland housing development projects, and 3) Determine barriers to development and how those can be addressed and/or streamlined. The Center for Housing Policy, Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Washington DC Affordable Housing Prepare an inventory of subsidized and naturally occurring affordable housing to support proactive policies intended to preserve Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent F19 Preservation Inventory the affordable housing stock. This strategy is intended to help offset some of the need for costly new construction. For Sale Opportunity Zone Toolkit, US (DIRECT) All -- Department of Housing and Urban Development PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 12 OF 13 Tenure Housing Neighborhood # Strategy Description Affordability Target Target Source (if available) Equity Typology Mitigating Measures Impact Provide residents, property owners, property managers, realtors, lenders and others involved with real estate transactions with Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Fair Housing Education, access to Fair Housing information and referrals. Ensure that city staff know how to identify potential Fair Housing violations and Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent F20 Referral, and Other make referrals to the Fair Housing Council of Oregon and state and local enforcement agencies. Partner with and fund Fair Workforce (80-120% AMI) -- (DIRECT) All -- Services Housing Council of Oregon to provide periodic Fair Housing Audit Testing, customized outreach and education and other Market Rate (> 120% AMI) specialized services. Most public subsidies and tax incentive programs are complex due to the need for regulation and corruption prevention, imposing many impediments to developing affordable housing. Jurisdictions would participate in a public REIT that buys turn-key projects for set costs. This would motivate mission-minded developers to drive down cost knowing that risk is minimal by having a buyer at Publicly-Subsidized (< 30% AMI) Public or Mission-Driven the end. If the developer doesn't deliver the required specs, quality, and competitive construction cost, then they have to sell or Affordable (30-80% AMI) For Rent F21 REITs and Turn-Key rent on the open market or find other incentives in current, standard fashion. The jurisdiction could invest state pension funds in Workforce (80-120% AMI) For Sale -- (DIRECT) All -- Delivery these REITs. Note: Though this strategy has been suggested by the housing development community, it is not clear if this program is currently available to jurisdictions in the State of Oregon Category Z: Custom Options Any other Housing Production Strategy not listed in Categories A through F that the jurisdiction wishes to implement will be outlined in this section and numbered accordingly. # StrategyDescription AffordabilityTarget Tenure Source (if available) Housing Neighborhood Typology Mitigating Measures p g Target Equity Impact g yp gy g g Z01 TBD Any other Housing Production Strategy not listed above in Categories A through F that the jurisdiction wishes to implement should -- -- -- -- -- be filled in here and numbered accordingly. PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT E/PAGE 13 OF 13 House Bill 2003— Draft Work Plan Tentative Schedule HB 2003 Background and Requirements,Work Plan: CC Study Session Jun 21, 2022 PC Work Session Jun 27, 2022 Refine Work Plan based on CC/PC input, Request for Proposals Aug—Sep 2022 Consultant selection and contracting Sep—early Oct 2022 City Council Appoints Advisory Committee Members Sep—Oct 2022 Project Kickoff Oct—Dec 2022 Education, Outreach, and Engagement Oct 2022—Mar 2024 Housing Needs Projection Oct 2022—Feb 2023 Buildable Lands Inventory Oct 2022—Mar 2023 Residential Land Needs Analysis Mar—Jun 2023 Final HNA Report Jun—Sep 2023 Analyze Housing Land Supply Policy Options Jun—Sep 2023 Adoption of HNA Sep- Dec 2023 Analyze Housing Production Strategies (HPS) Jun 2023—Feb 2024 Final HPS Report Feb 2023—Mar 2024 Adoption of HPS Apr—Jul 2024 Draft Scope of Work 1. Task 1:Project Kickoff (October—December 2022) 1.1 Conduct research and information gathering. 1.2 Refine project schedule and plan for public involvement. 1.3 Create initial outreach materials. 1.4 Host kickoff meeting. Work Products: • Refined Project Schedule and Public Involvement Plan • Summary of major tasks, including technical memorandums and outreach events • Initial Outreach Materials Meetings: • Two (2) Project Management Team (PMT) meetings • Project Kick-off meeting 2. Task 2:Housing Needs Analysis (October 2022—September 2023) PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT F/PAGE 1 OF 2 2.1 Draft Housing Needs Projection. 2.2 Draft Residential Buildable Lands Inventory(BLI). 2.3 Draft Residential Land Needs Analysis(RLNA). 2.4 Draft Housing Needs Analysis (HNA)Summary. 2.5 Adopt HNA as an appendix to Comprehensive Plan. Work Product: Housing Needs Analysis Report Meetings: Monthly Project Management Team (PMT) meeting(s) 3. Task 3:Housing Production Strategy (June 2023—March 2024) 3.1 Outline housing strategy alternatives. 3.2 Refine housing strategy recommendations. 3.3 Draft Housing Production Strategy. 3.4 Adopt HPS as an appendix to Comprehensive Plan. Work Products: • Housing Strategy Options Memo • Housing Production Strategy Report PP 22-0005 ATTACHMENT F/PAGE 2 OF 2