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Agenda Item - 2023-11-13 - Number 06.1.1 - Staff Presentation (PP 22-0005)PP 22-0005 1 Housing Production Strategy (PP 22-0005) Planning Commission Study Session November 13, 2023 COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT 1 Agenda 1. New Data About Contextualized Housing Needs (Matt Hastie, MIG) 2. Summary of Current Housing Strategies (Erik Olson, City of LO) 3. Summary of Stakeholder Interviews To-Date (Kate Rogers, MIG) 4. Housing Strategies for Initial Discussion (Erik Olson, City of LO and Kate Rogers, MIG) 5. Next Steps (Erik Olson, City of LO) 2 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 2 New Data About Contextualized Housing Needs Purpose of Contextualized Housing Needs Assessment •Required component of a Housing Production Strategy •Describes current and future housing needs in the context of population and market trends •Pulls from Housing Capacity Analysis, additional data sources, City info, and stakeholder interviews •Must include: –Socio-economic and demographic trends disaggregated by race and ethnicity –Housing measures already adopted by the City –Market conditions affecting provision of needed housing –Barriers to development of needed housing –Estimate of people experiencing homelessness –Data on rent burdened households –Housing needs for people with disabilities 4 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 3 Market Conditions (For-Sale Housing) 5 Themediansalepricewas$860,000. The average (mean) sale price was $1,075,000. The median square footage was 2,300 s.f. Attached units and condominiums make up a significant share of home sales (28%). [Based on RMLS home sales data from 2022] Market Conditions (For-Sale Housing) 6 72%0% 8% 20% Home Sales by Unit Type Detached Home Manuf. Home Attached Home Condo 0 3 43 47 31 39 56 67 66 319 0 100 200 300 400 <$100,000 $100,000 - $199,000 $200,000 - $299,000 $300,000 - $399,000 $400,000 - $499,000 $500,000 - $599,000 $600,000 - $699,000 $700,000 - $799,000 $800,000 - $899,000 $900,000+ Home Sales by Price Level [Based on RMLS home sales data from 2022] 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 4 Change in Sale Price 7 $0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 $800,000 $900,000 Median Sale Price Market Conditions (Rental Housing) 8 Average effective rent:$2,038/mo. 10-year growth:52% or 4.3% per year 10-year inflation:31% or 2.7% per year Rents peaked in 2022 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 5 Market Conditions (Rental Housing) 9 Housing Affordability 10 •75% of recent sales in Lake Oswego were priced at least $600,000. •Homes in this range would be mostly affordable to households earning at least $175,000 per year. •This is well above the median household income of $123,000. 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 6 Housing Affordability 11 •50% of renter households are rent burdened. 3% 22% 25% 14% 7% 29% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Sh a r e o f H o u s e h o l d s % of Income to Gross Rent Publicly Assisted Housing •State tracks three current subsidized affordable housing properties in Lake Oswego, with a total of 76 units. •75 of these units are offered for elderly residents. •The Marylhurst Commons will offer 100 affordable units for families. Upon completion in 2024, the total 176 subsidized units in Lake Oswego will represent 1% of the local housing stock. •The Housing Authority of Clackamas County administers over 1,600 Section 8 housing choice. No agricultural worker housing. 12 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 7 Homelessness Point In Time Count •January 2023 Clackamas County Point-in-Time Count: 410 unhoused individuals (county-wide) •This is a 31% decrease from 2022 (597 individuals) Lake Oswego School District 2021/22 Data: •41 enrolled students experiencing homelessness •304 children between the ages of 5 and 17 living in poverty. 13 20-Year Housing Need - Affordability 14 Income Level (Rounded) Owner Units Renter Units Total Share Common Housing Product Extremely Low Inc. < 30% MFI < $27,500 56 149 205 10% Government-subsidized; Voucher; Shelter; Transitional Very Low Income 30% - 60% MFI $27.5k - $55k 95 221 317 16% Aging/substandard rentals; Government-subsidized; Voucher; Manufactured homes Low Income 60% - 80% MFI $55k - $73k 71 120 190 10% Aging apartments; Government- subsidized; Plexes; Aging single- detached; Small homes Middle Income 80% - 120% MFI $73k - $110k 134 172 306 16% Single-detached homes; Townhomes; Condominiums; Newer apartments Upper Income > 120% MFI > $110,000 669 282 951 48% Single-detached homes; Townhomes; Condominiums; New apartments TOTAL: 1,024 944 1,968 100% Household Income Segment 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 8 Diversity 15 •Oregon: Non-white groups have larger avg. households, and lower home ownership rate Population with Disabilities 16 7.8% 2.4% 1.7% 2.7% 2.9% 1.1% 2.3% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Population with a disability Hearing difficulty Vision difficulty Cognitive difficulty Ambulatory difficulty Self-care difficulty Independent living difficulty Share of Population •Roughly 3,140 disabled individuals 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 9 Veterans 17 •6% of the adult population •63% are 65 and older •Lower than average poverty level •21% have some sort of disability Summary of Current Housing Strategies 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 10 Summary of Current Housing Strategies in Lake Oswego A. Zoning Strategies –Height/density bonus for affordable developments in certain zones –Increased code flexibility for ADUs –Short-term rental regulations –Mandatory affordable housing for portions of the Marylhurst Special District and the West Lake Grove Design District (WLG-OC) B. Reducing Regulatory Impediments –Removed parking mandates within ½ mile of priority transit C. Financial Incentives –Expedites permitting for affordable housing –Waives system development charges (SDCs) and development review fee for affordable housing and ADUs 19 Summary of Current Housing Strategies in Lake Oswego D. Financial Resources –Used urban renewal funds to support affordable housing units as part of North Anchor development E. Tax Exemption and Abatement –N/A F. Land Acquisition, Lease, and Partnerships –Surplus City-owned land / land banking for affordable housing (Recent example: Construction staging property on Boones Ferry Road will become 55 units of affordable housing) –Public-private partnerships with Habitat for Humanity and Mercy Housing Northwest –Acquired North Anchor site to convert underperforming commercial asset into affordable and market-rate housing –Utilizing surplus land owned by faith-based organization for housing (Recent example: Marylhurst campus development) 20 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 11 Summary of Stakeholder Interviews To-Date Stakeholders Interviewed •Market-rate developers and architects –Experience with single-family, middle housing, and multi-family •Non-profit housing providers –Habitat for Humanity –Mercy Housing Northwest •City staff –Planning –Redevelopment 22 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 12 Key Housing Needs / Gaps in the Market •Affordable housing for low- and moderate-income households •Middle housing (e.g., townhomes, duplexes, cottage clusters) •Opportunities for aging in place •Options for more attainable homeownership (e.g., condos and middle housing) •Apartments with family-size units (2-3 bedrooms) •Multi-family housing outside the Town Center 23 Housing Barriers Identified by Stakeholders •High cost of land in Lake Oswego •Few large sites to support multi-family housing •Neighbor opposition to affordable or higher-density housing can drag out the process, adding to costs •Code barriers: –Design overlay standards are highly prescriptive – can add to cost, limit flexibility –Tree protection / tree planting and landscaping standards –Open space standards for multi-family housing –Setbacks and other standards limit middle housing feasibility •Process barriers: –Design review process in design districts adds time and cost –Building permit review can also be slow –Often need multiple variances, lengthens process and adds uncertainty •Public improvements (roads, utilities) can be very costly 24 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 13 Housing Strategies for Initial Discussion Housing Strategy Categories 26 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 14 Housing Strategies for Discussion: Approach •Started with DLCD’s “master list” (110 total strategies) •Filtered out strategies that were: –Already being implemented by the City; –Not applicable to Lake Oswego; –Not authorized by state law or not available in Oregon; or –Unlikely to have a meaningful impact based on the team’s initial assessment. •Strategies grouped together based on similar concepts or overlapping programmatic elements •Focus on high-impact strategies or strategies that would require Council action (i.e. new taxes, bonds, or other revenue sources) •Lower-barrier strategies were grouped into separate categories for discussion at future meetings •City will be “on the hook” to implement the final adopted strategies 27 Floor Area Ratio (FAR), density, height, or other types of zoning bonuses could be offered for affordable housing development 28 11 Zoning Bonuses for Affordable Housing1 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 15 29 Code Audit and Amendments2 30 Minimum Density Requirements for To-Be-Annexed Land3 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 16 31 Rezone Land4 32 Infrastructure Planning to Support Housing5 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 17 33 Modify Systems Development Charges (SDCs)6 34 Construction Excise Tax (CET)7 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 18 35 General Obligation (GO) Bonds8 36 Tax Exemption and Abatement9 11/13/23 PP 22-0005 19 Next Steps •Refine Housing Strategy Alternatives (December 2023 - January 2024) –Provide preliminary recommendations for strategies to pursue, building on previous tasks –HPS Task Force #5 –Dec 8, 2023 –Next PC HPS Work Session –Jan 8, 2024 –Next Council HPS Study Session –Jan 16, 2024 37 11/13/23